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We establish convergence to an invariant measure as time tends to infinity, for a large class of (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic volatility models. Our arguments are based on a novel coupling idea for Markov chains which also extends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Balázs Gerencsér , Miklós Rásonyi

Diffusion processes driven by Fractional Brownian motion (FBM) have often been considered in modeling stock price dynamics in order to capture the long range dependence of stock price observed in reality. Option prices for such models had…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Ananya Lahiri , Rituparna Sen

In this paper we study the short-time behavior of the at-the-money implied volatility for European and arithmetic Asian call options with fixed strike price. The asset price is assumed to follow the Bachelier model with a general stochastic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-20 Elisa Alòs , Eulalia Nualart , Makar Pravosud

High frequency data in finance have led to a deeper understanding on probability distributions of market prices. Several facts seem to be well stablished by empirical evidence. Specifically, probability distributions have the following…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , Josep M. Porra

The usage of a spot volatility estimate based on a volatility decomposition in a time-changed price-model according to the trading times is investigated. In this model clock-time volatility splits up into the product of tick-time volatility…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Sophon Tunyavetchakit

In the paper, we characterize the asymptotic behavior of the implied volatility of a basket call option at large and small strikes in a variety of settings with increasing generality. First, we obtain an asymptotic formula with an error…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-03 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

We study nearly unstable bivariate cumulative heavy-tailed INAR($\infty$) processes and show that, under a one-factor parameterization and a suitable scaling, they converge to the rough Heston model. This yields a discrete-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Yingli Wang , Zhenyu Cui , Lingjiong Zhu

We study hedging and pricing of unattainable contingent claims in a non-Markovian regime-switching financial model. Our financial market consists of a bank account and a risky asset whose dynamics are driven by a Brownian motion and a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-19 Łukasz Delong , Antoon Pelsser

We propose a general interpretation for long-range correlation effects in the activity and volatility of financial markets. This interpretation is based on the fact that the choice between `active' and `inactive' strategies is subordinated…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Irene Giardina , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Mézard

In this paper, we develop a general rough volatility model for commodities that provides an automatic calibration of the initial term structure of the futures prices and an appropriate treatment of the Samuelson effect. After the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-30 Roberto Daluiso , Héctor Folgar-Cameán , Andrea Pallavicini , Carlos Vázquez

Econophysics and econometrics agree that there is a correlation between volume and volatility in a time series. Using empirical data and their distributions, we further investigate this correlation and discover new ways that volatility and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-21 Zeyu Zheng , Zhi Qiao , Joel N. Tenenbaum , H. Eugene Stanley , Baowen Li

We establish a microstructural foundation of the rough Bergomi model. Specifically, we consider a sequence of order driven financial market models where orders to buy or sell an asset arrive according to a Poisson process and have a long…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-16 Paul P. Hager , Ulrich Horst , Thomas Wagenhofer , Wei Xu

This study delves into the intricate realm of risk evaluation within the domain of specific financial derivatives, notably options. Unlike other financial instruments, like bonds, options are susceptible to broader risks. A distinctive…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-28 Shiva Zamani , Alireza Moslemi Haghighi , Hamid Arian

Non-equilibrium phenomena occur not only in physical world, but also in finance. In this work, stochastic relaxational dynamics (together with path integrals) is applied to option pricing theory. A recently proposed model (by Ilinski et…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Matthias Otto

In this paper, we consider the problem of pricing discretely-sampled variance swaps based on a hybrid model of stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate with regime-switching. Our modelling framework extends the Heston stochastic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-29 Jiling Cao , Teh Raihana Nazirah Roslan , Wenjun Zhang

We consider stochastic control systems affected by a fast mean reverting volatility $Y(t)$ driven by a pure jump L\'evy process. Motivated by a large literature on financial models, we assume that $Y(t)$ evolves at a faster time scale…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Martino Bardi , Annalisa Cesaroni , Andrea Scotti

This paper studies the pricing problem in which the underlying asset follows a non-Markovian stochastic volatility model. Classical partial differential equation methods face significant challenges in this context, as the option prices…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-29 Jingtang Ma , Xianglin Wu , Wenyuan Li

We construct a statistical indicator for the detection of short-term asset price bubbles based on the information content of bid and ask market quotes for plain vanilla put and call options. Our construction makes use of the martingale…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-17 Petteri Piiroinen , Lassi Roininen , Tobias Schoden , Martin Simon

In financial markets, accurately measuring the risk of future fluctuations in asset prices is of paramount importance. Studies such as Carr and Madan have shown that the expected value of the quadratic variation of log prices can be…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Masaaki Fukasawa , Shunta Murayama

The multidimensional Uncertain Volatility Model leads to robust option pricing problems under joint volatility and correlation uncertainty. Their numerical resolution quickly becomes challenging because the associated stochastic control…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-11 Lokman A Abbas-Turki , Jean-François Chassagneux , Jean-Philippe Lemor , Grégoire Loeper , Simon Sananes