English

Optimal bailout strategies resulting from the drift controlled supercooled Stefan problem

Optimization and Control 2022-10-20 v3 Probability Mathematical Finance

Abstract

We consider the problem faced by a central bank which bails out distressed financial institutions that pose systemic risk to the banking sector. In a structural default model with mutual obligations, the central agent seeks to inject a minimum amount of cash in order to limit defaults to a given proportion of entities. We prove that the value of the central agent's control problem converges as the number of defaultable institutions goes to infinity, and that it satisfies a drift controlled version of the supercooled Stefan problem. We compute optimal strategies in feedback form by solving numerically a regularized version of the corresponding mean field control problem using a policy gradient method. Our simulations show that the central agent's optimal strategy is to subsidise banks whose equity values lie in a non-trivial time-dependent region.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2111.01783,
  title  = {Optimal bailout strategies resulting from the drift controlled supercooled Stefan problem},
  author = {Christa Cuchiero and Christoph Reisinger and Stefan Rigger},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2111.01783},
  year   = {2022}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-24T07:23:09.721Z