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This paper describes the dependence of market-based statistical moments of returns on statistical moments and correlations of the current and past trade values. We use Markowitz's definition of value weighted return of a portfolio as the…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-17 Victor Olkhov

This paper provides convergence analysis for the approximation of a class of path-dependent functionals underlying a continuous stochastic process. In the first part, given a sequence of weak convergent processes, we provide a sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-22 Qingshuo Song , George Yin , Qing Zhang

We study the short maturity asymptotics for prices of forward start Asian options under the assumption that the underlying asset follows a local volatility model. We obtain asymptotics for the cases of out-of-the-money, in-the-money, and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-19 Dan Pirjol , Jing Wang , Lingjiong Zhu

This paper builds a model of high-frequency equity returns by separately modeling the dynamics of trade-time returns and trade arrivals. Our main contributions are threefold. First, we characterize the distributional behavior of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-02 Eric M. Aldrich , Indra Heckenbach , Gregory Laughlin

We compare systematically several classes of stochastic volatility models of stock market fluctuations. We show that the long-time return distribution is either Gaussian or develops a power-law tail, while the short-time return distribution…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-15 Frantisek Slanina

Biondi et al. (2012) develop an analytical model to examine the emergent dynamic properties of share market price formation over time, capable to capture important stylized facts. These latter properties prove to be sensitive to regulatory…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-27 Yuri Biondi , Simone Righi

This paper presents a new model for options pricing. The Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) model plays an important role in financial options pricing. However, the BSM model assumes that the risk-free interest rate, volatility, and equity premium…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-29 Nicole Hao , Echo Li , Diep Luong-Le

The most common stochastic volatility models such as the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU), the Heston, the exponential OU (ExpOU) and Hull-White models define volatility as a Markovian process. In this work we check of the applicability of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 G. L. Buchbinder , K. M. Chistilin

In an efficient stock market, the log-returns and their time-dependent variances are often jointly modelled by stochastic volatility models (SVMs). Many SVMs assume that errors in log-return and latent volatility process are uncorrelated,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-10 Sujay Mukhoti , Pritam Ranjan

This study develops an integrated stochastic modeling framework for pricing short and medium-maturity equity options and assessing interest-rate risk using the Heston (1993), Bates (1996), and CIR (1985) models. We calibrate the Heston…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-28 Nunik Srikandi Putri , Ajay Kumar Verma , Neo Paul Lesupi

We consider a class of stochastic processes with rough stochastic volatility, examples of which include the rough Bergomi and rough Stein-Stein model, that have gained considerable importance in quantitative finance. A basic question for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-17 Peter K. Friz , William Salkeld , Thomas Wagenhofer

Exponential L\'evy processes can be used to model the evolution of various financial variables such as FX rates, stock prices, etc. Considerable efforts have been devoted to pricing derivatives written on underliers governed by such…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-29 Leif Andersen , Alexander Lipton

Accurate prediction of financial market volatility is critical for risk management, derivatives pricing, and investment strategy. In this study, we propose a multitude of regime-switching methods to improve the prediction of S&P 500…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-07 Ava C. Blake , Nivika A. Gandhi , Anurag R. Jakkula

It is well documented from various empirical studies that the volatility process of an asset price dynamics is stochastic. This phenomenon called for a new approach to describing the random evolution of volatility through time with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-03 Emmanuel Coffie

Norms of Persistent Homology introduced in topological data analysis are seen as indicators of system instability, analogous to the changing predictability that is captured in financial market uncertainty indexes. This paper demonstrates…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-04 Simon Rudkin , Wanling Qiu , Pawel Dlotko

Volatility measures the amplitude of price fluctuations. Despite it is one of the most important quantities in finance, volatility is not directly observable. Here we apply a maximum likelihood method which assumes that price and volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-03 Jordi Camprodon , Josep Perelló

In this paper, we establish sample path large and moderate deviation principles for log-price processes in Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and study the asymptotic behavior of exit probabilities, call pricing functions, and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-17 Archil Gulisashvili

We study the asymptotic behavior of distribution densities arising in stock price models with stochastic volatility. The main objects of our interest in the present paper are the density of time averages of the squared volatility process…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-03 A. Gulisashvili , E. M. Stein

We derive an explicit asymptotic approximation for the implied volatilities of Call options written on bonds assuming the short-rate is described by an affine short-rate model. For specific affine short-rate models, we perform numerical…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-09 Matthew Lorig , Natchanon Suaysom

We present for the first time an asymptotic convergence analysis of two time-scale stochastic approximation driven by "controlled" Markov noise. In particular, the faster and slower recursions have non-additive controlled Markov noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-03 Prasenjit Karmakar