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Understanding causal relationships between variables is a fundamental problem with broad impact in numerous scientific fields. While extensive research has been dedicated to learning causal graphs from data, its complementary concept of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Jiaqi Zhang , Kirankumar Shiragur , Caroline Uhler

The goal of this paper is to integrate the notions of stochastic conditional independence and variation conditional independence under a more general notion of extended conditional independence. We show that under appropriate assumptions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Panayiota Constantinou , A. Philip Dawid

Tests of conditional independence (CI) underpin a number of important problems in machine learning and statistics, from causal discovery to evaluation of predictor fairness and out-of-distribution robustness. Shah and Peters (2020) showed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-17 Zheng He , Roman Pogodin , Yazhe Li , Namrata Deka , Arthur Gretton , Danica J. Sutherland

Conditional independence plays a foundational role in database theory, probability theory, information theory, and graphical models. In databases, conditional independence appears in database normalization and is known as the (embedded)…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Miika Hannula

Semi-Markov processes generalize Markov processes by adding temporal memory effects as expressed by a semi-Markov kernel. We recall the path weight for a semi-Markov trajectory and the fact that thermodynamic consistency in equilibrium…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-04-15 Benjamin Ertel , Jann van der Meer , Udo Seifert

This paper is concerned with test of the conditional independence. We first establish an equivalence between the conditional independence and the mutual independence. Based on the equivalence, we propose an index to measure the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Zhanrui Cai , Runze Li , Yaowu Zhang

Conditional independence testing is a key problem required by many machine learning and statistics tools. In particular, it is one way of evaluating the usefulness of some features on a supervised prediction problem. We propose a novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-02 Marco Henrique de Almeida Inácio , Rafael Izbicki , Rafael Bassi Stern

An axiomatic treatment of `independence relations' (notions of independence) for complete first-order theories is presented, the principal examples being forking (due to Shelah) and thorn-forking (due to Onshuus). Thorn-forking is…

Logic · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hans Adler

Real-world complex systems are often modelled by sets of equations with endogenous and exogenous variables. What can we say about the causal and probabilistic aspects of variables that appear in these equations without explicitly solving…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-25 Tineke Blom , Mirthe M. van Diepen , Joris M. Mooij

Over the last couple of decades, several copula based methods have been proposed in the literature to test for the independence among several random variables. But these existing tests are not invariant under monotone transformations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-15 Angshuman Roy , Anil Ghosh , Alok Goswami , C. A. Murthy

Markov models lie at the interface between statistical independence in a probability distribution and graph separation properties. We review model selection and estimation in directed and undirected Markov models with Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-03 Irene Córdoba , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

This paper analyzes independence concepts for sets of probability measures associated with directed acyclic graphs. The paper shows that epistemic independence and the standard Markov condition violate desirable separation properties. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Fabio Gagliardi Cozman

We continue the work on the relations between independence logic and the model-theoretic analysis of independence, generalizing the results of [15] and [16] to the framework of abstract independence relations for an arbitrary AEC. We give a…

Logic · Mathematics 2016-09-09 Gianluca Paolini

We introduce an atomic formula intuitively saying that given variables are independent from given other variables if a third set of variables is kept constant. We contrast this with dependence logic. We show that our independence atom gives…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-08-28 Erich Grädel , Jouko Väänänen

Conditional independence of treatment assignment from potential outcomes is a commonly used but nonrefutable assumption. We derive identified sets for various treatment effect parameters under nonparametric deviations from this conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-25 Matthew A. Masten , Alexandre Poirier

We show that the d -separation criterion constitutes a valid test for conditional independence relationships that are induced by feedback systems involving discrete variables.

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Judea Pearl , Rina Dechter

This note provides additional interpretation for the counterfactual outcome distribution and corresponding unconditional quantile "effects" defined and estimated by Firpo, Fortin, and Lemieux (2009) and Chernozhukov, Fern\'andez-Val, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-07 David M. Kaplan

We introduce the concepts of dependence and independence in a very general framework. We use a concept of rank to study dependence and independence. By means of the rank we identify (total) dependence with inability to create more…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-09-27 Pietro Galliani , Jouko Väänänen

We propose a framework for determining whether the causal dependence of an outcome $Y$ on a covariate $X$ changes at a given time point, given confounders $\boldsymbol{Z}$. For instance, in financial markets, the effect of a market…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Kieran Wood , Francesco Quinzan

So far, one-factor copulas induce conditional independence with respect to a latent factor. In this paper, we extend one-factor copulas to conditionally dependent models. This is achieved through new representations which allow to build new…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-12 Nathan Uyttendaele , Gildas Mazo