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We consider a two dimensional reflecting random walk on the nonnegative integer quadrant. This random walk is assumed to be skip free in the direction to the boundary of the quadrant, but may have unbounded jumps in the opposite direction,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Masahiro Kobayashi , Masakiyo Miyazawa

We study the statistics of the first passage of a random walker to absorbing subsets of the boundary of compact domains in different spatial dimensions. We describe a novel diagnostic method to quantify the trajectory-to-trajectory…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-06 T. G. Mattos , C. Mejía-Monasterio , R. Metzler , G. Oshanin , G. Schehr

We consider a random walk among i.i.d. obstacles on the one dimensional integer lattice under the condition that the walk starts from the origin and reaches a remote location y. The obstacles are represented by a killing potential, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Elena Kosygina

We consider a discrete-time random walk on the nodes of an unbounded hexagonal lattice. We determine the probability generating functions, the transition probabilities and the relevant moments. The convergence of the stochastic process to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci , Serena Spina

Foss and Zachary (2003) and Foss, Palmowski and Zachary (2005) studied the probability of achieving a receding boundary on a time interval of random length by a random walk with a heavy-tailed jump distribution. They have proposed and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Pavel Tesemnikov , Sergey Foss

A natural extension of a right-continuous integer-valued random walk is one which can jump to the right by one or two units. First passage times above a given fixed level then admit a tractable Laplace transform (probability generating…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-13 Matija Vidmar

We consider random variables observed at arrival times of a renewal process, which possibly depends on those observations and has regularly varying steps with infinite mean. Due to the dependence and heavy tailed steps, the limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Bojan Basrak , Drago Špoljarić

The presence of temporal correlations in random movement trajectories is a widespread phenomenon across biological, chemical and physical systems. The ubiquity of persistent and anti-persistent motion in many natural and synthetic systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-03 Daniel Marris , Luca Giuggioli

We study a first passage time of a L\'evy process over a positive constant level. In the spectrally negative case we give conditions for absolutely continuity of the distributions of the first passage times. The tail asymptotics of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Shunsuke Kaji , Muneya Matsui

The distribution of the first positive position reached by a random walker starting from the origin is fundamental for understanding the statistics of extremes and records in one-dimensional random walks. We present a comprehensive study of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-03 Claude Godrèche , Jean-Marc Luck

We consider a centered random walk with finite variance and investigate the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that the area under this walk remains positive up to a large time $n$. Assuming that the moment of order $2+\delta$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Denis Denisov , Vitali Wachtel

We study the first exit time $\tau$ from an arbitrary cone with apex at the origin by a non-homogeneous random walk (Markov chain) on $\Z^d$ ($d \geq 2$) with mean drift that is asymptotically zero. Specifically, if the mean drift at $\bx…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-27 Iain M. MacPhee , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

We consider a walker that at each step keeps the same direction with a probabilitythat depends on the time already spent in the direction the walker is currently moving. In this paper, we study some asymptotic properties of this persistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-15 Peggy Cénac , Basile De Loynes , Arnaud Le Ny , Yoann Offret

We consider an irreducible finite range random walk on the $d$-dimensional integer lattice and study asymptotic behaviour of its transition function $p(n; x)$. In particular, for simple random walk our asymptotic formula is valid as long as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-31 Bartosz Trojan

We consider random walks X_n in Z+, obeying a detailed balance condition, with a weak drift towards the origin when X_n tends to infinity. We reconsider the equivalence in law between a random walk bridge and a 1+1 dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Joel De Coninck , Francois Dunlop , Thierry Huillet

We revisit the problem of influencing the sex ratio of a population by subjecting reproduction of each family to some stopping rule. As an easy consequence of the strong law of large numbers, no such modification is possible in the sense…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Stefan Gerhold , Friedrich Hubalek

Let $Y=\sum_{k\ge 1} 1_{A_k}$ be an infinite sum of the indicators of independent events. We investigate a precise (as opposed to logarithmic) first-order asymptotic behavior of the tail probabilities $\mathbb{P}\{Y\ge n\}$ and the point…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Alexander Iksanov , Valeriya Kotelnikova

We consider a class of strongly edge-reinforced random walks, where the corresponding reinforcement weight function is nondecreasing. It is known, from Limic and Tarr\`{e}s [Ann. Probab. (2007), to appear], that the attracting edge emerges…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Codina Cotar , Vlada Limic

In this paper, we establish a relationship between the asymptotic form of conditional boundary crossing probabilities and first passage time densities for diffusion processes. Namely, we show that, under broad assumptions, the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-18 Konstantin A. Borovkov , Andrew N. Downes

The busy period for a queue is cast as the area swept under the random walk until it first returns to zero, $B$. Encompassing non-i.i.d. increments, the large-deviations asymptotics of $B$ is addressed, under the assumption that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-16 Ken R. Duffy , Sean P. Meyn