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We present a novel framework for estimation and inference with the broad class of universal approximators. Estimation is based on the decomposition of model predictions into Shapley values. Inference relies on analyzing the bias and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Andreas Joseph

We propose a model selection approach for covariance estimation of a multi-dimensional stochastic process. Under very general assumptions, observing i.i.d replications of the process at fixed observation points, we construct an estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez

In the present paper we consider Laplace deconvolution for discrete noisy data observed on the interval whose length may increase with a sample size. Although this problem arises in a variety of applications, to the best of our knowledge,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-15 Felix Abramovich , Marianna Pensky , Yves Rozenholc

We consider the problem of designing almost optimal predictors for dynamical systems from a finite sequence of noisy observations and incomplete knowledge of the dynamics and the noise. We first discuss the properties of the optimal (Bayes)…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-07-30 Marian Anghel , Ingo Steinwart

Estimating probabilistic deformable template models is a new approach in the fields of computer vision and probabilistic atlases in computational anatomy. A first coherent statistical framework modelling the variability as a hidden random…

Computation · Statistics 2009-01-16 Stéphanie Allassonnière , Estelle Kuhn

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

Optimization with noisy gradients has become ubiquitous in statistics and machine learning. Reparameterization gradients, or gradient estimates computed via the "reparameterization trick," represent a class of noisy gradients often used in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-23 Andrew C. Miller , Nicholas J. Foti , Alexander D'Amour , Ryan P. Adams

We present a general principle for estimating a regression function nonparametrically, allowing for a wide variety of data filtering, for example, repeated left truncation and right censoring. Both the mean and the median regression cases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-10 Oliver Linton , Enno Mammen , Jens Perch Nielsen , Ingrid Van Keilegom

For time series data observed at non-random and possibly non-equidistant time points, we estimate the trend function nonparametrically. Under the assumption of a bounded total variation of the function and low-order moment conditions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Michael H. Neumann , Anne Leucht

In most practical applications such as recommendation systems, display advertising, and so forth, the collected data often contains missing values and those missing values are generally missing-not-at-random, which deteriorates the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Mingming Ha , Xuewen Tao , Wenfang Lin , Qionxu Ma , Wujiang Xu , Linxun Chen

We study generalized additive partial linear models, proposing the use of polynomial spline smoothing for estimation of nonparametric functions, and deriving quasi-likelihood based estimators for the linear parameters. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Li Wang , Xiang Liu , Hua Liang , Raymond J. Carroll

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

We propose a class of estimators for deconvolution in mixture models based on a simple two-step "bin-and-smooth" procedure applied to histogram counts. The method is both statistically and computationally efficient: by exploiting recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-01 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott

The problem we concentrate on is as follows: given (1) a convex compact set $X$ in ${\mathbb{R}}^n$, an affine mapping $x\mapsto A(x)$, a parametric family $\{p_{\mu}(\cdot)\}$ of probability densities and (2) $N$ i.i.d. observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-24 Anatoli B. Juditsky , Arkadi S. Nemirovski

We look into the nonparametric regression estimation with additive and multiplicative noise and construct adaptive thresholding estimators based on Laguerre series. The proposed approach achieves asymptotically near-optimal convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Rida Benhaddou

The concept of biased data is well known and its practical applications range from social sciences and biology to economics and quality control. These observations arise when a sampling procedure chooses an observation with probability that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Sam Efromovich

Nonparametric and machine learning methods are flexible methods for obtaining accurate predictions. Nowadays, data sets with a large number of predictors and complex structures are fairly common. In the presence of item nonresponse,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Mehdi Dagdoug , Camelia Goga , David Haziza

In this paper, we develop a finite mixture of convolutional distributions, a statistical model to analyze continuous data distributed approximately on a mixture of low-dimensional affine subspaces. The observations are assumed independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Sunrit Chakraborty , XuanLong Nguyen

Estimating the parameters of max-stable parametric models poses significant challenges, particularly when some parameters lie on the boundary of the parameter space. This situation arises when a subset of variables exhibits extreme values…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-08 Anas Mourahib , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

We consider nonparametric estimation of a regression function for a situation where precisely measured predictors are used to estimate the regression curve for coarsened, that is, less precise or contaminated predictors. Specifically, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Hans-Georg Müller