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We can, and should, do statistical inference on simulation models by adjusting the parameters in the simulation so that the values of {\em randomly chosen} functions of the simulation output match the values of those same functions…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Scalable surrogate models enable efficient emulation of computer models (or simulators), particularly when dealing with large ensembles of runs. While Gaussian process (GP) models are commonly employed for emulation, they face limitations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Grant Hutchings , Derek Bingham , Kellin Rumsey , Earl Lawrence

Most affective computing tasks still rely heavily on traditional methods, with few deep learning models applied, particularly in multimodal signal processing. Given the importance of stress monitoring for mental health, developing a highly…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Zhifeng Wang , Wanxuan Wu , Chunyan Zeng

XGBoost, a scalable tree boosting algorithm, has proven effective for many prediction tasks of practical interest, especially using tabular datasets. Hyperparameter tuning can further improve the predictive performance, but unlike neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Sanyam Kapoor , Valerio Perrone

We analyze the problem of regression when both input covariates and output responses are functions from a nonparametric function class. Function to function regression (FFR) covers a large range of interesting applications including…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-29 Junier Oliva , Willie Neiswanger , Barnabas Poczos , Eric Xing , Jeff Schneider

Large language models (LLMs) have recently been adapted to tabular prediction by serializing structured features into natural language, but their performance in low-data regimes remains limited compared to gradient-boosted decision trees…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yi-Siang Wang , Kuan-Yu Chen , Yu-Chen Den , Darby Tien-Hao Chang

In this paper, we study a functional regression setting where the random response curve is unobserved, and only its dichotomized version observed at a sequence of correlated binary data is available. We propose a practical computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-07 Fatemeh Asgari , Mohammad Hossein Alamatsaz , Valeria Vitelli , Saeed Hayati

The R package BigVAR allows for the simultaneous estimation of high-dimensional time series by applying structured penalties to the conventional vector autoregression (VAR) and vector autoregression with exogenous variables (VARX)…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-24 William Nicholson , David Matteson , Jacob Bien

Model-based reinforcement learning attempts to use an available or learned model to improve the data efficiency of reinforcement learning. This work proposes a one-step lookback approach that jointly learns the deep incremental model and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Cong Li

We propose modeling raw functional data as a mixture of a smooth function and a high-dimensional factor component. The conventional approach to retrieving the smooth function from the raw data is through various smoothing techniques.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-13 Yuan Gao , Han Lin Shang , Yanrong Yang

Diffusion has emerged as a powerful framework for generative modeling, achieving remarkable success in applications such as image and audio synthesis. Enlightened by this progress, we propose a novel diffusion-based approach for symbolic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Zachary Bastiani , Robert M. Kirby , Jacob Hochhalter , Shandian Zhe

This paper proposes a partition-based functional ridge regression framework to address multicollinearity, overfitting, and interpretability in high-dimensional functional linear models. The coefficient function vector \(…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Shaista Ashraf , Ismail Shah , Farrukh Javed

We offer a novel view of AdaBoost in a statistical setting. We propose a Bayesian model for binary classification in which label noise is modeled hierarchically. Using variational inference to optimize a dynamic evidence lower bound, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-09-11 Alexander Lorbert , David M. Blei , Robert E. Schapire , Peter J. Ramadge

This paper introduces a novel spatial scalar-on-function quantile regression model that extends classical scalar-on-function models to account for spatial dependence and heterogeneous conditional distributions. The proposed model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Muge Mutis , Ufuk Beyaztas , Filiz Karaman , Han Lin Shang

In practical regression applications, multiple covariates are often measured, but not all may be associated with the response variable. Identifying and including only the relevant covariates in the model is crucial for improving prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Ana Carolina da Cruz , Camila P. E. de Souza , Pedro H. T. O. Sousa

This paper introduces a robust estimation strategy for the spatial functional linear regression model using dimension reduction methods, specifically functional principal component analysis (FPCA) and functional partial least squares…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Ufuk Beyaztas , Abhijit Mandal , Han Lin Shang

The gradient boosting machine is one of the powerful tools for solving regression problems. In order to cope with its shortcomings, an approach for constructing ensembles of gradient boosting models is proposed. The main idea behind the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

We propose a novel approach for using unsupervised boosting to create an ensemble of generative models, where models are trained in sequence to correct earlier mistakes. Our meta-algorithmic framework can leverage any existing base learner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Aditya Grover , Stefano Ermon

Analyzing ecological data often requires modeling the autocorrelation created by spatial and temporal processes. Many of the statistical methods used to account for autocorrelation can be viewed as regression models that include basis…

We propose a novel distributional regression model for a multivariate response vector based on a copula process over the covariate space. It uses the implicit copula of a Gaussian multivariate regression, which we call a ``regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-06 Nadja Klein , Michael Stanley Smith , David Nott , Ryan Chisholm
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