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This paper is devoted to studying the average optimality in continuous-time Markov decision processes with fairly general state and action spaces. The criterion to be maximized is expected average rewards. The transition rates of underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Xianping Guo , Ulrich Rieder

We establish the functional convex order results for two scaled McKean-Vlasov processes $X=(X_{t})_{t\in[0, T]}$ and $Y=(Y_{t})_{t\in[0, T]}$ defined on a filtered probability space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, (\mathcal{F}_{t})_{t\geq0},…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Yating Liu , Gilles Pagès

We give a dimension-independent sparsification result for suprema of centered Gaussian processes: Let $T$ be any (possibly infinite) bounded set of vectors in $\mathbb{R}^n$, and let $\{\boldsymbol{X}_t := t \cdot \boldsymbol{g} \}_{t\in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Anindya De , Shivam Nadimpalli , Ryan O'Donnell , Rocco A. Servedio

We derive the Markov-modulated generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process by embedding a Markov-modulated random recurrence equation in continuous time. The obtained process turns out to be the unique solution of a certain stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Anita Behme , Apostolos Sideris

In extreme value statistics, the peaks-over-threshold method is widely used. The method is based on the generalized Pareto distribution characterizing probabilities of exceedances over high thresholds in $\mathbb {R}^d$. We present a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Ana Ferreira , Laurens de Haan

In this paper we develop non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation results for the sampling distribution of suprema of empirical processes when the indexing function class $\mathcal{F}_n$ varies with the sample size $n$ and may not be Donsker.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Alexander Giessing

For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Rafael Weißbach , Dominik Wied

When modeling a vector of risk variables, extreme scenarios are often of special interest. The peaks-over-thresholds method hinges on the notion that, asymptotically, the excesses over a vector of high thresholds follow a multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Anas Mourahib , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

The expected supremum of a Gaussian process indexed by the image of an index set under a function class is bounded in terms of separate properties of the index set and the function class. The bound is relevant to the estimation of nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-12 Andreas Maurer

The method of potential solutions of Fokker-Planck equations is used to develop a transport equation for the joint probability of N stochastic variables with Lochner's generalized Dirichlet distribution (R.H. Lochner, A Generalized…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-10-02 J. Bakosi , J. R. Ristorcelli

In order to describe the extremal behaviour of some stochastic process $X$, approaches from univariate extreme value theory are typically generalized to the spatial domain. In particular, generalized peaks-over-threshold approaches allow…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Max Thannheimer , Marco Oesting

Let X_t, 0<=t<=T be a one-dimensional stochastic process with independent and stationary increments. This paper considers the problem of stopping the process X_t "as close as possible" to its eventual supremum M_T:=sup{X_t: 0<=t<=T}, when…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-21 Pieter C. Allaart

In this paper we provide an expansion formula for Hawkes processes which involves the addition of jumps at deterministic times to the Hawkes process in the spirit of the well-known integration by parts formula (or more precisely the Mecke…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Caroline Hillairet , Anthony Reveillac , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Suprema of random processes appear naturally in a plethora of disciplines, and Talagrand's majorizing theorem yields a geometric interpretation for them: for a centered Gaussian random process $(X_t)_{t \in T},$ $\mathbb{E}[\sup_{t \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Simona Diaconu

In this paper, we investigate the precise local large deviation probabilities for random sums of independent real-valued random variables with a common distribution $F$, where $F(x+\Delta)=F((x, x+T])$ is an $\mathcal{O}$-regularly varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-05 Qiuying Zhang , Fengyang Cheng

In this paper, we consider the composition of two independent processes : one process corresponds to position and the other one to time. Such processes will be called iterated processes. We first propose an algorithm based on the Euler…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-03 Michèle Thieullen , Alexis Vigot

We study a triple of stochastic processes: a Wiener process $W_t$, $t \geq 0$, its running maxima process $M_t=\sup \{W_s: s \in [0,t]\}$ and its running minima process $m_t=\inf \{W_s: s \in [0,t]\}$. We derive the analytical formulas for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Karol Dąbrowski , Piotr Jaworski

We consider a refracted jump diffusion process having two-sided jumps with rational Laplace transforms. For such a process, by applying a straightforward but interesting approach, we derive formulas for the Laplace transform of its…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Jiang Zhou , Lan Wu

We consider a random process $Y(t)=\exp\{X(t)\}$, where $X(t)$ is a centered second-order process which correlation function $R(t,s)$ can be represented as $\int_{\mathbb{R}} u(t,y)\overline{u(s,y)} dy.$ A multiplicative wavelet-based…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-20 Ievgen Turchyn

We consider a one-dimensional stationary time series of fixed duration $T$. We investigate the time $t_{\rm m}$ at which the process reaches the global maximum within the time interval $[0,T]$. By using a path-decomposition technique, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-23 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr