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We analyze the quality of the gaussian approximation to linear combinations of n independent, identically-distributed random variables with finite fourth moments. It turns out that there exist universal, simple linear combinations that…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-23 Bo'az Klartag , Sasha Sodin

Dirichlet Process mixture models (DPMM) in combination with Gaussian kernels have been an important modeling tool for numerous data domains arising from biological, physical, and social sciences. However, this versatility in applications…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-30 Aritra Guha , Nhat Ho , XuanLong Nguyen

We consider $n$ independent, identically distributed one-dimensional Brownian motions, $B_j(t)$, where $B_j(0)$ has a rapidly decreasing, smooth density function $f$. The empirical quantiles, or pointwise order statistics, are denoted by…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-19 Jason Swanson

In the context of bounding probability of small deviation, there are limited general tools. However, such bounds have been widely applied in graph theory and inventory management. We introduce a common approach to substantially sharpen such…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Jiayi Guo , Simai He , Zi Ling , Yicheng Liu

In this paper, we obtain quantitative, non-asymptotic, and data-dependent \textit{Bernstein-von Mises type} bounds on the normal approximation of the posterior distribution in exponential family models with arbitrary centring and scaling.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Adrian Fischer , Robert E. Gaunt , Gesine Reinert , Yvik Swan

This paper considers the problem of estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with an additive stationary gaussian noise having unknown correlation function. A general model selection procedure on the basis of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-10 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We study the first-passage time, the distribution of the maximum, and the absorption probability of fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter $H$ with both a linear and a non-linear drift. The latter appears naturally when applying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-12 Maxence Arutkin , Benjamin Walter , Kay Joerg Wiese

We consider the estimation of parametric fractional time series models in which not only is the memory parameter unknown, but one may not know whether it lies in the stationary/invertible region or the nonstationary or noninvertible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Javier Hualde , Peter M. Robinson

We consider a sequence of fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, that are defined as solutions of a family of stochastic Volterra equations with kernel given by the Riesz derivative kernel, and leading coefficients given by a sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Luigi Amedeo Bianchi , Stefano Bonaccorsi , Luciano Tubaro

Stochastic approximation (SA) is a method for finding the root of an operator perturbed by noise. There is a rich literature establishing the asymptotic normality of rescaled SA iterates under fairly mild conditions. However, these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Shaan Ul Haque , Zedong Wang , Zixuan Zhang , Siva Theja Maguluri

The classical parametric and semiparametric Bernstein -- von Mises (BvM) results are reconsidered in a non-classical setup allowing finite samples and model misspecification. In the case of a finite dimensional nuisance parameter we obtain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-24 Maxim Panov , Vladimir Spokoiny

The prominent Bernstein -- von Mises (BvM) result claims that the posterior distribution after centering by the efficient estimator and standardizing by the square root of the total Fisher information is nearly standard normal. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Vladimir Spokoiny , Maxim Panov

We develop techniques for determining the exact asymptotic speed of convergence in the multidimensional normal approximation of smooth functions of Gaussian fields. As a by-product, our findings yield exact limits and often give rise to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-09 Simon Campese

We review and present some known results for non-linear functionals of Gaussian variables in the context of discrete Gaussian fields defined on the $d$ dimensional lattice. Our main result is a Central Limit Theorem in the spirit of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Fabio Coppini , Wioletta M. Ruszel

We consider the problem of inference for projection parameters in linear regression with increasing dimensions. This problem has been studied under a variety of assumptions in the literature. The classical asymptotic normality result for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-12 Woonyoung Chang , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Alessandro Rinaldo

We consider a stochastic differential equation involving standard and fractional Brownian motion with unknown drift parameter to be estimated. We investigate the standard maximum likelihood estimate of the drift parameter, two non-standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Yuriy Kozachenko , Alexander Melnikov , Yuliya Mishura

Gaussian process regression is used throughout statistics and machine learning for prediction and uncertainty quantification. A Gaussian process is specified by its mean and covariance functions. Many covariance functions, including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Toni Karvonen , François Bachoc

Under certain mild conditions, some limit theorems for functionals of two independent Gaussian processes are obtained. The results apply to general Gaussian processes including fractional Brownian motion, sub-fractional Brownian motion and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-30 Jian Song , Fangjun Xu , Qian Yu

In this article, we introduce a non Gaussian long memory process constructed by the aggregation of independent copies of a fractional L\'evy Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with random coefficients. Several properties and a limit theorem are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Héctor Araya , Johanna Garzón , Rolando Rubilar

We prove multi-dimensional central limit theorems for the spectral moments (of arbitrary degrees) associated with random matrices with real-valued i.i.d. entries, satisfying some appropriate moment conditions. Our techniques rely on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-30 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati
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