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Critical branching processes in a varying environment behave much the same as critical Galton-Watson processes. In this note we like to confirm this finding with regard to the underlying genealogical structures. In particular, we consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Götz Kersting

The constant rate birth--death process is a popular null model for speciation and extinction. If one removes extinct and non-sampled lineages, this process induces `reconstructed trees' which describe the relationship between extant…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-01 Tanja Stadler , Mike Steel

We consider a continuous-time Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process with logistic competition in a regime of weak competition, or equivalently of a large carrying capacity. Individuals reproduce at random times independently of each other but…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Raphaël Forien

We consider branching random walks and contact processes on infinite, connected, locally finite graphs whose reproduction and infectivity rates across edges are inversely proportional to vertex degree. We show that when the ambient graph is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-16 Wei Su

Motivated as a null model for comparison with data, we study the following model for a phylogenetic tree on $n$ extant species. The origin of the clade is a random time in the past, whose (improper) distribution is uniform on $(0,\infty)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David J. Aldous , Lea Popovic

In this article, we consider a branching random walk on the real-line where displacements coming from the same parent have jointly regularly varying tails. The genealogical structure is assumed to be a supercritical Galton-Watson tree,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-07 Ayan Bhattacharya

Branching processes model the evolution of populations of agents that randomly generate offsprings. These processes, more patently Galton-Watson processes, are widely used to model biological, social, cognitive, and technological phenomena,…

Applications · Statistics 2013-02-26 Fabricio Murai , Bruno Ribeiro , Don Towsley , Krista Gile

A two-types, discrete-time population model with finite, constant size is constructed, allowing for a general form of frequency-dependent selection and skewed offspring distribution. Selection is defined based on the idea that individuals…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-13 Adrián González Casanova , Dario Spanò

Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process with immigration in a random environment. The small positive values and some lower deviation inequalities for $Z$ are investigated. Based on these results, the central limit theorem of $\log…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-28 Yinxuan Zhao , Mei Zhang

We investigate the genealogical structure of general critical or subcritical continuous-state branching processes. Analogously to the coding of a discrete tree by its contour function, this genealogical structure is coded by a real-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Duquesne , Jean-Francois Le Gall

In this paper, we study the speed of extinction of continuous state branching processes in subcritical L\'evy environments. More precisely, when the associated L\'evy process to the environment drifts to $-\infty$ and, under a suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-20 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Juan Carlos Pardo

A continuous-state polynomial branching process is constructed as the pathwise unique solution of a stochastic integral equation with absorbing boundary condition. The extinction and explosion probabilities and the mean extinction and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Pei-Sen Li

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the survival probability of a multitype branching process in random environment. The class of processes we consider here corresponds, in the one-dimensional situation, to the strongly subcritical case.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Vitali Wachtel

The problem of conditioning a continuous-state branching process with quadratic competition (logistic CB process) on non-extinction is investigated. We first establish that non-extinction is equivalent to the total progeny of the population…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Clément Foucart , Víctor Rivero , Anita Winter

A Galton-Watson process in a varying environment is a discrete time branching process where the offspring distributions vary among generations. It is known that in the critical case, these processes have a Yaglom limit, that is, a suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Arturo Jaramillo , Sandra Palau

In Li (2011), Example 2.2, the notion of a multi-type continuous-state branching process (MCSBP) was introduced with a finite number of types, with the countably infinite case being proposed in Kyprianou and Palau (2017). One may consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-22 Andreas E. Kyprianou , Sandra Palau , Yan-Xia Ren

Coalescence processes have received a lot of attention in the context of conditional branching processes with fixed population size and non-overlapping generations. Here we focus on similar problems in the context of the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

We study a class of branching processes in which the offspring distribution is not specified directly but is induced by a cycle of internal colony growth, catastrophic reduction and structured dispersal. The parameters governing growth,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Lucas R. de Lima , Fábio P. Machado

The classical Galton--Watson process works with a fixed probability of fission at each time step. One of the generalizations is that the probabilities depend on time. We consider one of the most complex and interesting cases when we do not…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Anton A. Kutsenko

We give a criterion for unlimited growth with positive probability for a large class of multidimensional stochastic models. As a by-product, we recover the necessary and sufficient conditions for recurrence and transience for critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Etienne Adam
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