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In the present paper, we investigate the relationship between hitting times and hitting probabilities in discrete-time imprecise Markov chains (IMCs). We define lower and upper hitting times and probabilities for IMCs whose set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Marco Sangalli , Erik Quaeghebeur , Thomas Krak

This paper studies three kinds of long-term behaviours, namely reachability, repeated reachability and persistence, of quantum Markov chains (qMCs). As a stepping-stone, we introduce the notion of bottom strongly connected component (BSCC)…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-06-10 Shenggang Ying , Yuan Feng , Nengkun Yu , Mingsheng Ying

We revisit the symbolic verification of Markov chains with respect to finite horizon reachability properties. The prevalent approach iteratively computes step-bounded state reachability probabilities. By contrast, recent advances in…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Steven Holtzen , Sebastian Junges , Marcell Vazquez-Chanlatte , Todd Millstein , Sanjit A. Seshia , Guy Van Den Broeck

Interval Markov Decision Processes (IMDPs) are finite-state uncertain Markov models, where the transition probabilities belong to intervals. Recently, there has been a surge of research on employing IMDPs as abstractions of stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-18 Giannis Delimpaltadakis , Morteza Lahijanian , Manuel Mazo , Luca Laurenti

The Pairwise Markov Chain (PMC) is a probabilistic graphical model extending the well-known Hidden Markov Model. This model, although highly effective for many tasks, has been scarcely utilized for continuous value prediction. This is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-12 Elie Azeraf

Markov chain analysis is a key technique in formal verification. A practical obstacle is that all probabilities in Markov models need to be known. However, system quantities such as failure rates or packet loss ratios, etc. are often not --…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Sebastian Junges , Erika Ábrahám , Christian Hensel , Nils Jansen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Tim Quatmann , Matthias Volk

In this paper, we introduce Max Markov Chain (MMC), a novel representation for a useful subset of High-order Markov Chains (HMCs) with sparse correlations among the states. MMC is parsimony while retaining the expressiveness of HMCs. Even…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Yu Zhang , Mitchell Bucklew

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

Labeled continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) describe processes subject to random timing and partial observability. In applications such as runtime monitoring, we must incorporate past observations. The timing of these observations matters…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Thom Badings , Matthias Volk , Sebastian Junges , Marielle Stoelinga , Nils Jansen

Labeled Markov Chains (or LMCs for short) are useful mathematical objects to model complex probabilistic languages. A central challenge is to compare two LMCs, for example to assess the accuracy of an abstraction or to quantify the effect…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Adrien Banse , Alessandro Abate , Raphaël M. Jungers

This paper presents a simple algorithm to check whether reachability probabilities in parametric Markov chains are monotonic in (some of) the parameters. The idea is to construct - only using the graph structure of the Markov chain and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Jip Spel , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

A challenging problem in probabilistic programming is to develop inference algorithms that work for arbitrary programs in a universal probabilistic programming language (PPL). We present the nonparametric involutive Markov chain Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Carol Mak , Fabian Zaiser , Luke Ong

We introduce the notion of quantum Markov decision process (qMDP) as a semantic model of nondeterministic and concurrent quantum programs. It is shown by examples that qMDPs can be used in analysis of quantum algorithms and protocols. We…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-07-10 Shenggang Ying , Mingsheng Ying

Labelled Markov chains (LMCs) are widely used in probabilistic verification, speech recognition, computational biology, and many other fields. Checking two LMCs for equivalence is a classical problem subject to extensive studies, while the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-05-16 Taolue Chen , Stefan Kiefer

Parametric model checking (PMC) computes algebraic formulae that express key non-functional properties of a system (reliability, performance, etc.) as rational functions of the system and environment parameters. In software engineering, PMC…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Xinwei Fang , Radu Calinescu , Simos Gerasimou , Faisal Alhwikem

The paper is devoted to studies of perturbed Markov chains commonly used for description of information networks. In such models, the matrix of transition probabilities for the corresponding Markov chain is usually regularised by adding a…

We consider the problem of characterising expected hitting times and hitting probabilities for imprecise Markov chains. To this end, we consider three distinct ways in which imprecise Markov chains have been defined in the literature: as…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Thomas Krak , Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock

We establish quantitative bounds for rates of convergence and asymptotic variances for iterated conditional sequential Monte Carlo (i-cSMC) Markov chains and associated particle Gibbs samplers. Our main findings are that the essential…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Christophe Andrieu , Anthony Lee , Matti Vihola

The majority of existing probabilistic model checking case studies are based on well understood theoretical models and distributions. However, real-life probabilistic systems usually involve distribution parameters whose values are obtained…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2013-08-29 Guoxin Su , David S. Rosenblum

This paper addresses the problem of verifying discrete-time stochastic systems against omega-regular specifications using finite-state abstractions. Omega-regular properties allow specifying complex behavior and encompass, for example,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-31 Maxence Dutreix , Samuel Coogan