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Using a mean-field network formulation of the Bass innovation diffusion model and exact results by Fotouhi and Rabbat on the degree correlations of Barabasi-Albert networks, we compute the times of the diffusion peak and compare them with…
The SIR model is a classical model characterizing the spreading of infectious diseases. This model describes the time-dependent quantity changes among Susceptible, Infectious, and Recovered groups. By introducing space-depend effects such…
In a semi-infinite geometry, a 1D, M-component model of biological evolution realizes microscopically an inhomogeneous branching process for $M \to \infty$. This implies in particular a size distribution exponent $\tau'=7/4$ for avalanches…
This paper addresses the question of how population diffusion affects the formation of the spatial patterns in the spatial epidemic model by Turing mechanisms. In particular, we present theoretical analysis to results of the numerical…
The paradigm for compartment models in epidemiology assumes exponentially distributed incubation and removal times, which is not realistic in actual populations. Commonly used variations with multiple exponentially distributed variables are…
We study lower and upper bounds for the density of a diffusion process in ${\mathbb{R}}^n$ in a small (but not asymptotic) time, say $\delta$. We assume that the diffusion coefficients $\sigma_1,\ldots,\sigma_d$ may degenerate at the…
In this paper, we study some parameter-dependent reaction-diffusion models governed by the Born-Infeld (or Minkowski) operator. In dependence on two parameters $a, b > 0$, related to the field strength and to the diffusivity, we investigate…
Elkies and McMullen [Duke Math.J.~123 (2004) 95--139] have shown that the gaps between the fractional parts of \sqrt n for n=1,\ldots,N, have a limit distribution as N tends to infinity. The limit distribution is non-standard and differs…
In this paper, we are concerned with two SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion models with mass action infection mechanism of the form $SI$, and study the spatial profile of population distribution as the movement rate of the infected individuals…
In this paper, we derive theoretical bounds for the long-term influence of a node in an Independent Cascade Model (ICM). We relate these bounds to the spectral radius of a particular matrix and show that the behavior is sub-critical when…
The SIR model is a three-compartment model of the time development of an epidemic. After normalizing the dependent variables, the model is a system of two non-linear differential equations for the susceptible proportion $S$ and the infected…
A habitat that is moving due to environmental change may result in tipping to extinction if the rate at which it moves is too great. We use a scalar reaction-diffusion equation with a non-autonomous reaction term, representing a spatially…
Infection spread among individuals is modelled with a continuous time Markov chain, in which subject interactions depend on their distance in space. The well known SIR model and non local variants of the latter are then obtained as large…
We consider the time dependent dispersion properties of overdamped tracer particles diffusing in a one dimensional periodic potential under the influence of an additional constant tilting force $F$. The system is studied in the region where…
We obtain functional central limit theorems for both discrete time expressions of the form $1/\sqrt{N}\sum_{n=1}^{[Nt]}(F(X(q_1(n)),\ldots, X(q_{\ell}(n)))-\bar{F})$ and similar expressions in the continuous time where the sum is replaced…
For a diffusion process $X(t)$ of drift $\mu(x)$ and of diffusion coefficient $D=1/2$, we study the joint distribution of the two local times $A(t)= \int_{0}^{t} d\tau \delta(X(\tau)) $ and $B(t)= \int_{0}^{t} d\tau \delta(X(\tau)-L) $ at…
We study the classic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model for the spread of an infectious disease. In this stochastic process, there are two competing mechanism: infection and recovery. Susceptible individuals may contract the disease…
We consider a rate control problem for an $N$-particle weakly interacting finite state Markov process. The process models the state evolution of a large collection of particles and allows for multiple particles to change state…
We study in this paper a compartmental SIR model for a population distributed in a bounded domain D of $\mathbb{R}^d$, d= 1, 2, or 3. We describe a spatial model for the spread of a disease on a grid of D. We prove two laws of large…
We introduce a family of abelian sandpile models with two parameters $n, m \in {\bf N}$ defined on finite lattices on $d$-dimensional torus. Sites with $2dn+m$ or more grains of sand are unstable and topple, and in each toppling $m$ grains…