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How does public debt matter for price stability? If it is useful for the private sector to insure idiosyncratic risk, even transitory government debt expansions can exert upward pressure on interest rates and create inflation. As I…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-08 Matthias Hänsel

In this paper, we study the optimal investment problem of an insurer whose surplus process follows the diffusion approximation of the classical Cramer-Lundberg model. Investment in the foreign market is allowed, and therefore, the foreign…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-05 Qianqian Zhou , Junyi Guo

We consider the problem faced by a central bank which bails out distressed financial institutions that pose systemic risk to the banking sector. In a structural default model with mutual obligations, the central agent seeks to inject a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-20 Christa Cuchiero , Christoph Reisinger , Stefan Rigger

This paper develops a new model of business cycles. The model is economical in that it is solved with an aggregate demand-aggregate supply diagram, and the effects of shocks and policies are obtained by comparative statics. The model builds…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-03-22 Pascal Michaillat , Emmanuel Saez

This paper develops a dynamic monetary model to study the (in)stability of the fractional reserve banking system. The model shows that the fractional reserve banking system can endanger stability in that equilibrium is more prone to exhibit…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-18 Heon Lee

We present a macroeconomic agent-based model that combines several mechanisms operating at the same timescale, while remaining mathematically tractable. It comprises enterprises and workers who compete in a job market and a commodity goods…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-11-26 Cornelia Metzig , Mirta Gordon

In this paper, we propose a dynamical model to capture cascading failures among interconnected organizations in the global financial system. Failures can take the form of bankruptcies, defaults, and other insolvencies. The network that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-13 Leonardo Stella , Dario Bauso , Franco Blanchini , Patrizio Colaneri

We explore a model of the interaction between banks and outside investors in which the ability of banks to issue inside money (short-term liabilities believed to be convertible into currency at par) can generate a collapse in asset prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-20 Charles D. Brummitt , Rajiv Sethi , Duncan J. Watts

We provide an overview of the relationship between financial networks and systemic risk. We present a taxonomy of different types of systemic risk, differentiating between direct externalities between financial organizations (e.g.,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-24 Matthew O. Jackson , Agathe Pernoud

A simple banking network model is proposed which features multiple waves of bank defaults and is analytically solvable in the limiting case of an infinitely large homogeneous network. The model is a collection of nodes representing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-02 Igor Tsatskis

The instability of the financial system as experienced in recent years and in previous periods is often linked to credit defaults, i.e., to the failure of obligors to make promised payments. Given the large number of credit contracts, this…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

This paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market within a continuous time stochastic economy. The investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a stock and a riskless…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-07 Traian Pirvu , Huayue Zhang

In this paper, making use of recent statistical physics techniques and models, we address the specific role of randomness in financial markets, both at the micro and the macro level. In particular, we review some recent results obtained…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-31 Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

A financial market is a system resulting from the complex interaction between participants in a closed economy. We propose a minimal microscopic model of the financial market economy based on the real economy's symmetry constraint and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-15 Liu Ziyin , Katsuya Ito , Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami

In the large financial market, which is described by a model with countably many traded assets, we formulate the problem of the expected utility maximization. Assuming that the preferences of an economic agent are modeled with a stochastic…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-21 Oleksii Mostovyi

We study the system of heterogeneous interbank lending and borrowing based on the relative average of log-capitalization given by the linear combination of the average within groups and the ensemble average and describe the evolution of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-22 Li-Hsien Sun

This paper investigates how dispersion in banks' subjective inflation forecasts is a channel of the transmission of monetary policy to credit supply. We extend the Monti-Klein model of monopolistic banking by incorporating risk aversion,…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-16 Eric Vansteenberghe

Interbank contagion can theoretically exacerbate losses in a financial system and lead to additional cascade defaults during downturn. In this paper we produce default analysis using both regression and neural network models to verify…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-29 Riccardo Doyle

We analyze a class of stochastic differential games of singular control, motivated by the study of a dynamic model of interbank lending with benchmark rates. We describe Pareto optima for this game and show how they may be achieved through…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Rama Cont , Xin Guo , Renyuan Xu

The paper tests the validity of the critique of the fiscal theory of the price level. A stochastic general equilibrium model with continuous time is constructed. An active fiscal policy and a passive monetary policy have been set. Monetary…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-05 Andrey Kofnov