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Overfitting is the bane of data analysts, even when data are plentiful. Formal approaches to understanding this problem focus on statistical inference and generalization of individual analysis procedures. Yet the practice of data analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-28 Cynthia Dwork , Vitaly Feldman , Moritz Hardt , Toniann Pitassi , Omer Reingold , Aaron Roth

The key findings of classical population genetics are derived using a framework based on information theory using the entropies of the allele frequency distribution as a basis. The common results for drift, mutation, selection, and gene…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-11 Reginald D. Smith

Informatics and technological advancements have triggered generation of huge volume of data with varied complexity in its management and analysis. Big Data analytics is the practice of revealing hidden aspects of such data and making…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-03-30 Bikram Karmakar , Indranil Mukhopadhyay

Algorithmic statistics considers the following problem: given a binary string $x$ (e.g., some experimental data), find a "good" explanation of this data. It uses algorithmic information theory to define formally what is a good explanation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-21 Alexey Milovanov

Data stewards and analysts can promote transparent and trustworthy science and policy-making by facilitating assessments of the sensitivity of published results to alternate analysis choices. For example, researchers may want to assess…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-24 Chengxin Yang , Jerome P. Reiter

In 1977 John Tukey described how in exploratory data analysis, data analysts use tools, such as data visualizations, to separate their expectations from what they observe. In contrast to statistical theory, an underappreciated aspect of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-02 Roger D. Peng , Stephanie C. Hicks

Analysis of longitudinal randomised controlled trials is frequently complicated because patients deviate from the protocol. Where such deviations are relevant for the estimand, we are typically required to make an untestable assumption…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-16 Suzie Cro , James R Carpenter , Michael G Kenward

The development of modern information technologies permits to collect and to analyze huge amounts of statistical data in different spheres of life. The main problem is not to only to collect but to process all relevant information. The…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2010-07-08 O. Mryglod , Yu. Holovatch

Adaptivity is an important feature of data analysis---the choice of questions to ask about a dataset often depends on previous interactions with the same dataset. However, statistical validity is typically studied in a nonadaptive model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-10 Raef Bassily , Kobbi Nissim , Adam Smith , Thomas Steinke , Uri Stemmer , Jonathan Ullman

Topological models of empirical and formal inquiry are increasingly prevalent. They have emerged in such diverse fields as domain theory [1, 16], formal learning theory [18], epistemology and philosophy of science [10, 15, 8, 9, 2],…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-01 Konstantin Genin , Kevin T. Kelly

The study of associations and their causal explanations is a central research activity whose methodology varies tremendously across fields. Even within specialized subfields, comparisons across textbooks and journals reveals that the basics…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-13 Sander Greenland

Synthetic data becomes crucial for large language model training, but its effectiveness is highly inconsistent. We provide an information-theoretic account of this inconsistency: synthetic data improves a model only when the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Hanyu Li , Zhengqi Sun , Xiaotie Deng

Theoretical and applied research into privacy encompasses an incredibly broad swathe of differing approaches, emphasis and aims. This work introduces a new quantitative notion of privacy that is both contextual and specific. We argue that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Cameron Bell , Timothy Johnston , Antoine Luciano , Christian P Robert

The use of statistical software in academia and enterprises has been evolving over the last years. More often than not, students, professors, workers, and users, in general, have all had, at some point, exposure to statistical software.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-21 Rui Portocarrero Sarmento , Vera Costa

Predictive statistical mechanics is a form of inference from available data, without additional assumptions, for predicting reproducible phenomena. By applying it to systems with Hamiltonian dynamics, a problem of predicting the macroscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-09-22 Domagoj Kuic

Topological statistical theory provides the foundation for a modern mathematical reformulation of classical statistical theory: Structural Statistics emphasizes the structural assumptions that accompany distribution families and the set of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Patrick Michl

Datasets are often used multiple times and each successive analysis may depend on the outcome of previous analyses. Standard techniques for ensuring generalization and statistical validity do not account for this adaptive dependence. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-13 Vitaly Feldman , Thomas Steinke

This paper extends my research applying statistical decision theory to treatment choice with sample data, using maximum regret to evaluate the performance of treatment rules. The specific new contribution is to study as-if optimization…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-05 Charles F. Manski

Prediction for very large data sets is typically carried out in two stages, variable selection and pattern recognition. Ordinarily variable selection involves seeing how well individual explanatory variables are correlated with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-12 Herman Chernoff , Shaw-Hwa Lo , Tian Zheng , Adeline Lo

Widespread use of the Internet and social networks invokes the generation of big data, which is proving to be useful in a number of applications. To deal with explosively growing amounts of data, data analytics has emerged as a critical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Kwang-Cheng Chen , Shao-Lun Huang , Lizhong Zheng , H. Vincent Poor