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Related papers: The speed of sequential asymptotic learning

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In the classic herding model, agents receive private signals about an underlying binary state of nature, and act sequentially to choose one of two possible actions, after observing the actions of their predecessors. We investigate what…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Yu Cheng , Wade Hann-Caruthers , Omer Tamuz

In the classical herding model, asymptotic learning refers to situations where individuals eventually take the correct action regardless of their private information. Classical results identify classes of information structures for which…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-02-14 Itay Kavaler

We consider a group of Bayesian agents who are each given an independent signal about an unknown state of the world, and proceed to communicate with each other. We study the question of asymptotic learning: do agents learn the state of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-14 Elchanan Mossel , Allan Sly , Omer Tamuz

We study a sequential social learning model in which there is uncertainty about the informativeness of a common signal-generating process. Rational agents arrive in order and make decisions based on the past actions of others and their…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-01 Wanying Huang

We study a sequential-learning model featuring a network of naive agents with Gaussian information structures. Agents apply a heuristic rule to aggregate predecessors' actions. They weigh these actions according the strengths of their…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-05 Krishna Dasaratha , Kevin He

This work studies sequential social learning (also known as Bayesian observational learning), and how private communication can enable agents to avoid herding to the wrong action/state. Starting from the seminal BHW (Bikhchandani,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Grant Schoenebeck , Shih-Tang Su , Vijay Subramanian

We study sequential social learning with endogenous information acquisition when agents have a taste for nonconformity. Each agent observes predecessors' actions, chooses whether to acquire a private signal (and its precision), and then…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-05 Georgy Lukyanov , Vasilii Ivanik

I study the problem of social learning in a model where agents move sequentially. Each agent receives a private signal about the underlying state of the world, observes the past actions in a neighborhood of individuals, and chooses her…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-12 Yangbo Song

Understanding information exchange and aggregation on networks is a central problem in theoretical economics, probability and statistics. We study a standard model of economic agents on the nodes of a social network graph who learn a binary…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-01 Elchanan Mossel , Allan Sly , Omer Tamuz

We consider long-lived agents who interact repeatedly in a social network. In each period, each agent learns about an unknown state by observing a private signal and her neighbors' actions from the previous period before choosing her own…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-19 Florian Brandl

We study a social learning scheme where at every time instant, each agent chooses to receive information from one of its neighbors at random. We show that under this sparser communication scheme, the agents learn the truth eventually and…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-05-13 Yunus Inan , Mert Kayaalp , Emre Telatar , Ali H. Sayed

When individuals in a social network learn about an unknown state from private signals and neighbors' actions, the network structure often causes information loss. We consider rational agents and Gaussian signals in the canonical sequential…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-20 Krishna Dasaratha , Kevin He

It is well known that sequential decision making may lead to information cascades. That is, when agents make decisions based on their private information, as well as observing the actions of those before them, then it might be rational to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-22 Yuval Peres , Miklos Z. Racz , Allan Sly , Izabella Stuhl

We consider an infinite collection of agents who make decisions, sequentially, about an unknown underlying binary state of the world. Each agent, prior to making a decision, receives an independent private signal whose distribution depends…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-09-07 Kimon Drakopoulos , Asuman Ozdaglar , John Tsitsiklis

We study how long-lived, rational agents learn in a social network. In every period, after observing the past actions of his neighbors, each agent receives a private signal, and chooses an action whose payoff depends only on the state.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-22 Wanying Huang , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

We study how long-lived rational agents learn from repeatedly observing a private signal and each others' actions. With normal signals, a group of any size learns more slowly than just four agents who directly observe each others' private…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Matan Harel , Elchanan Mossel , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

Observational learning often involves congestion: an agent gets lower payoff from an action when more predecessors have taken that action. This preference to act differently from previous agents may paradoxically increase all but one…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-04-02 Sander Heinsalu

We show that it can be suboptimal for Bayesian decision-making agents employing social learning to use correct prior probabilities as their initial beliefs. We consider sequential Bayesian binary hypothesis testing where each individual…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Joong Bum Rhim , Vivek K Goyal

We analyze boundedly rational updating from aggregate statistics in a model with binary actions and binary states. Agents each take an irreversible action in sequence after observing the unordered set of previous actions. Each agent first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-11 Itai Arieli , Yakov Babichenko , Manuel Mueller-Frank

We consider a network of agents that aim to learn some unknown state of the world using private observations and exchange of beliefs. At each time, agents observe private signals generated based on the true unknown state. Each agent might…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-09-16 Mohammad Amin Rahimian , Shahin Shahrampour , Ali Jadbabaie
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