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This study compares the performances of two sampling-based strategies for the simultaneous estimation of the first-and total-orders variance-based sensitivity indices (a.k.a Sobol' indices). The first strategy was introduced by [8] and is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-16 Ivano Azzini , Thierry Mara , Rossana Rosati

In the context of sensitivity analysis of complex phenomena in presence of uncertainty, we motivate and precise the idea of orienting the analysis towards a critical domain of the studied phenomenon. We make a brief history of related…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-02 Hugo Raguet , Amandine Marrel

In the past decade, Sobol's variance decomposition have been used as a tool - among others - in risk management. We show some links between global sensitivity analysis and stochastic ordering theories. This gives an argument in favor of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-22 Areski Cousin , Alexandre Janon , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Ibrahima Niang

The presence of uncertainties are inevitable in engineering design and analysis, where failure in understanding their effects might lead to the structural or functional failure of the systems. The role of global sensitivity analysis in this…

Computation · Statistics 2017-10-24 Pramudita Satria Palar , Lavi Rizki Zuhal , Koji Shimoyama , Takeshi Tsuchiya

The variance-based method of global sensitivity indices based on Sobol sensitivity indices became very popular among practitioners due to its easiness of interpretation. For complex practical problems computation of Sobol indices generally…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Sergei Kucherenko , Shufang Song

Many existing approaches for estimating feature importance are problematic because they ignore or hide dependencies among features. A causal graph, which encodes the relationships among input variables, can aid in assigning feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Jiaxuan Wang , Jenna Wiens , Scott Lundberg

Shapley values originated in cooperative game theory but are extensively used today as a model-agnostic explanation framework to explain predictions made by complex machine learning models in the industry and academia. There are several…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-15 Lars Henry Berge Olsen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Jullum , Kjersti Aas

Interpretable machine learning has been focusing on explaining final models that optimize performance. The current state-of-the-art is the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) that locally explains variable impact on individual predictions,…

Given a bivariate random pair $(X,Y)$, a natural problem is to estimate, from a single sample $(X_i,Y_i)_{1\le i\le n}$, quantities such as $\mathbb{E}\left[ \mathbb{E}[ Y\mid X ]^2 \right]$. More broadly, sensitivity indices are designed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Reda Chhaibi , Fabrice Gamboa , Clément Pellegrini

This paper presents a simple noise correction method for Sobol' indices estimation. Sobol' indices, especially total Sobol' indices are quite sensitive to the noise in the output and tend to be severly biased (overestimated) if no noise…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-04 Pavel Prikhodko , Nikita Kotlyarov

Computational models of the cardiovascular system are increasingly used for the diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of cardiovascular disease. Before being used for translational applications, the predictive abilities of these models need…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-11 Friederike Schäfer , Daniele E. Schiavazzi , Leif Rune Hellevik , Jacob Sturdy

In spite of increased attention on explainable machine learning models, explaining multi-output predictions has not yet been extensively addressed. Methods that use Shapley values to attribute feature contributions to the decision making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Célia Wafa Ayad , Thomas Bonnier , Benjamin Bosch , Jesse Read

Sensitivity analysis (SA) is a procedure for studying how sensitive are the output results of large-scale mathematical models to some uncertainties of the input data. The models are described as a system of partial differential equations.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Ivan Dimov , Rayna Georgieva

Many mathematical models involve input parameters, which are not precisely known. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the parameters whose uncertainty has the largest impact on the variability of a quantity of interest. One of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-21 Pierre Etoré , Clémentine Prieur , Dang Khoi Pham , Long Li

Interpretability of learning algorithms is crucial for applications involving critical decisions, and variable importance is one of the main interpretation tools. Shapley effects are now widely used to interpret both tree ensembles and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-03 Clément Bénard , Gérard Biau , Sébastien da Veiga , Erwan Scornet

Integrating advanced communication protocols in production has accelerated the adoption of data-driven predictive quality methods, notably machine learning (ML) models. However, ML models in image classification often face significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Lukas Bahr , Lucas Poßner , Konstantin Weise , Sophie Gröger , Rüdiger Daub

We present an HSIC-based approach for global sensitivity analysis of broad classes of models with correlated and possibly function-valued inputs and outputs. To this end, we define the total HSIC sensitivity index: a bounded, interpretable,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Troy Larsen , Alen Alexanderian

The global sensitivity analysis method, used to quantify the influence of uncertain input variables on the response variability of a numerical model, is applicable to deterministic computer code (for which the same set of input variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-08 Bertrand Iooss , Mathieu Ribatet , Amandine Marrel

Sensitivity analysis of a numerical model, for instance simulating physical phenomena, is useful to quantify the influence of the inputs on the model responses. This paper proposes a new sensitivity index, based upon the modification of the…

This paper makes the case for using Shapley value to quantify the importance of random input variables to a function. Alternatives based on the ANOVA decomposition can run into conceptual and computational problems when the input variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Art B. Owen , Clémentine Prieur