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This paper is devoted to the price-storage dynamics in natural gas markets. A novel stochastic path-dependent volatility model is introduced with path-dependence in both price volatility and storage increments. Model calibrations are…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-22 Jinniao Qiu , Antony Ware , Yang Yang

We present a path integral method to derive closed-form solutions for option prices in a stochastic volatility model. The method is explained in detail for the pricing of a plain vanilla option. The flexibility of our approach is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 D. Lemmens , M. Wouters , J. Tempere , S. Foulon

We apply the concepts of utility based pricing and hedging of derivatives in stochastic volatility markets and introduce a new class of "reciprocal affine" models for which the indifference price and optimal hedge portfolio for pure…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 M. R. Grasselli , T. R. Hurd

Stochastic dividend discount models (Hurley and Johnson, 1994 and 1998, Yao, 1997) present expressions for the expected value of stock prices when future dividends evolve according to some random scheme. In this paper we try to offer a more…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-04 Arianna Agosto , Enrico Moretto

In this paper, we present a new method for pricing CMS derivatives. We use Mallaivin's calculus to establish a model-free connection between the price of a CMS derivative and a quadratic payoff. Then, we apply Watanabe's expansions to…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-03 David García-Lorite , Raul Merino

An important but rarely-addressed option pricing question is how to choose appropriate strikes for implied volatility inputs when pricing more exotic multi-asset derivatives. By means of Malliavin Calculus we construct an optimal log-linear…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-18 Elisa Alòs , Michael Coulon

We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the price…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-14 Damir Filipović , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

This paper analyses the implementation and calibration of the Heston Stochastic Volatility Model. We first explain how characteristic functions can be used to estimate option prices. Then we consider the implementation of the Heston model,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-18 Ricardo Crisostomo

In this paper new analytical and numerical approaches to valuating path-dependent options of European type have been developed. The model of stochastic volatility as a basic model has been chosen. For European options we could improve the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-24 Yu. A. Kuperin , P. A. Poloskov

This paper develops a flexible and computationally efficient multivariate volatility model, which allows for dynamic conditional correlations and volatility spillover effects among financial assets. The new model has desirable properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-25 Wenyu Li , Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li

Volatility for financial assets returns can be used to gauge the risk for financial market. We propose a deep stochastic volatility model (DSVM) based on the framework of deep latent variable models. It uses flexible deep learning models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Xiuqin Xu , Ying Chen

In this paper we study the short-time behavior of the at-the-money implied volatility for European and arithmetic Asian call options with fixed strike price. The asset price is assumed to follow the Bachelier model with a general stochastic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-20 Elisa Alòs , Eulalia Nualart , Makar Pravosud

This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0}$ is given by \[ dS_{t}=m(\theta_{t})S_{t}…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Jakša Cvitanić , Robert Liptser , Boris Rozovskii

Using Malliavin calculus techniques, we obtain formulas for computing Greeks under different rough Volterra stochastic volatility models. Due to the fact that underlying prices are not always square integrable, we extend the classical…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-08 Mishari Al-Foraih , Òscar Burés , Jan Pospíšil , Josep Vives

A Bayesian procedure is developed for multivariate stochastic volatility, using state space models. An autoregressive model for the log-returns is employed. We generalize the inverted Wishart distribution to allow for different correlation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 K. Triantafyllopoulos

The use of factor stochastic volatility models requires choosing the number of latent factors used to describe the dynamics of the financial returns process; however, empirical evidence suggests that the number and makeup of pertinent…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-06 Taylor R. Brown

This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $ S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0} $ is given by \[…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Jaksa Cvitanic , Robert Liptser , Boris Rozovskii

In this paper, we show that the recent integration of statistical models with deep recurrent neural networks provides a new way of formulating volatility (the degree of variation of time series) models that have been widely used in time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-06 Rui Luo , Weinan Zhang , Xiaojun Xu , Jun Wang

We consider the optimal investment and marginal utility pricing problem of a risk averse agent and quantify their exposure to a small amount of model uncertainty. Specifically, we compute explicitly the first-order sensitivity of their…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-15 Jan Obloj , Johannes Wiesel

We consider a large market model of defaultable assets in which the asset price processes are modelled as Heston-type stochastic volatility models with default upon hitting a lower boundary. We assume that both the asset prices and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-15 Ben Hambly , Nikolaos Kolliopoulos
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