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Conditioning, the central operation in Bayesian statistics, is formalised by the notion of disintegration of measures. However, due to the implicit nature of their definition, constructing disintegrations is often difficult. A folklore…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-04 Nathaël Da Costa , Marvin Pförtner , Jon Cockayne

Bayes Classifiers are widely used currently for recognition, identification and knowledge discovery. The fields of application are, for example, image processing, medicine, chemistry (QSAR). But by mysterious way the Naive Bayes Classifier…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2013-12-30 Oleg Kupervasser , Alexsander Vardy

In cases of uncertainty, a multi-class classifier preferably returns a set of candidate classes instead of predicting a single class label with little guarantee. More precisely, the classifier should strive for an optimal balance between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Thomas Mortier , Marek Wydmuch , Krzysztof Dembczyński , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

When performing Bayesian inference, we frequently need to work with conditional probability densities. For example, the posterior function is the conditional density of the parameters given the data. Some might worry that conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Alex Yan , Cathal Mills , Augustin Marignier , Younjung Kim , Ben Lambert

The Bayesian Classification represents a supervised learning method as well as a statistical method for classification. Assumes an underlying probabilistic model and it allows us to capture uncertainty about the model in a principled way by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-04 Vikramkumar , Vijaykumar B , Trilochan

Prediction becomes more challenging with missing covariates. What method is chosen to handle missingness can greatly affect how models perform. In many real-world problems, the best prediction performance is achieved by models that can…

We study set-valued classification for a Bayesian model where data originates from one of a finite number $N$ of possible hypotheses. Thus we consider the scenario where the size of the classified set of categories ranges from 0 to $N$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Måns Karlsson , Ola Hössjer

Naive Bayes classifiers have proven to be useful in many prediction problems with complete training data. Here we consider the situation where a naive Bayes classifier is trained with data where the response is right censored. Such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Priyantha Wijayatunga , Xavier de Luna

Statistical functionals are called elicitable if there exists a loss or scoring function under which the functional is the optimal point forecast in expectation. While the mean and quantiles are elicitable, it has been shown in Heinrich…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching , Tobias Fissler

In fields such as medicine and drug discovery, the ultimate goal of a classification is not to guess a class, but to choose the optimal course of action among a set of possible ones, usually not in one-one correspondence with the set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 K. Dyrland , A. S. Lundervold , P. G. L. Porta Mana

Classifiers based on probabilistic graphical models are very effective. In continuous domains, maximum likelihood is usually used to assess the predictions of those classifiers. When data is scarce, this can easily lead to overfitting. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-08-29 Victor Bellon , Jesus Cerquides , Ivo Grosse

We explore the problem of binary classification in machine learning, with a twist - the classifier is allowed to abstain on any datum, professing ignorance about the true class label without committing to any prediction. This is directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-29 Akshay Balsubramani

The problem of sequential probability forecasting is considered in the most general setting: a model set C is given, and it is required to predict as well as possible if any of the measures (environments) in C is chosen to generate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-25 Daniil Ryabko

We investigate the problem of multiclass classification with rejection, where a classifier can choose not to make a prediction to avoid critical misclassification. First, we consider an approach based on simultaneous training of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-31 Chenri Ni , Nontawat Charoenphakdee , Junya Honda , Masashi Sugiyama

In classification with a reject option, the classifier is allowed in uncertain cases to abstain from prediction. The classical cost-based model of a reject option classifier requires the cost of rejection to be defined explicitly. An…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-01 V. Franc , D. Prusa , V. Voracek

It has been argued that in supervised classification tasks, in practice it may be more sensible to perform model selection with respect to some more focused model selection score, like the supervised (conditional) marginal likelihood, than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Petri Kontkanen , Petri Myllymaki , Henry Tirri

In this study, both Bayesian classifiers and mutual information classifiers are examined for binary classifications with or without a reject option. The general decision rules in terms of distinctions on error types and reject types are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-23 Bao-Gang Hu

The paper studies binary classification and aims at estimating the underlying regression function which is the conditional expectation of the class labels given the inputs. The regression function is the key component of the Bayes optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-26 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Ambrus Tamás

Some statistical models are specified via a data generating process for which the likelihood function cannot be computed in closed form. Standard likelihood-based inference is then not feasible but the model parameters can be inferred by…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-20 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander , Ritabrata Dutta , Samuel Kaski

The majority of traditional classification ru les minimizing the expected probability of error (0-1 loss) are inappropriate if the class probability distributions are ill-defined or impossible to estimate. We argue that in such cases class…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-14 Robert P. W. Duin , Elzbieta Pekalska
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