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We propose a novel approach to sentiment data filtering for a portfolio of assets. In our framework, a dynamic factor model drives the evolution of the observed sentiment and allows to identify two distinct components: a long-term…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-08 Danilo Vassallo , Giacomo Bormetti , Fabrizio Lillo

Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and influenced by both price trends and market sentiment, making effective portfolio management challenging. This paper proposes a dynamic cryptocurrency portfolio strategy that integrates…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Qizhao Chen

This paper is about predicting the movement of stock consist of S&P 500 index. Historically there are many approaches have been tried using various methods to predict the stock movement and being used in the market currently for algorithm…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Rahul Gupta

The use of intelligent systems for stock market predictions has been widely established. In this paper, we investigate how the seemingly chaotic behavior of stock markets could be well represented using several connectionist paradigms and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ajith Abraham , Ninan Sajith Philip , P. Saratchandran

With the advent of fast-paced information dissemination and retrieval, it has become inherently important to resort to automated means of predicting stock market prices. In this paper, we propose Taureau, a framework that leverages Twitter…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Nicholas Milikich , Joshua Johnson

This paper uses a new textual data index for predicting stock market data. The index is applied to a large set of news to evaluate the importance of one or more general economic-related keywords appearing in the text. The index assesses the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-11 A. Fronzetti Colladon , S. Grassi , F. Ravazzolo , F. Violante

Emotion analysis is a crucial problem to endow artifact machines with real intelligence in many large potential applications. As external appearances of human emotions, electroencephalogram (EEG) signals and video face signals are widely…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-05-10 Tong Zhang , Wenming Zheng , Zhen Cui , Yuan Zong , Yang Li

One of the pillars to build a country's economy is the stock market. Over the years, people are investing in stock markets to earn as much profit as possible from the amount of money that they possess. Hence, it is vital to have a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-17 Ishu Gupta , Tarun Kumar Madan , Sukhman Singh , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

In this paper, we investigate the problem of predicting the future volatility of Forex currency pairs using the deep learning techniques. We show step-by-step how to construct the deep-learning network by the guidance of the empirical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-06 Shujian Liao , Jian Chen , Hao Ni

Predicting the stock market trend has always been challenging since its movement is affected by many factors. Here, we approach the future trend prediction problem as a machine learning classification problem by creating tomorrow_trend…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-31 Taylan Kabbani , Fatih Enes Usta

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are a widely used tool for modeling sequential data, yet they are often treated as inscrutable black boxes. Given a trained recurrent network, we would like to reverse engineer it--to obtain a quantitative,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Niru Maheswaranathan , Alex Williams , Matthew D. Golub , Surya Ganguli , David Sussillo

There has been growing interest in applying NLP techniques in the financial domain, however, resources are extremely limited. This paper introduces StockEmotions, a new dataset for detecting emotions in the stock market that consists of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Jean Lee , Hoyoul Luis Youn , Josiah Poon , Soyeon Caren Han

Market financial forecasting is a trending area in deep learning. Deep learning models are capable of tackling the classic challenges in stock market data, such as its extremely complicated dynamics as well as long-term temporal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-17 Shima Nabiee , Nader Bagherzadeh

Stock market prediction is one of the most attractive research topic since the successful prediction on the market's future movement leads to significant profit. Traditional short term stock market predictions are usually based on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-16 Huicheng Liu

While stock prediction task traditionally relies on volume-price and fundamental data to predict the return ratio or price movement trend, sentiment factors derived from social media platforms such as StockTwits offer a complementary and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Wanyun Zhou , Saizhuo Wang , Xiang Li , Yiyan Qi , Jian Guo , Xiaowen Chu

In this paper, we explore the usability of different natural language processing models for the sentiment analysis of social media applied to financial market prediction, using the cryptocurrency domain as a reference. We study how the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Ali Raheman , Anton Kolonin , Igors Fridkins , Ikram Ansari , Mukul Vishwas

Prediction of stock price and stock price movement patterns has always been a critical area of research. While the well-known efficient market hypothesis rules out any possibility of accurate prediction of stock prices, there are formal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-05 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen , Subhasis Dasgupta

This paper proposes a new algorithm -- Trading Graph Neural Network (TGNN) that can structurally estimate the impact of asset features, dealer features and relationship features on asset prices in trading networks. It combines the strength…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-11 Xian Wu

According to behavioral finance, stock market returns are influenced by emotional, social and psychological factors. Several recent works support this theory by providing evidence of correlation between stock market prices and collective…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-13 Fani Tsapeli , Mirco Musolesi , Peter Tino

Cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin, in particular, are prone to wild swings resulting in frequent jumps in prices, making them historically popular for traders to speculate. A better understanding of these fluctuations can greatly benefit crypto…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-17 Edson Pindza , Jules Clement Mba , Sutene Mwambi , Nneka Umeorah