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In this study we extend the results of Kurtz (1970,1971) to show the weak convergence of epidemic processes that include explicit time dependence, specifically where the transmission parameter,$\beta(t)$, carries a time dependency. We first…
We consider an individual-based SIR stochastic epidemic model in continuous space. The evolution of the epidemic involves the rates of infection and cure of individuals. We assume that individuals move randomly on the two-dimensional torus…
For a smooth bounded domain $\Omega\subseteq\mathbb{R}^n$, $n\geq 3$, we consider the fast diffusion equation with critical sobolev exponent $$\frac{\partial w}{\partial\tau} =\Delta w^{\frac{n-2}{n+2}}$$ under Dirichlet boundary condition…
We extend a recent study of susceptible-infected-removed epidemic processes with long range infection (referred to as I in the following) from 1-dimensional lattices to lattices in two dimensions. As in I we use hashing to simulate very…
Our aim in this paper is to discuss the critical exponent in semi-linear structurally damped wave and beam equations with additional dispersion term. The special model we have in mind is $$…
We consider the critical spread-out contact process in $\Zd$ with $d\geq 1$, whose infection range is denoted by $L\geq1$. The two-point function $\tau_t(x)$ is the probability that $x\in\Zd$ is infected at time $t$ by the infected…
Pairwise models are used widely to model epidemic spread on networks. These include the modelling of susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemics on regular networks and extensions to SIS dynamics and contact tracing on more exotic networks…
Healthy and sick individuals (A and B particles) diffuse independently with diffusion constants D_A and D_B. Sick individuals upon encounter infect healthy ones (at rate k), but may also spontaneously recover (at rate 1/\tau). The…
Suppose that $N_0$ independently diffusing particles, each with diffusivity $D$, are initially released at $x=\ell>0$ on the semi-infinite interval $0\leq x<\infty$ with an absorber at $x=0$. We determine the probability ${\cal P}(N)$ that…
The boundary modified contact process models an epidemic spreading in one dimension with two infection parameters, $\lambda_i$ and $\lambda_e$. Starting from a finite infected set, each edge of $\mathbb{Z}$ transmits the infection at rate…
We study two simple mathematical models of the epidemic. At first, we study the repetitive infection spreading in a simplified SIRS model including the effect of the decay of the acquired immune. The model is an intermediate model of the…
We present an analysis of six deterministic models for epidemic spreading. The evolution of the number of individuals of each class is given by ordinary differential equations of the first order in time, which are set up by using the laws…
We consider extinction times for a class of birth-death processes commonly found in applications, where there is a control parameter which determines whether the population quickly becomes extinct, or rather persists for a long time. We…
We study diffusion-controlled single-species annihilation with a finite number of particles. In this reaction-diffusion process, each particle undergoes ordinary diffusion, and when two particles meet, they annihilate. We focus on spatial…
To study the influence of the moving front of the infected interval and the spatial movement of individuals on the spreading or vanishing of infectious disease, we consider a nonlocal SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible)…
An epidemic model, where the dispersal is approximated by nonlocal diffusion operator and spatial domain has one ?xed boundary and one free boundary, is considered in this paper. Firstly, using some elementary analysis instead of…
We prove finite time extinction for stochastic sign fast diffusion equations driven by linear multiplicative space-time noise, corresponding to the Bak-Tang-Wiesenfeld model for self-organized criticality. This solves a problem posed and…
We consider the contact process on finite and connected graphs and study the behavior of the extinction time, that is, the amount of time that it takes for the infection to disappear in the process started from full occupancy. We prove,…
We study a Sobolev critical fast diffusion equation in bounded domains with the Brezis-Nirenberg effect. We obtain extinction profiles of its positive solutions, and show that the convergence rates of the relative error in regular norms are…
The truncated two-point function of the nearest-neighbor ferromagnetic Ising model on $\mathbb Z^d$ ($d\ge3$) in its pure phases is proven to decays exponentially fast throughout the ordered regime ($T<T_c$). Together with known results,…