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Stock return forecasting is a major component of numerous finance applications. Predicted stock returns can be incorporated into portfolio trading algorithms to make informed buy or sell decisions which can optimize returns. In such…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Zimeng Lyu , Amulya Saxena , Rohaan Nadeem , Hao Zhang , Travis Desell

Financial market prediction on the basis of online sentiment tracking has drawn a lot of attention recently. However, most results in this emerging domain rely on a unique, particular combination of data sets and sentiment tracking tools.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-19 Huina Mao , Scott Counts , Johan Bollen

As machine learning ascends the peak of computer science zeitgeist, the usage and experimentation with sentiment analysis using various forms of textual data seems pervasive. The effect is especially pronounced in formulating securities…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-23 Raeid Saqur , Nicole Langballe

This paper introduces a novel approach to stock data analysis by employing a Hierarchical Graph Neural Network (HGNN) model that captures multi-level information and relational structures in the stock market. The HGNN model integrates stock…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Jianhua Yao , Yuxin Dong , Jiajing Wang , Bingxing Wang , Hongye Zheng , Honglin Qin

Sentiment analysis is attracting more and more attentions and has become a very hot research topic due to its potential applications in personalized recommendation, opinion mining, etc. Most of the existing methods are based on either…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Xingyue Chen , Yunhong Wang , Qingjie Liu

Stock prices move as piece-wise trending fluctuation rather than a purely random walk. Traditionally, the prediction of future stock movements is based on the historical trading record. Nowadays, with the development of social media, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Shwai He , Shi Gu

Sentiment analysis, a popular technique for opinion mining, has been used by the software engineering research community for tasks such as assessing app reviews, developer emotions in issue trackers and developer opinions on APIs. Past…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-12-27 Achyudh Ram , Meiyappan Nagappan

Recently artificial neural networks (ANNs) have seen success in volatility prediction, but the literature is divided on where an ANN should be used rather than the common GARCH model. The purpose of this study is to compare the volatility…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-19 Curtis Nybo

Using machine learning and alternative data for the prediction of financial markets has been a popular topic in recent years. Many financial variables such as stock price, historical volatility and trade volume have already been through…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-18 Thomas Dierckx , Jesse Davis , Wim Schoutens

In this work we use Recurrent Neural Networks and Multilayer Perceptrons to predict NYSE, NASDAQ and AMEX stock prices from historical data. We experiment with different architectures and compare data normalization techniques. Then, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-30 Kerda Varaku

Anticipating audience reaction towards a certain text is integral to several facets of society ranging from politics, research, and commercial industries. Sentiment analysis (SA) is a useful natural language processing (NLP) technique that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Gabriel Lopez , Anna Nguyen , Joe Kaul

We study dynamic visual representations as a proxy for investor sentiment about the stock market. Our sentiment index, GIFsentiment, is constructed from millions of posts in the Graphics Interchange Format (GIF) on a leading investment…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-24 Ming Gu , David Hirshleifer , Siew Hong Teoh , Shijia Wu

In this study, we constructed daily high-frequency sentiment data and used the VAR method to attempt to predict the next day's implied volatility surface. We utilized 630,000 text data entries from the East Money Stock Forum from 2014 to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Jiahao Weng , Yan Xie

Recent works have shown that social media platforms are able to influence the trends of stock price movements. However, existing works have majorly focused on the U.S. stock market and lacked attention to certain emerging countries such as…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Xi Zhang , Jiawei Shi , Di Wang , Binxing Fang

In this paper, we propose a modified Levy jump diffusion model with market sentiment memory for stock prices, where the market sentiment comes from data mining implementation using Tweets on Twitter. We take the market sentiment process,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-13 Zheqing Zhu , Jian-guo Liu , Lei Li

Knowledge of patients affective state could prove to be crucial for health-care professionals in both diagnosis and treatment, however, this requires patients to report how they feel. In practice the sampling rate of affective states needs…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-05-12 Stina Lyck Carstensen , Jens Madsen , Jan Larsen

The growing prosperity of social networks has brought great challenges to the sentimental tendency mining of users. As more and more researchers pay attention to the sentimental tendency of online users, rich research results have been…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-07-04 Donghang Pan , Jingling Yuan , Lin Li , Deming Sheng

Accurate and robust stock trend forecasting has been a crucial and challenging task, as stock price changes are influenced by multiple factors. Graph neural network-based methods have recently achieved remarkable success in this domain by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Yingjie Niu , Lanxin Lu , Rian Dolphin , Valerio Poti , Ruihai Dong

Recently, several methods have been proposed to explain the predictions of recurrent neural networks (RNNs), in particular of LSTMs. The goal of these methods is to understand the network's decisions by assigning to each input variable,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-05 Leila Arras , Ahmed Osman , Klaus-Robert Müller , Wojciech Samek

Volatility is a quantity of measurement for the price movements of stocks or options which indicates the uncertainty within financial markets. As an indicator of the level of risk or the degree of variation, volatility is important to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-12 Qiang Zhang , Rui Luo , Yaodong Yang , Yuanyuan Liu
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