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Reversibility is a key property of Markov chains, central to algorithms such as Metropolis-Hastings and other MCMC methods. Yet many applications yield non-reversible chains, motivating the problem of approximating them by reversible ones…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Stefano Cipolla , Fabio Durastante , Miryam Gnazzo , Beatrice Meini

In this paper, we extend hitting times for imprecise Markov chains to the framework of weighted imprecise Markov chains (WIMCs), in which each transition is associated with a strictly positive weight encoded by a matrix $W$. Given a convex…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Marco Sangalli , Thomas Krak

There is a scalability gap between probabilistic and non-probabilistic verification. Probabilistic model checking tools are based either on explicit engines or on (Multi-Terminal) Binary Decision Diagrams. These structures are complemented…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Elizabeth Polgreen , Martin Brain , Martin Fraenzle , Alessandro Abate

Markov decision processes model systems subject to nondeterministic and probabilistic uncertainty. A plethora of verification techniques addresses variations of reachability properties, such as: Is there a scheduler resolving the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Lina Gerlach , Tobias Winkler , Erika Ábrahám , Borzoo Bonakdarpour , Sebastian Junges

Pairwise Choice Markov Chains (PCMC) have been recently introduced to overcome limitations of choice models based on traditional axioms unable to express empirical observations from modern behavior economics like context effects occurring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-03 Alix Lhéritier

We investigate model predictive control (MPC) formulations for linear systems subject to i.i.d. stochastic disturbances with bounded support and chance constraints. Existing stochastic MPC formulations with closed-loop guarantees can be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-08 Johannes Köhler , Ferdinand Geuss , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Regularization of control policies using entropy can be instrumental in adjusting predictability of real-world systems. Applications benefiting from such approaches range from, e.g., cybersecurity, which aims at maximal unpredictability, to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-18 Menno van Zutphen , Giannis Delimpaltadakis , Maurice Heemels , Duarte Antunes

We consider the safety evaluation of discrete time, stochastic systems over a finite horizon. Therefore, we discuss and link probabilistic invariance with reachability as well as reach-avoid problems. We show how to efficiently compute…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-17 Niklas Schmid , John Lygeros

This paper studies various notions of approximate probabilistic bisimulation on labeled Markov chains (LMCs). We introduce approximate versions of weak and branching bisimulation, as well as a notion of $\varepsilon$-perturbed bisimulation…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Timm Spork , Christel Baier , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Jakob Piribauer , Tim Quatmann

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) are a central model for uncertainty in sequential decision making. The most basic objective is the reachability objective, where a target set must be eventually visited, and the more…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Ali Asadi , Krishnendu Chatterjee , David Lurie , Raimundo Saona

Markov chains are a class of probabilistic models that have achieved widespread application in the quantitative sciences. This is in part due to their versatility, but is compounded by the ease with which they can be probed analytically.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Eddie Seabrook , Laurenz Wiskott

Variable Length Memory Chains (VLMC), which are generalizations of finite order Markov chains, turn out to be an essential tool to modelize random sequences in many domains, as well as an interesting object in contemporary probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Peggy Cénac , Brigitte Chauvin , Camille Noûs , Frédéric Paccaut , Nicolas Pouyanne

We introduce a Markov chain model of concurrent quantum programs. This model is a quantum generalization of Hart, Sharir and Pnueli's probabilistic concurrent programs. Some characterizations of the reachable space, uniformly repeatedly…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-06-12 Nengkun Yu , Mingsheng Ying

We consider the problem of estimating the transition rate matrix of a continuous-time Markov chain from a finite-duration realisation of this process. We approach this problem in an imprecise probabilistic framework, using a set of prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-12 Thomas Krak , Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

We consider partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with limit-average payoff, where a reward value in the interval [0,1] is associated to every transition, and the payoff of an infinite path is the long-run average of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-08-23 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin Chmelík

We are interested in the analysis of very large continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) with many distinct rates. Such models arise naturally in the context of reliability analysis, e.g., of computer network performability analysis, of power…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-24 Ernst Moritz Hahn , Holger Hermanns , Ralf Wimmer , Bernd Becker

We analyse the structure of imprecise Markov chains and study their convergence by means of accessibility relations. We first identify the sets of states, so-called minimal permanent classes, that are the minimal sets capable of containing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Damjan Skulj

In this paper we propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) algorithm for linear discrete-time systems affected by possibly unbounded additive disturbances and subject to probabilistic constraints. Constraints are treated in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Lukas Hewing , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Markov chains are one of the well-known tools for modeling and analyzing stochastic systems. At the same time, they are used for constructing random walks that can achieve a given stationary distribution. This paper is concerned with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Saber Jafarizadeh

We aim at characterizing viability, invariance and some reachability properties of controlled piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs). Using analytical methods from the theory of viscosity solutions, we establish criteria for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-09 D. Goreac