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We study the crowding of near-extreme events in the time gaps between successive finishers in major international marathons. Naively, one might expect these gaps to become progressively larger for better-placing finishers. While such an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-04-23 Sanjib Sabhapandit , Satya N. Majumdar , S. Redner

The accuracy of machine learning systems is a widely studied research topic. Established techniques such as cross-validation predict the accuracy on unseen data of the classifier produced by applying a given learning method to a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-06 J. E. Smith , P. Caleb-Solly , M. A. Tahir , D. Sannen , H. van-Brussel

As automatic optimization techniques find their way into industrial applications, the behavior of many complex systems is determined by some form of planner picking the right actions to optimize a given objective function. In many cases,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Thomas Gabor , Lenz Belzner , Thomy Phan , Kyrill Schmid

Human motion prediction, which plays a key role in computer vision, generally requires a past motion sequence as input. However, in real applications, a complete and correct past motion sequence can be too expensive to achieve. In this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Chunzhi Gu , Yan Zhao , Chao Zhang

Precision medicine has led to a paradigm shift allowing the development of targeted drugs that are agnostic to the tumor location. In this context, basket trials aim to identify which tumor types - or baskets - would benefit from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Marcio A. Diniz , Hulya Kocyigit , Erin Moshier , Madhu Mazumdar , Deukwoo Kwon

Individual mobility trajectories are difficult to measure and often incur long periods of missingness. Aggregation of this mobility data without accounting for the missingness leads to erroneous results, underestimating travel behavior.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Danielle McCool , Peter Lugtig , Barry Schouten

With the recent advances in the object detection research field, tracking-by-detection has become the leading paradigm adopted by multi-object tracking algorithms. By extracting different features from detected objects, those algorithms can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Michel Meneses , Leonardo Matos , Bruno Prado , André de Carvalho , Hendrik Macedo

Delayed outcomes are ubiquitous in online experimentation. When such a temporal dimension is present, treatment influences not only the outcome value but also the outcome timing, which can move in opposite directions. Motivated by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Michael Lindon , Nathan Kallus

Training large language models faces frequent interruptions due to various faults, demanding robust fault-tolerance. Existing backup-free methods, such as redundant computation, dynamic parallelism, and data rerouting, each incur…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Yuhang Zhou , Zhibin Wang , Peng Jiang , Haoran Xia , Junhe Lu , Qianyu Jiang , Rong Gu , Hengxi Xu , Xinjing Huang , Guanghuan Fang , Zhiheng Hu , Jingyi Zhang , Yongjin Cai , Jian He , Chen Tian

A classical approach to abnormal activity detection is to learn a representation for normal activities from the training data and then use this learned representation to detect abnormal activities while testing. Typically, the methods based…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-14 Royston Rodrigues , Neha Bhargava , Rajbabu Velmurugan , Subhasis Chaudhuri

We study online conformal prediction for non-stationary data streams subject to unknown distribution drift. While most prior work studied this problem under adversarial settings and/or assessed performance in terms of gaps of time-averaged…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jiadong Liang , Zhimei Ren , Yuxin Chen

As an integral part of contemporary manufacturing, monitoring systems obtain valuable information during machining to oversee the condition of both the process and the machine. Recently, diverse algorithms have been employed to detect tool…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Zongshuo Li , Markus Meurer , Thomas Bergs

Over the past years, fashion-related challenges have gained a lot of attention in the research community. Outfit generation and recommendation, i.e., the composition of a set of items of different types (e.g., tops, bottom, shoes,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Marjan Celikik , Matthias Kirmse , Timo Denk , Pierre Gagliardi , Sahar Mbarek , Duy Pham , Ana Peleteiro Ramallo

Advances in wearables and digital technology now make it possible to deliver behavioral mobile health interventions to individuals in their everyday life. The micro-randomized trial (MRT) is increasingly used to provide data to inform the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-30 Tianchen Qian , Hyesun Yoo , Predrag Klasnja , Daniel Almirall , Susan A. Murphy

A key trait of stochastic optimizers is that multiple runs of the same optimizer in attempting to solve the same problem can produce different results. As a result, their performance is evaluated over several repeats, or runs, on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Moslem Noori , Elisabetta Valiante , Thomas Van Vaerenbergh , Masoud Mohseni , Ignacio Rozada

Estimation and inference with modern longitudinal data from wearable devices, which consist of biological signals at high-frequency time points, is burdened by massive computational costs. We propose a distributed estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Cole Manschot , Emily C. Hector

Predicting outcomes in sports is important for teams, leagues, bettors, media, and fans. Given the growing amount of player tracking data, sports analytics models are increasingly utilizing spatially-derived features built upon player…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Peter Xenopoulos , Claudio Silva

AfterLearnER (After Learning Evolutionary Retrofitting) consists in applying evolutionary optimization to refine fully trained machine learning models by optimizing a set of carefully chosen parameters or hyperparameters of the model, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Mathurin Videau , Mariia Zameshina , Alessandro Leite , Laurent Najman , Marc Schoenauer , Olivier Teytaud

This paper introduces an algorithm for discovering implicit and delayed causal relations between events observed by a robot at arbitrary times, with the objective of improving data-efficiency and interpretability of model-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-05 Junchi Liang , Abdeslam Boularias

We consider how to learn multi-step predictions efficiently. Conventional algorithms wait until observing actual outcomes before performing the computations to update their predictions. If predictions are made at a high rate or span over a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-08-20 Hado van Hasselt , Richard S. Sutton