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This study delves into the intricate realm of risk evaluation within the domain of specific financial derivatives, notably options. Unlike other financial instruments, like bonds, options are susceptible to broader risks. A distinctive…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-28 Shiva Zamani , Alireza Moslemi Haghighi , Hamid Arian

Using particle system methodologies we study the propagation of financial distress in a network of firms facing credit risk. We investigate the phenomenon of a credit crisis and quantify the losses that a bank may suffer in a large credit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-03-04 Paolo Dai Pra , Wolfgang J. Runggaldier , Elena Sartori , Marco Tolotti

This paper proposes a framework for adaptively learning a feedback linearization-based tracking controller for an unknown system using discrete-time model-free policy-gradient parameter update rules. The primary advantage of the scheme over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-07 Tyler Westenbroek , Eric Mazumdar , David Fridovich-Keil , Valmik Prabhu , Claire J. Tomlin , S. Shankar Sastry

Cryptocurrency markets exhibit pronounced momentum effects and regime-dependent volatility, presenting both opportunities and challenges for systematic trading strategies. We propose AdaptiveTrend, a multi-component algorithmic trading…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Duc Bui , Thanh Nguyen

This paper studies the dynamic programming principle using the measurable selection method for stochastic control of continuous processes. The novelty of this work is to incorporate intermediate expectation constraints on the canonical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Yuk-Loong Chow , Xiang Yu , Chao Zhou

We study the optimal portfolio liquidation problem over a finite horizon in a limit order book with bid-ask spread and temporary market price impact penalizing speedy execution trades. We use a continuous-time modeling framework, but in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-10 Idris Kharroubi , Huyen Pham

Purpose: This study introduces a novel framework for identifying and exploiting predictive lead-lag relationships in financial markets. We propose an integrated approach that combines advanced statistical methodologies with machine learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Ivan Letteri

The question of pricing and hedging a given contingent claim has a unique solution in a complete market framework. When some incompleteness is introduced, the problem becomes however more difficult. Several approaches have been adopted in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-08 Pauline Barrieu , Nicole El Karoui

We study an optimal investment/consumption problem in a model capturing market and credit risk dependencies. Stochastic factors drive both the default intensity and the volatility of the stocks in the portfolio. We use the martingale…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-20 Lijun Bo , Agostino Capponi

We propose a data-driven tracking model predictive control (MPC) scheme to control unknown discrete-time linear time-invariant systems. The scheme uses a purely data-driven system parametrization to predict future trajectories based on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-19 Julian Berberich , Johannes Köhler , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

We present a numerically efficient approach for learning a risk-neutral measure for paths of simulated spot and option prices up to a finite horizon under convex transaction costs and convex trading constraints. This approach can then be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Ben Wood

We design a system for risk-analyzing and pricing portfolios of non-performing consumer credit loans. The rapid development of credit lending business for consumers heightens the need for trading portfolios formed by overdue loans as a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-29 Siyi Wang , Xing Yan , Bangqi Zheng , Hu Wang , Wangli Xu , Nanbo Peng , Qi Wu

The proposed model modifies option pricing formulas for the basic case of log-normal probability distribution providing correspondence to formulated criteria of efficiency and completeness. The model is self-calibrating by historic…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Pavel Levin

The interconnectedness of financial institutions affects instability and credit crises. To quantify systemic risk we introduce here the PD model, a dynamic model that combines credit risk techniques with a contagion mechanism on the network…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-10 Daniele Petrone , Vito Latora

We introduce Dirac processes, using Dirac delta functions, for short-rate-type pricing of financial derivatives. Dirac processes add spikes to the existing building blocks of diffusions and jumps. Dirac processes are Generalized Processes,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-20 Chris Kenyon , Andrew Green

In this paper, we provide a model-independent extension of the paradigm of dynamic hedging of derivative claims. We relate model-independent replication strategies to local martingales having a closed form which we can characterise via…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 Tigran Atoyan

This article studies a portfolio optimization problem, where the market consisting of several stocks is modeled by a multi-dimensional jump-diffusion process with age-dependent semi-Markov modulated coefficients. We study risk sensitive…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Milan Kumar Das , Anindya Goswami , Nimit Rana

The failure of key financial institutions may accelerate risk contagion due to their interconnections within the system. In this paper, we propose a robust portfolio strategy to mitigate systemic risks during extreme events. We use the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-21 Qian Hui , Tiandong Wang

In the market place, diversification reduces risk and provides protection against extreme events by ensuring that one is not overly exposed to individual occurrences. We argue that diversification is best measured by characteristics of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-24 Ulrich Kirchner , Caroline Zunckel

An actively managed portfolio almost never beats the market in the long term. Thus, many investors often resort to passively managed portfolios whose aim is to follow a certain financial index. The task of building such passive portfolios…

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