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Excessive leverage, i.e. the abuse of debt financing, is considered one of the primary factors in the default of financial institutions. Systemic risk results from correlations between individual default probabilities that cannot be…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-25 Paolo Tasca , Pavlin Mavrodiev , Frank Schweitzer

This note is a companion article to the recent paper L\"ocherbach, Loukianova, Marini (2024). We consider mean field systems of interacting particles. Each particle jumps with a jump rate depending on its position. When jumping, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 Dasha Loukianova , Eva Löcherbach

In symmetric gravitating systems experiencing rapid mass loss, particle orbits change almost instantaneously, which can lead to the development of a sharply contoured density profile, including singular caustics for collisionless systems.…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2017-10-25 Zephyr Penoyre , Zoltán Haiman

In this paper we analyze the resilience of a network of banks to joint price fluctuations of the external assets in which they have shared exposures, and evaluate the worst-case effects of the possible default contagion. Indeed, when the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Giuseppe Calafiore , Giulia Fracastoro , Anton Proskurnikov

The present paper is devoted to the study of a simple model of interacting electrons in a random background. In a large interval $\Lambda$, we consider $n$ one dimensional particles whose evolution is driven by the Luttinger-Sy model, i.e.,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-08-26 Frédéric Klopp , Nikolaj Veniaminov

We consider a system of $N$ particles interacting through their empirical distribution on a finite state space in continuous time. In the formal limit as $N\to\infty$, the system takes the form of a nonlinear (McKean--Vlasov) Markov chain.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Asaf Cohen , Ethan Huffman

We consider an infinite system of particles on the positive real line, initiated from a Poisson point process, which move according to Brownian motion up until the hitting time of a barrier. The barrier increases when it is hit, allowing…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-23 Thomas Blore , D. G. M Flynn , Ben Hambly

In the context of understanding the nature of the risk transformation process of the financial system we propose an iterative risk-trading game between several agents who build their trading strategies based on a general utility setting.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Stefan Thurner , Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Pichler

Motivated by a model of an area-wide integrated pest management, we develop an interacting particle system evolving in a random environment. It is a generalised contact process in which the birth rate takes two possible values, determined…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-27 Kevin Kuoch

We study systems of Brownian particles on the real line, which interact by splitting the local times of collisions among themselves in an asymmetric manner. We prove the strong existence and uniqueness of such processes and identify them…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Ioannis Karatzas , Soumik Pal , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

We introduce a novel type of self-bound droplet which carries an emergent color charge. We consider a system of particles hopping on a lattice and interacting via a commensurately sign-changing potential which is attractive at a short…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-11 P. Karpov , F. Piazza

We study a discrete-time interacting particle system with continuous state space which is motivated by a mathematical model for turnover through branching in actin filament networks. It gives rise to transient clusters reminiscent of actin…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Cecilia González-Tokman , Dietmar B. Oelz

An autocatalytic reacting system with particles interacting at a finite distance is studied. We investigate the effects of the discrete-particle character of the model on properties like reaction rate, quenching phenomenon and front…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Stefano Berti , Cristobal Lopez , Davide Vergni , Angelo Vulpiani

We develop a dynamic point process model of correlated default timing in a portfolio of firms, and analyze typical default profiles in the limit as the size of the pool grows. In our model, a firm defaults at a stochastic intensity that is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-13 Kay Giesecke , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Richard B. Sowers

We consider a system of $N$ interacting particles, described by SDEs driven by Poisson random measures, where the coefficients depend on the empirical measure of the system. Every particle jumps with a jump rate depending on its position.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Eva Löcherbach , Dasha Loukianova , Elisa Marini

We propose a dynamic model of dependence structure between financial institutions within a financial system and we construct measures for dependence and financial instability. Employing Markov structures of joint credit migrations, our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-11 Yu-Sin Chang

The global financial crisis in 2007-2009 demonstrated that systemic risk can spread all over the world through a complex web of financial linkages, yet we still lack fundamental knowledge about the evolution of the financial web. In…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-11 Teruyoshi Kobayashi , Taro Takaguchi

We study large deviations and rare default clustering events in a dynamic large heterogeneous portfolio of interconnected components. Defaults come as Poisson events and the default intensities of the different components in the system…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Richard B. Sowers

In this work we introduce a model of default contagion that combines the approaches of Eisenberg-Noe interbank networks and dynamic mean field interactions. The proposed contagion mechanism provides an endogenous rule for early defaults in…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-19 Zachary Feinstein , Andreas Sojmark

Fluctuations may govern the fate of an interacting particle system even on the mean-field level. This is demonstrated via a three species cyclic trapping reaction with a large, yet finite number of particles, where the final number of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky