Related papers: Approximation of Ruin Probabilities via Erlangized…
To avoid specification of the error distribution in a regression model, we propose a general nonparametric scale mixture model for the error distribution. For fitting such mixtures, the predictive recursion method is a simple and…
In this paper, we study Runge--Kutta methods for the computation of ruin probabilities in the classical risk model through the associated Volterra integro-differential equation. The proposed framework combines fourth-order one-step and…
We describe a general strategy, PERM (Pruned-Enriched Rosenbluth Method), for sampling configurations from a given Gibbs-Boltzmann distribution. The method is not based on the Metropolis concept of establishing a Markov process whose…
Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is a widely used iterative algorithm for computing (local) maximum likelihood estimate (MLE). It can be used in an extensive range of problems, including the clustering of data based on the Gaussian…
A Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem quantifies the relative error of the tail probability approximation. It provides theoretical justification when the limiting tail probability can be used to estimate the tail probability under…
This paper introduces the multivariate tail-inflated normal (MTIN) distribution, an elliptical heavy-tails generalization of the multivariate normal (MN). The MTIN belongs to the family of MN scale mixtures by choosing a convenient…
This paper deals with statistical inference for the scale mixture models. We study an estimation approach based on the Mellin -- Stieltjes transform that can be applied to both discrete and absolute continuous mixing distributions. The…
In this paper we consider the problem of sampling from the low-temperature exponential random graph model (ERGM). The usual approach is via Markov chain Monte Carlo, but Bhamidi et al. showed that any local Markov chain suffers from an…
We study a class of stochastic semilinear damped wave equations driven by additive Wiener noise. Owing to the damping term, under appropriate conditions on the nonlinearity, the solution admits a unique invariant distribution. We apply…
Due to its practical use, De Vylder's approximation of the ruin probability has been one of the most popular approximations in ruin theory and its application to insurance. Surprisingly, only heuristic and numerical evidence has supported…
In this paper, we consider a classical risk model refracted at given level. We give an explicit expression for the joint density of the ruin time and the cumulative number of claims counted up to ruin time. The proof is based on solving…
In this paper, a B-spline chained multiple random matrices representation is proposed to model geometric characteristics of an elongated deformable object. The hyper degrees of freedom structure of the elongated deformable object make its…
Standard rare-event simulation techniques require exact distributional specifications, which limits their effectiveness in the presence of distributional uncertainty. To address this, we develop a novel framework for estimating rare-event…
Empirical likelihood is a very important nonparametric approach which is of wide application. However, it is hard and even infeasible to calculate the empirical log-likelihood ratio statistic with massive data. The main challenge is the…
Stochastic Event Timing is a fundamental issue in developing both analytic and simulation models for stochastic systems. Generalized Erlang distributions are quite useful for generating those random events in a quite general way by…
We propose a straightforward and effective method for discretizing multi-dimensional diffusion processes as an extension of Milstein scheme. The new scheme is explicitly given and can be simulated using Gaussian variates, requiring the same…
We propose an analytical approach to the computation of tail probabilities of compound distributions whose individual components have heavy tails. Our approach is based on the contour integration method, and gives rise to a representation…
The family of location and scale mixtures of Gaussians has the ability to generate a number of flexible distributional forms. It nests as particular cases several important asymmetric distributions like the Generalised Hyperbolic…
We present a new and surprisingly simple analysis of random-shift decompositions -- originally proposed by Miller, Peng, and Xu [SPAA'13]: We show that decompositions for exponentially growing scales $D = 2^0, 2^1, \ldots,…
We develop an unsupervised mixture model for non-negative, skewed and heavy-tailed data, such as losses in actuarial and risk management applications. The mixture has a lognormal component, which is usually appropriate for the body of the…