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Under mild conditions, it is shown the strong consistency of the Bayes estimator of the density. Moreover, the Bayes risk (for some common loss functions) of the Bayes estimator of the density (i.e. the posterior predictive density) reaches…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-25 A. G. Nogales

We study Martin-L\"{o}f random (ML-random) points on computable probability measures on sample and parameter spaces (Bayes models). We consider variants of conditional randomness defined by ML-randomness on Bayes models and those of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-04-24 Hayato Takahashi

As inductive inference and machine learning methods in computer science see continued success, researchers are aiming to describe ever more complex probabilistic models and inference algorithms. It is natural to ask whether there is a…

Logic · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Nathanael L. Ackerman , Cameron E. Freer , Daniel M. Roy

Estimating the unknown number of classes in a population has numerous important applications. In a Poisson mixture model, the problem is reduced to estimating the odds that a class is undetected in a sample. The discontinuity of the odds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Chang Xuan Mao , Bruce G. Lindsay

Naive Bayes classifiers, a family of classifiers that are based on the popular Bayes' probability theorem, are known for creating simple yet well performing models, especially in the fields of document classification and disease prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-16 Sebastian Raschka

A theory of measurement uncertainty is presented, which, since it is based exclusively on the Bayesian approach and on the subjective concept of conditional probability, is applicable in the most general cases. The recent International…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 G. D'Agostini

Many classification models produce a probability distribution as the outcome of a prediction. This information is generally compressed down to the single class with the highest associated probability. In this paper, we argue that part of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-30 Gabriele N. Tornetta

The Naive Bayesian classifier is a popular classification method employing the Bayesian paradigm. The concept of having conditional dependence among input variables sounds good in theory but can lead to a majority vote style behaviour.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Sanjay Vishwakarma , Srinjoy Ganguly

The notions of disintegration and Bayesian inversion are fundamental in conditional probability theory. They produce channels, as conditional probabilities, from a joint state, or from an already given channel (in opposite direction). These…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-31 Kenta Cho , Bart Jacobs

Neural networks for semantic segmentation can be seen as statistical models that provide for each pixel of one image a probability distribution on predefined classes. The predicted class is then usually obtained by the maximum a-posteriori…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Robin Chan , Matthias Rottmann , Radin Dardashti , Fabian Hüger , Peter Schlicht , Hanno Gottschalk

Some scientific research questions ask to guide decisions and others do not. By their nature frequentist hypothesis-tests yield a dichotomous test decision as result, rendering them rather inappropriate for latter types of research…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-20 Patrick Schwaferts , Thomas Augustin

We present a framework and analysis of consistent binary classification for complex and non-decomposable performance metrics such as the F-measure and the Jaccard measure. The proposed framework is general, as it applies to both batch and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-13 Bowei Yan , Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Kai Zhong , Pradeep Ravikumar

Like mean, quantile and variance, mode is also an important measure of central tendency and data summary. Many practical questions often focus on "Which element (gene or file or signal) occurs most often or is the most typical among all…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-03 Keming Yu , Katerina Aristodemou

Abstaining classifiers have been widely used in cost-sensitive applications to avoid ambiguous classification and reduce the cost of misclassification. Previous abstaining classification models rely on cost information, such as a cost…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-20 Hongjiao Guan

Upper and lower bounds are derived for the mode(s) of the negative binomial distribution of order k, type I, with parameters r and p, which are employed to establish an explicit formula for the mode(s) in terms of r and k when p equals 0.5.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-09 Costas Georghiou , Andreas N. Philippou , Zaharias M. Psillakis

A mode of a probability vector is a local maximum with respect to some vicinity structure on the set of elementary events. The mode inequalities cut out a polytope from the simplex of probability vectors. Related to this is the concept of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-03-03 Guido Montufar , Johannes Rauh

Filtered probability spaces (called "filtrations" for short) are shown to satisfy such a topological zero-one law: for every property of filtrations, either the property holds for almost all filtrations, or its negation does. In particular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Boris Tsirelson

The focal loss has demonstrated its effectiveness in many real-world applications such as object detection and image classification, but its theoretical understanding has been limited so far. In this paper, we first prove that the focal…

Statistical system models provide the basis for the examination of various sorts of distributions. Classification distributions are a very common and versatile form of statistics in e.g. real economic, social, and IT systems. The…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-20 Uwe Petersohn , Thomas Dedek , Sandra Zimmer , Hans Biskupski

Bayesian inference is a powerful tool for combining information in complex settings, a task of increasing importance in modern applications. However, Bayesian inference with a flawed model can produce unreliable conclusions. This review…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-22 David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , David T. Frazier