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High-dimensional multivariate time series are common in many scientific and industrial applications, where the interest lies in identifying key dependence structure within the data for subsequent analysis tasks, such as forecasting. An…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Madeline A. Shelley , Chiara Boetti , Marina I. Knight , Matthew A. Nunes

In this paper we study the asymptotics of linear regression in settings with non-Gaussian covariates where the covariates exhibit a linear dependency structure, departing from the standard assumption of independence. We model the covariates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-10 Behrad Moniri , Hamed Hassani

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

Modelling a large bundle of curves arises in a broad spectrum of real applications. However, existing literature relies primarily on the critical assumption of independent curve observations. In this paper, we provide a general theory for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

An important problem in time series analysis is the discrimination between non-stationarity and longrange dependence. Most of the literature considers the problem of testing specific parametric hypotheses of non-stationarity (such as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Philip Preuß , Kemal Sen , Holger Dette

In this paper we present an application of the use of autocopulas for modelling financial time series showing serial dependencies that are not necessarily linear. The approach presented here is semi-parametric in that it is characterized by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-20 Antony Ware , Ilnaz Asadzadeh

Regional data analysis is concerned with the analysis and modeling of measurements that are spatially separated by specifically accounting for typical features of such data. Namely, measurements in close proximity tend to be more similar…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-15 Christoph Muehlmann , François Bachoc , Klaus Nordhausen

Recovering a unique causal graph from observational data is an ill-posed problem because multiple generating mechanisms can lead to the same observational distribution. This problem becomes solvable only by exploiting specific structural or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Ameya Rathod , Sujay Belsare , Salvik Krishna Nautiyal , Dhruv Laad , Ponnurangam Kumaraguru

We study goodness-of-fit testing for non-causal autoregressive time series with non-Gaussian stable noise. To model time series exhibiting sharp spikes or occasional bursts of outlying observations, the exponent of the non-Gaussian stable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-19 Yunwei Cui , Rongning Wu , Thomas J. Fisher

Bayesian inference is used to extract unknown parameters from gravitational wave signals. Detector noise is typically modelled as stationary, although data from the LIGO and Virgo detectors is not stationary. We demonstrate that the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-07-13 O Edy , A. Lundgren , L. K. Nuttall

Granger causality has been employed to investigate causality relations between components of stationary multiple time series. We generalize this concept by developing statistical inference for local Granger causality for multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Yan Liu , Masanobu Taniguchi , Hernando Ombao

The predictability of a certain effect or phenomenon is often equated with the knowledge of relevant physical laws, typically understood as a functional or numerically derived relationship between the observations and known states of the…

In this letter we present constraints on the scale-dependent "local" type primordial non-Gaussianity, which is described by non-Gaussianity's spectral index $n_{\rm NG}$, from the NRAO VLA Sky Survey and the quasar catalog of the Sloan…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Ji-Ping Dai , Jun-Qing Xia

In this paper we study the local times of vector-valued Gaussian fields that are `diagonally operator-self-similar' and whose increments are stationary. Denoting the local time of such a Gaussian field around the spatial origin and over the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Kamran Kalbasi , Thomas S. Mountford

Finding the parameters of a latent variable causal model is central to causal inference and causal identification. In this article, we show that existing graphical structures that are used in causal inference are not stable under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-03 Mehrzad Saremi

Concepts of Granger causality (GC) and Granger autonomy (GA) are central to assess the dynamics of coupled physiologic processes. While causality measures have been already proposed and applied in time and frequency domains, measures…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-20 Laura Sparacino , Yuri Antonacci , Chiara Barà , Angela Valenti , Alberto Porta , Luca Faes

We revisit a possible scale-dependence of local-type primordial non-Gaussianities induced by super-horizon evolution of scalar field perturbations. We develop the formulation based on $\delta N$ formalism and derive the generalized form of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-22 Daisuke Yamauchi , Shuichiro Yokoyama , Tomo Takahashi

We present a method for the joint analysis of a panel of possibly nonstationary time series. The approach is Bayesian and uses a covariate-dependent infinite mixture model to incorporate multiple time series, with mixture components…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-05 Michael Bertolacci , Ori Rosen , Edward Cripps , Sally Cripps

A broad and widely used class of stationary, linear, additive time series models can have statistical properties which many authors have asserted imply that the underlying process must be non-linear, non-stationary, multiplicative, or…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-10 Jeffrey D. Scargle

The paper investigates the theoretical properties of zero-mean stationary time series with cyclical components, admitting the representation $y_t=\alpha_t \cos \lambda t + \beta_t \sin \lambda t$, with $\lambda \in (0,\pi]$ and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Łukasz Lenart