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We study a stochastic spatial epidemic model where the $N$ individuals carry two features: a position and an infection state, interact and move in $\R^d$. In this Markovian model, the evolution of the infection states are described with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Yen V. Vuong , Maxime Hauray , Etienne Pardoux

Evolutionary game theory has traditionally employed deterministic models to describe population dynamics. These models, due to their inherent nonlinearities, can exhibit deterministic chaos, where population fluctuations follow complex,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-02 Maria Alejandra Ramirez , George Datseris , Arne Traulsen

Traditional population models that include predator-prey interactions attribute demographic changes directly to predation-related effects. However, predator-induced fear in prey has increasingly been recognised as an important factor…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-12 Özgür Gültekin , Mirza Muradli

There have been significant recent advances in our understanding of the potential use and limitations of early-warning signs for predicting drastic changes, so called critical transitions or tipping points, in dynamical systems. A focus of…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2015-03-06 Karna Gowda , Christian Kuehn

We investigate the most probable phase portrait (MPPP) of a stochastic single-species model with the Allee effect using the non-local Fokker-Planck equation. This stochastic model is driven by non-Gaussian as well as Gaussian noise, and it…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-02-03 Almaz Tesfay , Shenglan Yuan , Daniel Tesfay , James Brannan

We study the impact of stochastic perturbations to deterministic dynamical systems using the formalism of the Ruelle response theory and explore how stochastic noise can be used to explore the properties of the underlying deterministic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 Valerio Lucarini

Stochastic averaging allows for the reduction of the dimension and complexity of stochastic dynamical systems with multiple time scales, replacing fast variables with statistically equivalent stochastic processes in order to analyze…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 William F. Thompson , Rachel A. Kuske , Adam H. Monahan

In this paper, we focus on the influence of heterogeneity and stochasticity of the population on the dynamical structure of a basic susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model. First we prove that, upon a suitable mathematical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Andreas Widder , Christian Kuehn

We illustrate a counter-intuitive effect of an additive stochastic force, which acts independently on each element of an ensemble of globally coupled oscillators. We show numerically and semi-analytically that a very small white noise is…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-06-27 Pau Clusella , Antonio Politi

Stochastic resonance (SR) is a coherence enhancement effect due to noise that occurs in periodically-driven nonlinear dynamical systems. A very broad range of physical and biological systems present this effect such as climate change,…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2021-06-08 Adriano A. Batista , A. A. Lisboa de Souza , Raoni S. N. Moreira

We consider the dynamics of a two-dimensional ordinary differential equation exhibiting a Hopf bifurcation subject to additive white noise and identify three dynamical phases: (I) a random attractor with uniform synchronisation of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Thai Son Doan , Maximilian Engel , Jeroen S. W. Lamb , Martin Rasmussen

We show how one may analytically compute the stationary density of the distribution of molecular constituents in populations of cells in the presence of noise arising from either bursting transcription or translation, or noise in…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-15 Michael C. Mackey , Marta Tyran-Kamińska , Romain Yvinec

Numerical studies of the May-Leonard model for cyclically competing species exhibit spontaneous spatial structures in the form of spirals. It is desirable to obtain a simple coarse-grained evolution equation describing spatio-temporal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-08 Shannon R. Serrao , Uwe C. Täuber

We analyze the nonlinear dynamics near the incoherent state in a mean-field model of coupled oscillators. The population is described by a Fokker-Planck equation for the distribution of phases, and we apply center-manifold reduction to…

patt-sol · Physics 2009-10-22 John David Crawford

We study strictly parabolic stochastic partial differential equations on $\R^d$, $d\ge 1$, driven by a Gaussian noise white in time and coloured in space. Assuming that the coefficients of the differential operator are random, we give…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marco Ferrante , Marta Sanz-Solé

Constructing discrete models of stochastic partial differential equations is very delicate. Stochastic centre manifold theory provides novel support for coarse grained, macroscale, spatial discretisations of nonlinear stochastic partial…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-03-09 A. J. Roberts

This paper shows that the variance of load bus voltage magnitude in a small power system test case increases monotonically as the system approaches a Hopf bifurcation. This property can potentially be used as a method for monitoring…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-11-18 Goodarz Ghanavati , Paul D. H. Hines , Taras I. Lakoba

We consider the impact of additive Gaussian white noise on a supercritical pitchfork bifurcation in an unbounded domain. As an example we focus on the stochastic Swift-Hohenberg equation with polynomial nonlinearity. Here we identify the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-02 Luigi Amedeo Bianchi , Dirk Blömker

We study the large deviations principle for locally periodic stochastic differential equations with small noise and fast oscillating coefficients. There are three possible regimes depending on how fast the intensity of the noise goes to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-05 Paul Dupuis , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

This paper enhances the classical Solow model of economic growth by integrating L\'evy noise, a type of non-Gaussian stochastic perturbation, to capture the inherent uncertainties in economic systems. The extended model examines the impact…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-03 Almaz Abebe , Shenglan Yuanb , Daniel Tesfay , James Brannan