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This paper develops a continuous-time filtering framework for estimating a hazard rate subject to an unobservable change-point. This framework naturally arises in both financial and insurance applications, where the default intensity of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-12 Matteo Buttarazzi , Claudia Ceci

We expand on a recent study of a lattice model of interacting particles [Phys. Rev. Lett. 111, 110601 (2013)]. The adsorption isotherm and equilibrium fluctuations in particle number are discussed as a function of the interaction. Their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-11-20 T. Becker , K. Nelissen , B. Cleuren , B. Partoens , C. Van den Broeck

In this paper, we study the non-linear diffusion equation associated with a particle system where the common drift depends on the rate of absorption of particles at a boundary. We provide an interpretation as a structural credit risk model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Alexander Lipton , Vadim Kaushansky , Christoph Reisinger

We consider a new class of non Markovian processes with a countable number of interacting components. At each time unit, each component can take two values, indicating if it has a spike or not at this precise moment. The system evolves as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Antonio Galves , Eva Löcherbach

We solve a non-equilibrium statistical mechanics problem exactly, namely, the single-file dynamics of N hard-core interacting particles (the particles cannot pass each other) of size \Delta diffusing in a one dimensional system of finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-12-22 Ludvig Lizana , Tobias Ambjornsson

Many complex structures and stochastic patterns emerge from simple kinetic rules and local interactions, and are governed by scale invariance properties in combination with effects of the global geometry. We consider systems that can be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-09-17 Adnan Ali , Robin C. Ball , Stefan Grosskinsky , Ellak Somfai

In this paper, a new reliability model has been developed for a single system degrading stochastically which experiences soft and hard failure. Soft failure occurs when the physical deterioration level of the system is greater than a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-04 Nooshin Yousefi , David W. Coit

A discrete time stochastic model for a multiagent system given in terms of a large collection of interacting Markov chains is studied. The evolution of the interacting particles is described through a time inhomogeneous transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-17 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pierre Del Moral , Sylvain Rubenthaler

We prove the existence of weak solutions of a class of multi-species cross-diffusion systems as well as the propagation of chaos result by means of nonlocal approximation of the nonlinear diffusion terms, coupling methods and compactness…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-10-18 Jose Antonio Carrillo , Shuchen Guo

We introduce a model of interacting Random Walk, whose hopping amplitude depends on the number of walkers/particles on the link. The mesoscopic counterpart of such a microscopic dynamics is a diffusing system whose diffusivity depends on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-10-01 E. Agliari , M. Casartelli , A. Vezzani

We propose a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm for parameter learning when the studied model exhibits random discontinuous jumps in behaviour. To facilitate the learning of high dimensional parameter sets, such as those associated to neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-19 John-Joseph Brady , Yuhui Luo , Wenwu Wang , Víctor Elvira , Yunpeng Li

We consider a structural default model in an interconnected banking network as in Lipton [International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 19(6), 2016], with mutual obligations between each pair of banks. We analyse the model…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-03 Vadim Kaushansky , Alexander Lipton , Christoph Reisinger

In this work we provide a simple setting that connects the structural modelling approach of Gai-Kapadia interbank networks with the mean-field approach to default contagion. To accomplish this we make two key contributions. First, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-08 Zachary Feinstein , Andreas Sojmark

In this work, we consider one-dimensional particles interacting in mean-field type through a bounded kernel. In addition, when particles hit some barrier (say zero), they are removed from the system. This absorption of particles is…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Gaoyue Guo , Maxime Latypov , Milica Tomasevic

We present a unified framework, with quantitative estimates, for deterministic interacting particle systems whose pairwise interactions may depend on heterogeneous labels. Heterogeneity is kept at every level by adding a frozen label…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Thierry Paul , Emmanuel Trélat

As impressively shown by the financial crisis in 2007/08, contagion effects in financial networks harbor a great threat for the stability of the entire system. Without sufficient capital requirements for banks and other financial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Daniel Ritter

We study the limiting behaviour of the empirical measure of a system of diffusions interacting through their ranks when the number of diffusions tends to infinity. We prove that the limiting dynamics is given by a McKean-Vlasov evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-30 Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

Diffusion-coagulation can be simply described by a dynamic where particles perform a random walk on a lattice and coalesce with probability unity when meeting on the same site. Such processes display non-equilibrium properties with strong…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-13 L. Turban , J. -Y. Fortin

This article is devoted to the analysis of a particle system model for epidemics among a finite population with susceptible, infective and removed individuals (SIR). The infection mechanism depends on the relative distance between…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Monia Capanna

We consider an interacting particle system on the one dimensional lattice $\bf Z$ modeling combustion. The process depends on two integer parameters $2\le a<M<\infty$. Particles move independently as continuous time simple symmetric random…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Francis Comets , Jeremy Quastel , Alejandro F. Ramirez
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