English

Detecting Changes in Hidden Markov Models

Statistics Theory 2019-01-29 v2 Applications Statistics Theory

Abstract

We consider the problem of sequential detection of a change in the statistical behavior of a hidden Markov model. By adopting a worst-case analysis with respect to the time of change and by taking into account the data that can be accessed by the change-imposing mechanism we offer alternative formulations of the problem. For each formulation we derive the optimum Shewhart test that maximizes the worst-case detection probability while guaranteeing infrequent false alarms.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1901.08434,
  title  = {Detecting Changes in Hidden Markov Models},
  author = {George V. Moustakides},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1901.08434},
  year   = {2019}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-23T07:21:08.887Z