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We obtain rates of convergence in limit theorems of partial sums $S_n$ for certain sequences of dependent, identically distributed random variables, which arise naturally in statistical mechanics, in particular, in the context of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Peter Eichelsbacher , Matthias Löwe

Let the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $\{X_t,\,t\geq 0\}$ driven by a fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ described by $d X_t=-\theta X_t dt+ d B_t^H,\, X_0=0$ with known parameter $H\in (0,\frac34)$ be observed at discrete time instants $t_k=kh,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Zheng Tang , Ying Li , Haili Yang , Hua Yi , Yong Chen

The process $(G_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ is referred to as a fractional Gaussian process if the first-order partial derivative of the difference between its covariance function and that of the fractional Brownian motion $(B^H_t)_{t\in[0,T ]}$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-20 Yong Chen , Ying Li

We study the effective estimation of the diffusivity and Hurst parameter for the homogenized limit of a class of slow/fast systems. Depending on the system parameters, this limit solves a stochastic differential equation driven by either a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Pablo Ramses Alonso-Martin

We study the Langevin equation with stationary-increment Gaussian noise. We show the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality with Berry--Esseen bound of the so-called alternative estimator of the mean reversion parameter. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-02 Tommi Sottinen , Lauri Viitasaari

We obtain a Berry-Esseen type bound for the distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter for fractional Ornstein-uhlenbeck type process driven by sub-fractional Brownian motion.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-21 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

For a series of univariate or multivariate complex multiple Wiener-It\^o integrals, we appreciably improve the previously known contractions condition of complex Fourth Moment Theorem (FMT) and present a fourth moment type Berry-Ess\'een…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Huiping Chen , Yong Chen , Yong Liu

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

Assuming that a threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate the parameters. Our theoretical basis is the celebrated ergodic theorem. To use this theorem we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi

Given a Wiener process with unknown and unobservable drift, we try to estimate this drift as effectively but also as quickly as possible, in the presence of a quadratic penalty for the estimation error and of a fixed, positive cost per unit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-24 Erik Ekström , Ioannis Karatzas , Juozas Vaicenavicius

This paper addresses the problem of estimating drift parameter of the Ornstein - Uhlenbeck type process, driven by the sum of independent standard and fractional Brownian motions. The maximum likelihood estimator is shown to be consistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 Pavel Chigansky , Marina Kleptsyna

We consider the parameter estimation problem for the non-ergodic fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process defined as $dX_t=\theta X_tdt+dB_t,\ t\geq0$, with a parameter $\theta>0$, where $B$ is a fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-01 Rachid Belfadli , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Youssef Ouknine

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

Let $ (Z_{n})_{n\geq 0} $ be a supercritical branching process in an independent and identically distributed random environment. We establish an optimal convergence rate in the Wasserstein-$1$ distance for the process $ (Z_{n})_{n\geq 0} $,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Hao Wu , Xiequan Fan , Zhiqiang Gao , Yinna Ye

This paper derives non-asymptotic error bounds for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms in the Wasserstein-$p$ distance. To obtain explicit finite-sample guarantees for the last iterate, we develop a coupling argument that compares…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Seo Taek Kong , R. Srikant

Let $B^{a,b}:=\{B_t^{a,b},t\geq0\}$ be a weighted fractional Brownian motion of parameters $a>-1$, $|b|<1$, $|b|<a+1$. We consider a least square-type method to estimate the drift parameter $\theta>0$ of the weighted fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-02 Abdulaziz Alsenafi , Mishari Al-Foraih , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy

We provide finite sample bounds on the Normal approximation to the law of the least squares estimator of the projection parameters normalized by the sandwich-based standard errors. Our results hold in the increasing dimension setting and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman

The paper is devoted to three-parametric self-similar Gaussian Volterra processes that generalize fractional Brownian motion. We study the asymptotic growth of such processes and the properties of long- and short-range dependence. Then we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

This paper studies quasi Bayesian estimation and uncertainty quantification for an unknown function that is identified by a nonparametric conditional moment restriction. We derive contraction rates for a class of Gaussian process priors.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-08 Sid Kankanala

Let $B$ be a bifractional Brownian motion with parameters $H\in (0, 1)$ and $K\in(0,1]$. For any $n\geq1$, set $Z_n =\sum_{i=0}^{n-1}\big[n^{2HK}(B_{(i+1)/n}-B_{i/n})^2-\E((B_{i+1}-B_{i})^2)\big]$. We use the Malliavin calculus and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-28 Soufiane Aazizi , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy