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Let $G=(V,E)$ be a $d$-regular graph on $n$ vertices and let $\mu_0$ be a probability measure on $V$. The act of moving to a randomly chosen neighbor leads to a sequence of probability measures supported on $V$ given by $\mu_{k+1} = A…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-06-14 Stefan Steinerberger , Rekha R. Thomas

Consider longitudinal networks whose edges turn on and off according to a discrete-time Markov chain with exponential-family transition probabilities. We characterize when their joint distributions are also exponential families with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 William K. Schwartz , Sonja Petrović , Hemanshu Kaul

The classical Birkhoff ergodic theorem states that for an ergodic Markov process the limiting behaviour of the time average of a function (having finite $p$-th moment, $p\ge1$, with respect to the invariant measure) along the trajectories…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-13 Nikola Sandrić

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

In this work, we are concerned with existence and uniqueness of invariant measures for path-dependent random diffusions and their time discretizations. The random diffusion here means a diffusion process living in a random environment…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Jianhai Bao , Jinghai Shao , Chenggui Yuan

Proving a 2009 conjecture of Itai Benjamini, we show: For any C there is an $\varepsilon>0$ such that for any simple graph $G$ on $V$ of size $n$, and $X_0,\ldots$ an ordinary random walk on $G$, $P(\{X_0,\dots, X_{Cn}\}= V) <…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Quentin Dubroff , Jeff Kahn

Let $X_1, X_2, \dots$ be independent, identically distributed random variables taking values from a compact metrizable group $G$. We prove that the random walk $S_k=X_1 X_2 \cdots X_k$, $k=1,2,\dots$ equidistributes in any given Borel…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-15 Bence Borda

The aim of this note is to construct a probability measure on the space of trajectories in a continuous time Markov chain having a finite state diagram, or more generally which admits a global bound on its degree and rates. Our approach is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Michael J. Catanzaro , Vladimir Y. Chernyak , John R. Klein

A block Markov chain is a Markov chain whose state space can be partitioned into a finite number of clusters such that the transition probabilities only depend on the clusters. Block Markov chains thus serve as a model for Markov chains…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Jaron Sanders , Alexander Van Werde

We consider a bivariate stationary Markov chain $(X_n,Y_n)_{n\ge0}$ in a Polish state space, where only the process $(Y_n)_{n\ge0}$ is presumed to be observable. The goal of this paper is to investigate the ergodic theory and stability…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-22 Xin Thomson Tong , Ramon van Handel

In this paper we prove a sharp quantitative version of the Kendall's Theorem. The Kendal Theorem states that under some mild conditions imposed on a probability distribution on positive integers (i.e. probabilistic sequence) one can prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-09 Witold Bednorz

Let $\{T^z\}$ be an ergodic action of the group $Z^n$ by automorphisms of the probability space $(X,m)$, $\sum_{i}^\infty a_i<\infty$, $a_i>0$. For any sequence $M_k\to +\infty$ there exist $N_k>M_k$ and a function $ f\in L_1(X,m)$ such…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-23 Valery V. Ryzhikov

We develop a new bidirectional algorithm for estimating Markov chain multi-step transition probabilities: given a Markov chain, we want to estimate the probability of hitting a given target state in $\ell$ steps after starting from a given…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-11-05 Siddhartha Banerjee , Peter Lofgren

Let $(X, \cal B, \nu)$ be a probability space and let $\Gamma$ be a countable group of $\nu$-preserving invertible maps of $X$ into itself. To a probability measure $\mu$ on $\Gamma$ corresponds a random walk on $X$ with Markov operator $P$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-06-17 Jean-Pierre Conze , Yves Guivarc'h

Let $Z = (Z_t)_{t\in[0,\infty)}$ be an ergodic Markov process and, for every $n\in\mathbb{N}$, let $Z^n = (Z_{n^2 t})_{t\in[0,\infty)}$ drive a process $X^n$. Classical results show under suitable conditions that the sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Martin Hutzenthaler , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Clemens Printz

Asymptotic representation theory of general linear groups GL(n,q) over a finite field leads to studying probability measures \rho on the group U of all infinite uni-uppertriangular matrices over F_q, with the condition that \rho is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Alexey Bufetov , Leonid Petrov

For a Markov chain $Y$ with values in a Polish space, consider the entrance chain, obtained by sampling $Y$ at the moments when it enters a fixed set $A$ from its complement $A^c$. Similarly, consider the exit chain, obtained by sampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-15 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Vladislav Vysotsky

This paper studies Hoeffding's inequality for Markov chains under the generalized concentrability condition defined via integral probability metric (IPM). The generalized concentrability condition establishes a framework that interpolates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Hao Chen , Abhishek Gupta , Yin Sun , Ness Shroff

Markov chains arising from random iteration of functions $S_{\theta}:X\to X$, $\theta \in \Theta$, where $X$ is a Polish space and $\Theta$ is arbitrary set of indices are considerd. At $x\in X$, $\theta$ is sampled from distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-14 R. Kapica , M. Ślęczka

Let $P$ be the transition matrix of a finite, irreducible and reversible Markov chain. We say the continuous time Markov chain $X$ has transition matrix $P$ and speed $\lambda$ if it jumps at rate $\lambda$ according to the matrix $P$. Fix…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Louigi Addario-Berry , Roberto I. Oliveira , Yuval Peres , Perla Sousi
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