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Rare events in the first-passage distributions of jump processes are capable of triggering anomalous reactions or series of events. Estimating their probability is particularly important when the jump probabilities have broad-tailed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-06 Alessandro Vezzani , Raffaella Burioni

We analyse the efficiency of several simulation methods which we have recently proposed for calculating rate constants for rare events in stochastic dynamical systems, in or out of equilibrium. We derive analytical expressions for the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Rosalind J. Allen , Daan Frenkel , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

Stochastic mathematical models are essential tools for understanding and predicting complex phenomena. The purpose of this work is to study the exit times of a stochastic dynamical system-specifically, the mean exit time and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Eric José Ávila-Vales , José Villa-Morales

A model has two main aims: predicting the behavior of a physical system and understanding its nature, that is how it works, at some desired level of abstraction. A promising recent approach to model building consists in deriving a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-02-26 Marco Baldovin , Andrea Puglisi , Angelo Vulpiani

In this paper we develop a perturbation method to predict the rate of occurrence of rare events for singularly perturbed stochastic systems using a probability density function approach. In contrast to a stochastic normal form approach, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Christoffer R. Heckman , Ira B. Schwartz

Langevin equations are used to model many processes of physical interest, including low-energy nuclear collisions. In this paper we develop a general method for computing probabilities of very rare events (e.g. small fusion cross-sections)…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-10-31 O. Mazonka , C. Jarzynski , J. Blocki

Simulating stochastic differential equations (SDEs) in bounded domains, presents significant computational challenges due to particle exit phenomena, which requires accurate modeling of interior stochastic dynamics and boundary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-23 Minglei Yang , Yanfang Liu , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Yanzhao Cao , Guannan Zhang

In this paper we consider a diffusion process obtained as a small random perturbation of a dynamical system attracted to a stable equilibrium point. The drift and the diffusive perturbation are assumed to evolve slowly in time. We describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-23 Mark Freidlin , Leonid Koralov

We study rare events in systems of diffusive fields driven out of equilibrium by the boundaries. We present a numerical technique and use it to calculate the probabilities of rare events in one and two dimensions. Using this technique, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-10 Guy Bunin , Yariv Kafri , Daniel Podolsky

We introduce a scheme for deriving an optimally-parametrised Langevin dynamics of few collective variables from data generated in molecular dynamics simulations. The drift and the position-dependent diffusion profiles governing the Langevin…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-08-22 Cristian Micheletti , Giovanni Bussi , Alessandro Laio

In this paper, we consider a diffusion process pertaining to a chain of distributed control systems with small random perturbation. The distributed control system is formed by n subsystems that satisfy an appropriate Hormander condition,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-09-04 Getachew K. Befekadu , Panos J. Antsaklis

Some sufficient conditions on the algebraic stability of non-homogeneous regime-switching diffusion processes are established. In this work we focus on determining the decay rate of a stochastic system which switches randomly between…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-15 Jing Li , Jinghai Shao

A novel method is presented to compute the exit time for the stochastic simulation algorithm. The method is based on the addition of a series of random variables and is derived using the convolution theorem. The final distribution is…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-15 Basil S. Bayati

This paper models a decision support system to predict the occurance of suicide attack in a given collection of cities. The system comprises two parts. First part analyzes and identifies the factors which affect the prediction. Admitting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-07-29 Athar Kharal

Parallel replica dynamics is a method for accelerating the computation of processes characterized by a sequence of infrequent events. In this work, the processes are governed by the overdamped Langevin equation. Such processes spend much of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-09-04 Gideon Simpson , Mitchell Luskin

Chemical reactions inside cells are generally considered to happen within fixed-size compartments. Needless to say, cells and their compartments are highly dynamic. Thus, such stringent assumptions may not reflect biochemical reality, and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-17 Atiyo Ghosh , Tatiana T. Marquez-Lago

This paper proposes a new fuzzy assessing procedure with application in management decision making. The proposed fuzzy approach build the membership functions for system characteristics of a standby repairable system. This method is used to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-07 Shoele Jamali , Mehrdad J. Bani

In this paper we study the fluctuations from the limiting behavior of small noise random perturbations of diffusions with multiple scales. The result is then applied to the exit problem for multiscale diffusions, deriving the limiting law…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Sergio A. Almada Monter , Konatantinos Spiliopoulos

In this paper we develop a stochastic boundary conditions (SBC) for event-driven molecular dynamics simulations of a finite volume embedded within an infinite environment. In this method, we first collect the statistics of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2011-12-21 M. Prusty , S. A. Cheong

This paper deals with the analysis of stochastic systems which can be described by a Langevin equation. By the method presented in this paper drift and diffusion terms of the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation can be extracted from the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Siegert , R. Friedrich , J. Peinke
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