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Positive definite kernels and their associated Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces provide a mathematically compelling and practically competitive framework for learning from data. In this paper we take the approximation theory point of view…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-06 Mikhail Belkin

This paper provides new uniform rate results for kernel estimators of absolutely regular stationary processes that are uniform in the bandwidth and in infinite-dimensional classes of dependent variables and regressors. Our results are…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-21 Juan Carlos Escanciano

Asymptotic properties of three estimators of probability density function of sample maximum $f_{(m)}:=mfF^{m-1}$ are derived, where $m$ is a function of sample size $n$. One of the estimators is the parametrically fitted by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-13 Taku Moriyama

Gaussian process regression has proven very powerful in statistics, machine learning and inverse problems. A crucial aspect of the success of this methodology, in a wide range of applications to complex and real-world problems, is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-18 Yifan Chen , Houman Owhadi , Andrew M. Stuart

The kernel-based method has been successfully applied in linear system identification using stable kernel designs. From a Gaussian process perspective, it automatically provides probabilistic error bounds for the identified models from the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-20 Mingzhou Yin , Roy S. Smith

Bayesian inference is a widely used technique for real-time characterization of quantum systems. It excels in experimental characterization in the low data regime, and when the measurements have degrees of freedom. A decisive factor for its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-10 Alexandra Ramôa , Raffaele Santagati , Nathan Wiebe

Optimization under uncertainty and risk is indispensable in many practical situations. Our paper addresses stability of optimization problems using composite risk functionals which are subjected to measure perturbations. Our main focus is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Darinka Dentcheva , Yang Lin , Spiridon Penev

Nonparametric curve estimation by kernel methods has attracted widespread interest in theoretical and applied statistics. One area of conflict between theory and application relates to the evaluation of the performance of the estimators.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Olaf Gefeller , Nils Lid Hjort

Uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in reliable and trustworthy machine learning. Naive measures such as last-layer scores are well-known to yield overconfident estimates in the context of overparametrized neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

The Bayes error rate (BER) is a fundamental concept in machine learning that quantifies the best possible accuracy any classifier can achieve on a fixed probability distribution. Despite years of research on building estimators of lower and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Cedric Renggli , Luka Rimanic , Nora Hollenstein , Ce Zhang

In the present paper, we derive lower bounds for the risk of the nonparametric empirical Bayes estimators. In order to attain the optimal convergence rate, we propose generalization of the linear empirical Bayes estimation method which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-12 Rida Benhaddou , Marianna Pensky

When the data are sparse, optimization of hyperparameters of the kernel in Gaussian process regression by the commonly used maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) criterion often leads to overfitting. We show that choosing hyperparameters (in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-27 Sergei Manzhos , Manabu Ihara

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are commonly used to model dynamic behavior of a system. Because many parameters are unknown and have to be estimated from the observed data, there is growing interest in statistics to develop…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Xin Qi , Hongyu Zhao

We consider the problem of parameter estimation by observations of inhomogeneous Poisson process. It is well-known that if the regularity conditions are fulfilled then the maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimators are consistent,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Yury A. Kutoyants

Classification is a common task in machine learning. Random features (RFs) stand as a central technique for scalable learning algorithms based on kernel methods, and more recently proposed optimized random features, sampled depending on the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-06-15 Hayata Yamasaki , Sho Sonoda

The performance evaluation of biometric systems is a crucial step when designing and evaluating such systems. The evaluation process uses the Equal Error Rate (EER) metric proposed by the International Organization for Standardization…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-02-28 Romain Giot , Mohamad El-Abed , Christophe Rosenberger

In this work we are interested in the problems of supervised learning and variable selection when the input-output dependence is described by a nonlinear function depending on a few variables. Our goal is to consider a sparse nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-14 Lorenzo Rosasco , Silvia Villa , Sofia Mosci , Matteo Santoro , Alessandro verri

The Bayes linear estimator is derived by minimizing the Bayes risk with respect to the squared loss function. Non-unbiased estimators such as ordinary ridge, typical shrinkage, fractional rank, and restricted least squares estimators, as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Hirai Mukasa

We propose a new method for feature learning and function estimation in supervised learning via regularised empirical risk minimisation. Our approach considers functions as expectations of Sobolev functions over all possible one-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-01 Bertille Follain , Francis Bach

Recent results concerning asymptotic Bayes-optimality under sparsity (ABOS) of multiple testing procedures are extended to fairly generally distributed effect sizes under the alternative. An asymptotic framework is considered where both the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-13 Florian Frommlet , Arijit Chakrabarti , Magdalena Murawska , Malgorzata Bogdan