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We consider the problem of sequential detection of a change in the statistical behavior of a hidden Markov model. By adopting a worst-case analysis with respect to the time of change and by taking into account the data that can be accessed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-29 George V. Moustakides

In a spiked population model, the population covariance matrix has all its eigenvalues equal to units except for a few fixed eigenvalues (spikes). Determining the number of spikes is a fundamental problem which appears in many scientific…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-18 Damien Passemier , Jian-Feng Yao

In this paper we develop a complete analytical framework based on Random Matrix Theory for the performance evaluation of Eigenvalue-based Detection. While, up to now, analysis was limited to false-alarm probability, we have obtained an…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-09-23 Federico Penna , Roberto Garello

Consider the detection of a sparse change in high-dimensional time-series. We introduce Sparsity Likelihood-based (SL-based) score and the change-points detection procedure in multivariate normal model with general covariance structure.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Jingyan Huang

In this paper, we develop an online change-point detection procedure in the covariance structure of high-dimensional data. A new stopping rule is proposed to terminate the process as early as possible when a change in covariance structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-12 Lingjun Li , Jun Li

We present an analysis of a heuristic for abrupt change detection of systems with bounded state variations. The proposed analysis is based on the Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) of a history matrix built from system observations. We show…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-04-09 Borhan M. Sanandaji , Eilyan Bitar , Kameshwar Poolla , Tyrone L. Vincent

This paper proposes a novel methodology for the online detection of changepoints in the factor structure of large matrix time series. Our approach is based on the well-known fact that, in the presence of a changepoint, a factor model can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-28 Yong He , Xin-bing Kong , Lorenzo Trapani , Long Yu

The measurement data collected from the supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) system installed in distribution network can reflect the operational state of the network effectively. In this paper, a random matrix theory (RMT)…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-12 Xin Shi , Robert Qiu , Xing He , Zenan Ling , Haosen Yang , Lei Chu

Fault detection is a key challenge in the management of complex systems. In the context of SparkCognition's efforts towards predictive maintenance in large scale industrial systems, this problem is often framed in terms of anomaly detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Elad Liebman

We study sequential change-point detection procedures based on linear sketches of high-dimensional signal vectors using generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) statistics. The GLR statistics allow for an unknown post-change mean that represents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Yang Cao , Andrew Thompson , Meng Wang , Yao Xie

In this paper, we exploit the spiked covariance structure of the clutter plus noise covariance matrix for radar signal processing. Using state-of-the-art techniques high dimensional statistics, we propose a nonlinear shrinkage-based…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-07 Shashwat Jain , Vikram Krishnamurthy , Muralidhar Rangaswamy , Bosung Kang , Sandeep Gogineni

We study sequential change-point detection for spatio-temporal point processes, where actionable detection requires not only identifying when a distributional change occurs but also localizing where it manifests in space. While classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Shixiang Zhu

We present an analytical technique to compute the probability of rare events in which the largest eigenvalue of a random matrix is atypically large (i.e.\ the right tail of its large deviations). The results also transfer to the left tail…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-26 Antoine Maillard

Minimax detection of Gaussian stochastic sequences (signals) with unknown covariance matrices is studied. For a fixed false alarm probability (1-st kind error probability), the performance of the minimax detection is being characterized by…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-04-14 M. V. Burnashev

Investigating the problem of setting control limits in the case of parameter uncertainty is more accessible when monitoring the variance because only one parameter has to be estimated. Simply ignoring the induced uncertainty frequently…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-19 Sven Knoth

Adaptive algorithms belong to an important class of algorithms used in radar target detection to overcome prior uncertainty of interference covariance. The contamination of the empirical covariance matrix by the useful signal leads to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-01 Boris N. Oreshkin

High dimensional piecewise stationary graphical models represent a versatile class for modelling time varying networks arising in diverse application areas, including biology, economics, and social sciences. There has been recent work in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-21 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis , Yves Atchade

We introduce a new random matrix model called distance covariance matrix in this paper, whose normalized trace is equivalent to the distance covariance. We first derive a deterministic limit for the eigenvalue distribution of the distance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Weiming Li , Qinwen Wang , Jianfeng Yao

We study the problem of detecting and locating change points in high-dimensional Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models, whose transition matrices exhibit low rank plus sparse structure. We first address the problem of detecting a single change…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-01 Peiliang Bai , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

Change point detection in covariance structures is a fundamental and crucial problem for sequential data. Under the high-dimensional setting, most of the existing research has focused on identifying change points in historical data.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Zhigang Bao , Kha Man Cheong , Yuji Li , Jiaxin Qiu