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Originally introduced in cooperative game theory, Shapley values have become a very popular tool to explain machine learning predictions. Based on Shapley's fairness axioms, every input (feature component) gets a credit how it contributes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-19 Michael Mayer , Mario V. Wüthrich

Recent studies have examined the computational complexity of computing Shapley additive explanations (also known as SHAP) across various models and distributions, revealing their tractability or intractability in different settings.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Reda Marzouk , Shahaf Bassan , Guy Katz , Colin de la Higuera

Shapley value is a widely used tool in explainable artificial intelligence (XAI), as it provides a principled way to attribute contributions of input features to model outputs. However, estimation of Shapley value requires capturing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Cheng Lu , Jiusun Zeng , Yu Xia , Jinhui Cai , Shihua Luo

The hierarchically orthogonal functional decomposition of any measurable function f of a random vector X=(X_1,...,X_p) consists in decomposing f(X) into a sum of increasing dimension functions depending only on a subvector of X. Even when…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-22 Gaelle Chastaing , Clémentine Prieur , Fabrice Gamboa

Current practice in interpretable machine learning often focuses on explaining the final model trained from data, e.g., by using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method. The recently developed Shapley variable importance cloud…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-19 Yilin Ning , Mingxuan Liu , Nan Liu

Sobol' indices measure the dependence of a high dimensional function on groups of variables defined on the unit cube $[0,1]^d$. They are based on the ANOVA decomposition of functions, which is an $L^2$ decomposition. In this paper we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-06-19 Art Owen , Josef Dick , Su Chen

We propose and assess a new global (derivative-free) optimization algorithm, inspired by the LIPO algorithm, which uses variance-based sensitivity analysis (Sobol indices) to reduce the number of calls to the objective function. This method…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Alexandre Janon

Models of complex technological systems inherently contain interactions and dependencies among their input variables that affect their joint influence on the output. Such models are often computationally expensive and few sensitivity…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Mariia Kozlova , Antti Ahola , Pamphile T. Roy , Julian Scott Yeomans

Shapley values are model-agnostic methods for explaining model predictions. Many commonly used methods of computing Shapley values, known as off-manifold methods, rely on model evaluations on out-of-distribution input samples. Consequently,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-28 Muhammad Faaiz Taufiq , Patrick Blöbaum , Lenon Minorics

This paper proposes a novel approach to explain the predictions made by data-driven methods. Since such predictions rely heavily on the data used for training, explanations that convey information about how the training data affects the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-09 Andreas Brandsæter , Ingrid K. Glad

Multimodal learning combines information from multiple data modalities to improve predictive performance. However, modalities often contribute unequally and in a data dependent way, making it unclear which data modalities are genuinely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Mathew Chandy , Michael Johnson , Judong Shen , Devan V. Mehrotra , Hua Zhou , Jin Zhou , Xiaowu Dai

Models with high-dimensional parameter spaces are common in many applications. Global sensitivity analyses can provide insights on how uncertain inputs and interactions influence the outputs. Many sensitivity analysis methods face…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-27 Haochen Ye , Robert E. Nicholas , Vivek Srikrishnan , Klaus Keller

This paper introduces GeoShapley, a game theory approach to measuring spatial effects in machine learning models. GeoShapley extends the Nobel Prize-winning Shapley value framework in game theory by conceptualizing location as a player in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Ziqi Li

We propose a notion of causal influence that describes the `intrinsic' part of the contribution of a node on a target node in a DAG. By recursively writing each node as a function of the upstream noise terms, we separate the intrinsic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Dominik Janzing , Patrick Blöbaum , Atalanti A. Mastakouri , Philipp M. Faller , Lenon Minorics , Kailash Budhathoki

Shapley values are today extensively used as a model-agnostic explanation framework to explain complex predictive machine learning models. Shapley values have desirable theoretical properties and a sound mathematical foundation in the field…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-16 Lars Henry Berge Olsen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Jullum , Kjersti Aas

Every computer model depends on numerical input parameters that are chosen according to mostly conservative but rigorous numerical or empirical estimates. These parameters could for example be the step size for time integrators, a seed for…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-09-11 Matthias Frey , Andreas Adelmann

Besides accuracy, recent studies on machine learning models have been addressing the question on how the obtained results can be interpreted. Indeed, while complex machine learning models are able to provide very good results in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Guilherme Dean Pelegrina , Leonardo Tomazeli Duarte , Michel Grabisch

We propose a variant of the Shapley value, the group Shapley value, to interpret counterfactual simulations in structural economic models by quantifying the importance of different components. Our framework compares two sets of parameters,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-10 Yongchan Kwon , Sokbae Lee , Guillaume A. Pouliot

An analytic formula is proposed to characterize the variance propagation from correlated input variables to the model response, by using multi-variate Taylor series. With the formula, partial variance contributions to the model response are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-23 Yueying Zhu , Qiuping A Wang , Wei Li , Xu Cai

We propose to estimate a metamodel and the sensitivity indices of a complex model m in the Gaussian regression framework. Our approach combines methods for sensitivity analysis of complex models and statistical tools for sparse…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Sylvie Huet , Marie-Luce Taupin
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