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Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini

Complex systems are sometimes subject to non Gaussian alpha stable Levy fluctuations. A new method is devised to estimate this uncertain parameter and other system parameters, using observations on either mean exit time or escape…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

The interplay between stochastic chemical reactions and diffusion can generate rich spatiotemporal patterns. While the timescale for individual reaction or diffusion events may be very fast, the timescales for organization can be much…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-12 Schuyler B. Nicholson , Todd R. Gingrich

Risk specialists are trying to understand risk better and use complex models for risk assessment, while many risks are not yet well understood. The lack of empirical data and complex causal and outcome relationships make it difficult to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Hengameh Fakhravar

We use the mean exit time to quantify macroscopic dynamical behaviors of stochastic dynamical systems driven by tempered L\'evy fluctuations, which are solutions of nonlocal elliptic equations. Firstly, we construct a new numerical scheme…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Yanjie Zhang , Xiao Wang , Jinqiao Duan

A new method is proposed to numerically extract the diffusivity of a (typically nonlinear) diffusion equation from underlying stochastic particle systems. The proposed strategy requires the system to be in local equilibrium and have…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-09 Peter Embacher , Nicolas Dirr , Johannes Zimmer , Celia Reina

A central problem in population ecology is understanding the consequences of stochastic fluctuations. Analytically tractable models with Gaussian driving noise have led to important, general insights, but they fail to capture rare,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-08 Brandon H. Schlomann

Coarse-graining of fully atomistic molecular dynamics simulations is a long-standing goal in order to allow the description of processes occurring on biologically relevant timescales. For example, the prediction of pathways, rates and…

Biological Physics · Physics 2020-06-12 Steffen Wolf , Benjamin Lickert , Simon Bray , Gerhard Stock

In this paper we study the problem of computing the effective diffusivity for a particle moving in chaotic and stochastic flows. In addition we numerically investigate the residual diffusion phenomenon in chaotic advection. The residual…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Zhongjian Wang , Jack Xin , Zhiwen Zhang

Many complex systems, ranging from migrating cells to animal groups, exhibit stochastic dynamics described by the underdamped Langevin equation. Inferring such an equation of motion from experimental data can provide profound insight into…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-04-17 David B. Brückner , Pierre Ronceray , Chase P. Broedersz

Mathematical models of pedestrian evacuation and the associated simulation software have become essential tools for the assessment of the safety of public facilities and buildings. While a variety of models are now available, their…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2016-09-14 Alexandre Nicolas , Sebastián Bouzat , Marcelo Kuperman

Atypical, rare trajectories of dynamical systems are important: they are often the paths for chemical reactions, the haven of (relative) stability of planetary systems, the rogue waves that are detected in oil platforms, the structures that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-04-12 Cristian Giardina , Jorge Kurchan , Vivien Lecomte , Julien Tailleur

In this paper, we introduce a mathematical apparatus that is relevant for understanding a dynamical system with small random perturbations and coupled with the so-called transmutation process -- where the latter jumps from one mode to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-09-15 Getachew K. Befekadu

Presently, it is well established that fission of excited nuclei is a dynamical process being a subject of fluctuations and dissipation. In the literature, there are indications that, at the compact nucleus shapes, the strength of nuclear…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-02-03 Maria Chushnyakova , Igor Gontchar

Stochasticity plays a fundamental role in various biochemical processes, such as cell regulatory networks and enzyme cascades. Isothermal, well-mixed systems can be modelled as Markov processes, typically simulated using the Gillespie…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-12 Andrew Duncan , Radek Erban , Konstantinos Zygalakis

Dynamic heterogeneity has often been modeled by assuming that a single-particle observable, fluctuating at a molecular scale, is influenced by its coupling to environmental variables fluctuating on a second, perhaps slower, time scale.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Gregor Diezemann , Gerald Hinze , Hans Sillescu

The measured time series from complex systems are renowned for their intricate stochastic behavior, characterized by random fluctuations stemming from external influences and nonlinear interactions. These fluctuations take diverse forms,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-19 Pyei Phyo Lin , Matthias Wächter , Joachim Peinke , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar

Mathematical models describing the spatial spreading and invasion of populations of biological cells are often developed in a continuum modelling framework using reaction-diffusion equations. While continuum models based on linear diffusion…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2024-01-23 Matthew J Simpson , Keeley M Murphy , Scott W McCue , Pascal R Buenzli

In a data matrix, we may distinguish between cases, each represented by a row vector for a statistical unit, and cells, which correspond to single entries of the data matrix. Recent developments in Robust Statistics have introduced the…

The escape of the randomly accelerated undamped particle from the finite interval under action of stochastic resetting is studied. The motion of such a particle is described by the full Langevin equation and the particle is characterized by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-31 Karol Capała , Bartłomiej Dybiec