English

Crowding at the Front of the Marathon Packs

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability 2008-04-23 v2 Popular Physics

Abstract

We study the crowding of near-extreme events in the time gaps between successive finishers in major international marathons. Naively, one might expect these gaps to become progressively larger for better-placing finishers. While such an increase does indeed occur from the middle of the finishing pack down to approximately 20th place, the gaps saturate for the first 10-20 finishers. We give a probabilistic account of this feature. However, the data suggests that the gaps have a weak maximum around the 10th place, a feature that seems to have a sociological origin.

Cite

@article{arxiv.0802.1702,
  title  = {Crowding at the Front of the Marathon Packs},
  author = {Sanjib Sabhapandit and Satya N. Majumdar and S. Redner},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:0802.1702},
  year   = {2008}
}

Comments

5 pages, 2 figures; version 2: published manuscript with various changes in response to referee comments and some additional improvements

R2 v1 2026-06-21T10:12:01.034Z