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We consider a critical bisexual branching process in a random environment generated by independent and identically distributed random variables. Assuming that the process starts with a large number of pairs $N$, we prove that its extinction…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-13 A. P. Zhiyanov , A. V. Shklyaev

We investigate the quasi-limiting behaviour of bisexual subcritical Galton-Watson branching processes. While classical subcritical Galton-Watson processes have been extensively analyzed, bisexual Galton-Watson branching processes present…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-06 Coralie Fritsch , Denis Villemonais , Nicolás Zalduendo

Let $(Z_n,n\geq 0)$ be a supercritical Galton-Watson process whose offspring distribution $\mu$ has mean $\lambda>1$ and is such that $\int x(\log(x))_+ d\mu(x)<+\infty$. According to the famous Kesten \& Stigum theorem, $(Z_n/\lambda^n)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-04 Cécile Mailler , Jean-François Marckert

In this paper, we consider time-inhomogeneous branching processes and time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes, in which the offspring distribution and birth and death rates (respectively) vary in time. A classical result of branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Nicholas Bhattacharya , Mark Perlman

A multi-type branching process is defined as a random tree with labeled vertices, where each vertex produces offspring independently according to the same multivariate probability distribution. We demonstrate that in realizations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-31 Jochem Hoogendijk , Ivan Kryven , Rik Versendaal

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the survival probability of a multi-type branching processes in random environment. The class of processes we consider corresponds, in the one-dimensional situation, to the intermediately subcritical…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-01 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova

We consider a birth-death process with the birth rates $i\lambda$ and death rates $i\mu +i(i-1)\theta$, where $i$ is the current state of the process. A positive competition rate $\theta$ is assumed to be small. In the supercritical case…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Serik Sagitov , Altynay Shaimerdenova

We establish a general sufficient condition for a sequence of Galton Watson branching processes in varying environment to converge weakly. This condition extends previous results by allowing offspring distributions to have infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-22 Vincent Bansaye , Florian Simatos

This paper is concerned with an extended Galton-Watson process so as to allow individuals to live and reproduce for more than one unit time. We assume that each individual can live $k$ seasons (time-units) with probability $h_k$, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-29 J. R. Tan , J. P. Li

It is well-known that conditioning a supercritical (multi-type) branching process on the event that it eventually becomes extinct yields a subcritical branching process. We study the corresponding inverse problem: given a subcritical…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Ewain Gwynne , Jiaqi Liu

We consider a discrete-time host-parasite model for a population of cells which are colonized by proliferating parasites. The cell population grows like an ordinary Galton-Watson process, but in reflection of real biological settings the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-18 Gerold Alsmeyer , Sören Gröttrup

We define a model of Galton Watson processes in dynamical environments where the environment evolves according to a dynamical system (X, T). Three behaviours are possible: uniformly subcritical, critical, and uniformly supercritical. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Thomas Morand

Let $\left\{ Z(n),n\geq 1\right\} $ be a critical Galton-Watson branching process with finite variance for the offspring size of particles. Assuming that $0<Z(n)\leq \varphi (n)$, where either $\varphi (n)=an$ for some $a>0$ or $\varphi…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-11 Minzhi Liu , Vladimir Vatutin

1 Sharp prediction of extinction times is needed in biodiversity monitoring and conservation management. 2 The Galton-Watson process is a classical stochastic model for describing population dynamics. Its evolution is like the matrix…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-29 B Cloez , T Daufresne , M Kerioui , B Fontez

Branching processes pervade many models in statistical physics. We investigate the survival probability of a Galton-Watson branching process after a finite number of generations. We reveal the finite-size scaling law of the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-26 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Francesc Font-Clos , Alvaro Corral

In this paper, we study a Galton-Watson process $(Z_n)$ with infinitely many types in a random ergodic environment $\bar{\xi}=(\xi_n)_{n\geq 0}$. We focus on the supercritical regime of the process, where the quenched average of the size of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Maxime Ligonnière

In this paper, we establish the necessary and sufficient criterion for the contact process on Galton-Watson trees (resp. random graphs) to exhibit the phase of extinction (resp. short survival). We prove that the survival threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Shankar Bhamidi , Danny Nam , Oanh Nguyen , Allan Sly

We consider a branching random walk initiated by a single particle at location 0 in which particles alternately reproduce according to the law of a Galton-Watson process and disperse according to the law of a driftless random walk on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-31 Steven P. Lalley , Yuan Shao

In this paper, we study a new discrete tree and the resulting branching process, which we call the \textbf{E}rlang \textbf{W}eighted \textbf{T}ree(\textbf{EWT}). The EWT appears as the local weak limit of a random graph model proposed…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Mehrdad Moharrami , Vijay Subramanian , Mingyan Liu , Rajesh Sundaresan

A branching process in varying environment with generation-dependent immigration is a modification of the standard branching process in which immigration is allowed and the reproduction and immigration laws may vary over the generations.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Miguel González , Goetz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa , Inés del Puerto