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A time-varying empirical spectral process indexed by classes of functions is defined for locally stationary time series. We derive weak convergence in a function space, and prove a maximal exponential inequality and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

We investigate the weak lensing signature of primordial non-Gaussianities of the local type by constraining the magnitude of the weak convergence bi- and trispectra expected for the EUCLID weak lensing survey. Starting from expressions for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 Alessandra Grassi , Lavinia Heisenberg , Chris T. Byrnes , Bjoern Malte Schaefer

We apply a novel spectral graph technique, that of locally-biased semi-supervised eigenvectors, to study the diversity of galaxies. This technique permits us to characterize empirically the natural variations in observed spectra data, and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-12-14 David Lawlor , Tamás Budavári , Michael W. Mahoney

A non-stationary spatial Gaussian random field (GRF) is described as the solution of an inhomogeneous stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE), where the covariance structure of the GRF is controlled by the coefficients in the SPDE.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-11 Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Daniel Simpson , Finn Lindgren , Håvard Rue

In this study, we develop an asymptotic theory of nonparametric regression for a locally stationary functional time series. First, we introduce the notion of a locally stationary functional time series (LSFTS) that takes values in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Daisuke Kurisu

We consider the problem of model selection in Gaussian Markov fields in the sample deficient scenario. In many practically important cases, the underlying networks are embedded into Euclidean spaces. Using the natural geometric structure,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-31 Ilya Soloveychik , Vahid Tarokh

Stationary time series models built from parametric distributions are, in general, limited in scope due to the assumptions imposed on the residual distribution and autoregression relationship. We present a modeling approach for univariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-04 Maria DeYoreo , Athanasios Kottas

We study a fairly general class of time-homogeneous stochastic evolutions driven by noises that are not white in time. As a consequence, the resulting processes do not have the Markov property. In this setting, we obtain constructive…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-12 M. Hairer

Stationarity is a very general, qualitative assumption, that can be assessed on the basis of application specifics. It is thus a rather attractive assumption to base statistical analysis on, especially for problems for which less general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Daniil Ryabko

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

The detection of periodic signals in irregularly-sampled time series is a problem commonly encountered in astronomy. Traditional tools used for periodic searches, such as the periodogram, have poorly defined statistical properties under…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-13 A. Gúrpide , M. Middleton

In this paper, we investigate how the fine structure constant, $\alpha$, locally varies in the presence of a static and spherically symmetric gravitational source. The procedure consists in calculating the solution and the energy…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-09-27 V. B. Bezerra , M. S. Cunha , C. R. Muniz , M. O. Tahim , H. S. Vieira

Gaussian processes have become a popular tool for nonparametric regression because of their flexibility and uncertainty quantification. However, they often use stationary kernels, which limit the expressiveness of the model and may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Zachary James , Joseph Guinness

Time series analysis from gravitational-wave detectors often relies on the assumption that time chunks, or frequency bins, are uncorrelated. We discuss the validity of this approximation in the context of searches for stochastic…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-02-16 Quentin Baghi , Nikolaos Karnesis , Jean-Baptiste Bayle

In this paper, we introduce a new method for testing the stationarity of time series, where the test statistic is obtained from measuring and maximising the difference in the second-order structure over pairs of randomly drawn intervals.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Haeran Cho

The asymptotic behaviour of Linear Spectral Statistics (LSS) of the smoothed periodogram estimator of the spectral coherency matrix of a complex Gaussian high-dimensional time series $(\y_n)_{n \in \mathbb{Z}}$ with independent components…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-24 Philippe Loubaton , Alexis Rosuel

A method is presented for investigating the periodic signal content of time series in which a number of signals is present, such as arising from the observation of multiperiodic oscillating stars in observational asteroseismology. Standard…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Frank P. Pijpers

We are concerned with sequences of graphs having a grid geometry, with a uniform local structure in a bounded domain $\Omega\subset {\mathbb R}^d$, $d\ge 1$. We assume $\Omega$ to be Lebesgue measurable with regular boundary and contained,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-14 Andrea Adriani , Davide Bianchi , Stefano Serra-Capizzano

Linear structural equation models, which relate random variables via linear interdependencies and Gaussian noise, are a popular tool for modeling multivariate joint distributions. These models correspond to mixed graphs that include both…

Computation · Statistics 2015-04-14 Mathias Drton , Luca Weihs

This paper offers a new method for estimation and forecasting of the volatility of financial time series when the stationarity assumption is violated. Our general local parametric approach particularly applies to general varying-coefficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-27 P. Čížek , W. Härdle , V. Spokoiny