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In this paper, we propose a novel factor-augmented forecasting regression model with a binary response variable. We develop a maximum likelihood estimation method for the regression parameters and establish the asymptotic properties of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-23 Tingting Cheng , Jiachen Cong , Fei Liu , Xuanbin Yang

Answering causal questions often involves estimating linear functionals of conditional expectations, such as the average treatment effect or the effect of a longitudinal modified treatment policy. By the Riesz representation theorem, these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-06 Kaitlyn J. Lee , Alejandro Schuler

Reinforcement learning (RL) has emerged as a powerful post-training technique to incentivize the reasoning ability of large language models (LLMs). However, LLMs can respond very inconsistently to RL finetuning: some show substantial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Zhepeng Cen , Yihang Yao , William Han , Zuxin Liu , Ding Zhao

This paper proposes econometric methods for studying how economic variables respond to function-valued shocks. Our methods are developed based on linear projection estimation of predictive regression models with a function-valued predictor…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-09 Won-Ki Seo , Dakyung Seong

Functional data analysis tools, such as function-on-function regression models, have received considerable attention in various scientific fields because of their observed high-dimensional and complex data structures. Several statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

We consider the statistical problem of estimating constituent curves from observations of their aggregated curves, referred to as aggregated functional data, in models with additive errors. A typical model arises in chemometrics via the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-07 Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa , Vitor Ribas Perrone

This paper introduces OGBoost, a scikit-learn-compatible Python package for ordinal regression using gradient boosting. Ordinal variables (e.g., rating scales, quality assessments) lie between nominal and continuous data, necessitating…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-20 Mansour T. A. Sharabiani , Alex Bottle , Alireza S. Mahani

We propose modeling raw functional data as a mixture of a smooth function and a highdimensional factor component. The conventional approach to retrieving the smooth function from the raw data is through various smoothing techniques.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-05 Yuan Gao , Han Lin Shang , Yanrong Yang

Forecasting product demand in retail supply chains presents a complex challenge due to noisy, heterogeneous features and rapidly shifting consumer behavior. While traditional gradient boosting decision trees (GBDT) offer strong predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Yadi Liu , Xiaoli Ma , Muxin Ge , Zeyu Han , Jingxi Qiu , Ye Aung Moe , Yilan Shen , Wenbin Wei , Cheng Huang

Semi-structured networks (SSNs) merge the structures familiar from additive models with deep neural networks, allowing the modeling of interpretable partial feature effects while capturing higher-order non-linearities at the same time. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 David Rügamer , Bernard X. W. Liew , Zainab Altai , Almond Stöcker

We present and describe the GPFDA package for R. The package provides flexible functionalities for dealing with Gaussian process regression (GPR) models for functional data. Multivariate functional data, functional data with…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-02 Evandro Konzen , Yafeng Cheng , Jian Qing Shi

This article develops flexible methodology to study the association between scalar outcomes and functional predictors observed over time, at many instances, in longitudinal studies. We propose a parsimonious modeling framework to study…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-25 Md Nazmul Islam , Ana-Maria Staicu , Eric van Heugten

Boosting combines weak (biased) learners to obtain effective learning algorithms for classification and prediction. In this paper, we show a connection between boosting and kernel-based methods, highlighting both theoretical and practical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-14 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Giulio Bottegal , Gianluigi Pillonetto

This paper investigates the integration of gradient boosted decision trees and varying coefficient models. We introduce the tree boosted varying coefficient framework which justifies the implementation of decision tree boosting as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-03 Yichen Zhou , Giles Hooker

In this paper, we introduce TextBoost, an efficient one-shot personalization approach for text-to-image diffusion models. Traditional personalization methods typically involve fine-tuning extensive portions of the model, leading to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-20 NaHyeon Park , Kunhee Kim , Hyunjung Shim

Functional data is a powerful tool for capturing and analyzing complex patterns and relationships in a variety of fields, allowing for more precise modeling, visualization, and decision-making. For example, in healthcare, functional data…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-26 Xiyuan Gao , Jiayi Wang , Guanyu Hu , Jianguo Sun

Boosted decision trees typically yield good accuracy, precision, and ROC area. However, because the outputs from boosting are not well calibrated posterior probabilities, boosting yields poor squared error and cross-entropy. We empirically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Alexandru Niculescu-Mizil , Richard A. Caruana

Text-prompted foundation models for medical image segmentation offer an intuitive way to delineate anatomical structures from natural language queries, but their predictions often lack spatial precision and degrade under domain shift. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Xuchen Li , Hengrui Gu , Mohan Zhang , Qin Liu , Zhen Tan , Xinyuan Zhu , Huixue Zhou , Tianlong Chen , Kaixiong Zhou

Computer vision models normally witness degraded performance when deployed in real-world scenarios, due to unexpected changes in inputs that were not accounted for during training. Data augmentation is commonly used to address this issue,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Puru Vaish , Shunxin Wang , Nicola Strisciuglio

The functional linear model is a popular tool to investigate the relationship between a scalar/functional response variable and a scalar/functional covariate. We generalize this model to a functional linear mixed-effects model when repeated…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-07 Baisen Liu , Jiguo Cao