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A multi-type neutral Cannings population model with mutation and fixed subpopulation sizes is analyzed. Under appropriate conditions, as all subpopulation sizes tend to infinity, the ancestral process, properly time-scaled, converges to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Martin Möhle

We consider neutral evolution of a large population subject to changes in its population size. For a population with a time-variable carrying capacity we have computed the distributions of the total branch lengths of its sample genealogies.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-13 A. Eriksson , B. Mehlig , M. Rafajlovic , S. Sagitov

In this work we study the bisexual Galton-Watson process with a finite number of types, where females and males mate according to a ''mating function'' and form couples of different types. We assume that this function is superadditive,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Coralie Fritsch , Denis Villemonais , Nicolás Zalduendo

In this paper, we consider a mathematical model for the evolution of neutral genetic diversity in a spatial continuum including mutations, genetic drift and either short range or long range dispersal. The model we consider is the spatial $…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Raphaël Forien

We consider a single genetic locus with two alleles $A_1$ and $A_2$ in a large haploid population. The locus is subject to selection and two-way, or recurrent, mutation. Assuming the allele frequencies follow a Wright-Fisher diffusion and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Wai-Tong Louis Fan , John Wakeley

In large asexual populations, multiple beneficial mutations arise in the population, compete, interfere with each other, and accumulate on the same genome, before any of them fix. The resulting dynamics, although studied by many authors, is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Daniel S. Fisher

Linear fractional Galton-Watson branching processes in i.i.d.~random environment are, on the quenched level, intimately connected to random difference equations by the evolution of the random parameters of their linear fractional marginals.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Gerold Alsmeyer

We consider an indecomposable Galton-Watson branching process with countably infinitely many types. Assuming that the process is critical and allowing for infinite variance of the offspring sizes of some (or all) types of particles we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-02 V. A. Topchii , V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

Near the beginning of the century, Wright and Fisher devised an elegant, mathematically tractable model of gene reproduction and replacement that laid the foundation for contemporary population genetics. The Wright-Fisher model and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Todd L. Parsons

We develop a general solution for the Fokker-Planck (Kolomogorov) equation representing the diffusion limit of the Wright-Fisher model of random genetic drift for an arbitrary number of alleles at a single locus. From this solution, we can…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Tat-Dat Tran , Julian Hofrichter , Juergen Jost

The classical Galton--Watson process works with a fixed probability of fission at each time step. One of the generalizations is that the probabilities depend on time. We consider one of the most complex and interesting cases when we do not…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Anton A. Kutsenko

Under constant selection, each trait has a fixed fitness, and small mutation rates allow populations to efficiently exploit the optimal trait. Therefore it is reasonable to expect mutation rates will evolve downwards. However, we find this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-23 Brian Mintz , Feng Fu

We describe the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimator of the offspring mean for subcritical strongly stationary Galton--Watson processes with regularly varying immigration with tail index $\alpha \in (1,2)$. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Matyas Barczy , Bojan Basrak , Péter Kevei , Gyula Pap , Hrvoje Planinić

A multitype Dawson-Watanabe process is conditioned, in subcritical and critical cases, on non-extinction in the remote future. On every finite time interval, its distribution is absolutely continuous with respect to the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Roelly

We consider an approximating sequence of interacting population models with branching, mutation and competition. Each individual is characterized by its trait and the traits of its ancestors. Birth- and death-events happen at exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-08 Sandra Kliem

We give sufficient conditions on the offspring, the initial and the immigration distributions under which a second-order Galton-Watson process with immigration is regularly varying.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-03 Zsuzsanna Bősze , Gyula Pap

The stationary distribution of a sample taken from a Wright-Fisher diffusion with general small mutation rates is found using a coalescent approach. The approximation is equivalent to having at most one mutation in the coalescent tree to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-31 Conrad J. Burden , Robert C. Griffiths

We consider a supercritical branching population, where individuals have i.i.d. lifetime durations (which are not necessarily exponentially distributed) and give birth (singly) at constant rate. We assume that individuals independently…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert

An explicit solution for a general two-type birth-death branching process with one way mutation is presented. This continuous time process mimics the evolution of resistance to treatment, or the onset of an extra driver mutation during…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-04-20 Tibor Antal , P. L. Krapivsky

We construct two kinds of stochastic flows of discrete Galton-Watson branching processes. Some scaling limit theorems for the flows are proved, which lead to local and nonlocal branching superprocesses over the positive half line.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-06 Hui He , Rugang Ma