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A new efficient ensemble prediction strategy is developed for a general turbulent model framework with emphasis on the nonlinear interactions between large and small scale variables. The high computational cost in running large ensemble…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-22 Di Qi , Jian-Guo Liu

Ensemble forecasting is a technique devised to palliate sensitivity to initial conditions in nonlinear dynamical systems. The basic idea to avoid this sensitivity is to run the model many times under several slightly-different initial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 F J Tapiador , R Verdejo

The motivation of this work is to improve the performance of standard stacking approaches or ensembles, which are composed of simple, heterogeneous base models, through the integration of the generation and selection stages for regression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-31 Roberto Aldave , Jean-Pierre Dussault

Ensemble models refer to methods that combine a typically large number of classifiers into a compound prediction. The output of an ensemble method is the result of fitting a base-learning algorithm to a given data set, and obtaining diverse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Waldyn Martinez

Two-step predictor/corrector methods are provided to solve three classes of problems that present themselves as systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). In the first class, velocities are given from which displacements are to be…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2017-07-10 Alan D. Freed

Conventional simulations of complex systems in the canonical ensemble suffer from the quasi-ergodicity problem. A simulation in generalized ensemble overcomes this difficulty by performing a random walk in potential energy space and other…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-07-24 Yuji Sugita , Ayori Mitsutake , Yuko Okamoto

We present a second-order ensemble method based on a blended three-step backward differentiation formula (BDF) timestepping scheme to compute an ensemble of Navier-Stokes equations. Compared with the only existing second-order ensemble…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-13 Nan Jiang

The chaotic nature of fluid flow and the uncertainties in initial conditions limit predictability. Small errors that occur in the initial condition can grow exponentially until they saturate at $\mathcal{O}$(1). Ensemble forecasting…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Rui Fang

This paper develops a two-level fourth-order scheme for solving time-fractional convection-diffusion-reaction equation with variable coefficients subjected to suitable initial and boundary conditions. The basis properties of the new…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-20 Eric Ngondiep

This paper develops and analyzes a general iterative framework for solving parameter-dependent and random convection-diffusion problems. It is inspired by the multi-modes method of [7,8] and the ensemble method of [20] and extends those…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Xiaobing Feng , Yan Luo , Liet Vo , Zhu Wang

By the end of 2021, the renewable energy share of the global electricity capacity reached 38.3% and the new installations are dominated by wind and solar energy, showing global increases of 12.7% and 18.5%, respectively. However, both wind…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-18 Ágnes Baran , Sándor Baran

Convex regression is a promising area for bridging statistical estimation and deterministic convex optimization. New piecewise linear convex regression methods are fast and scalable, but can have instability when used to approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Lauren Hannah , David Dunson

In this paper, we first propose a filter-based continuous Ensemble Eddy Viscosity (EEV) model for stochastic turbulent flow problems. We then propose a generic algorithm for a family of fully discrete, grad-div regularized, efficient…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Brandiece N. Berry , Md Mahmudul Islam , Muhammad Mohebujjaman , Neethu Suma Raveendran

In many applications, uncertainty in problem data leads to the need for numerous computationally expensive simulations. This report addresses this challenge by developing a penalty-based ensemble algorithm. Building upon Jiang and Layton's…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-01 Rui Fang

For continuous-time linear stochastic dynamical systems driven by Wiener processes, we consider the problem of designing ensemble filters when the observation process is randomly time-sampled. We propose a continuous-discrete McKean--Vlasov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Aneel Tanwani , Olga Yufereva

The second entropy theory for non-equilibrium thermodynamics is used to show that the optimum structure or pattern of a time-dependent system corresponds to the maximum entropy. A formula for the total entropy of convective heat flow is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-09-11 Phil Attard

This paper presents and analyzes two robust, efficient, and optimally accurate fully discrete finite element algorithms for computing the parameterized Navier-Stokes Equations (NSEs) flow ensemble. The timestepping algorithms are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Neethu Suma Raveendran , Md Abdul Aziz , Muhammad Mohebujjaman

The porous medium equation (PME) is a typical nonlinear degenerate parabolic equation. An energetic variational approach has been studied in a recent work [6], in which the trajectory equation is obtained, and a few first order accurate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Chenghua Duan , Wenbin Chen , Chun Liu , Cheng Wang , Xingye Yue

The model of laminated wave turbulence puts forth a novel computational problem - construction of fast algorithms for finding exact solutions of Diophantine equations in integers of order $10^{12}$ and more. The equations to be solved in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 Elena Kartashova , Alexey Kartashov

We present adaptive sequential SAA (sample average approximation) algorithms to solve large-scale two-stage stochastic linear programs. The iterative algorithm framework we propose is organized into \emph{outer} and \emph{inner} iterations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Raghu Pasupathy , Yongjia Song