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In the study of the supremum of stochastic processes, Talagrand's chaining functionals and his generic chaining method are heavily related to the distribution of stochastic processes. In the present paper, we construct Talagrand's type…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Yiming Chen , Pengtao Li , Dali Liu , Hanchao Wang

This paper is devoted to investigation of supremum of averaged deviations $|X(t)-f(t)-\int_{\mathbb {T}}(X(u)-f(u))\,\mathrm {d}\mu(u)/\mu(\mathbb {T})|$ of a stochastic process from Orlicz space of random variables using the method of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Rostyslav Yamnenko

We study the obtainment of closed-form formulas for the distribution of the jumps of a doubly-stochastic Poisson process. The problem is approached in two ways. On the one hand, we translate the problem to the computation of multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-04 Arturo Valdivia

Let $\pa{X_{t}}_{t\in T}$ be a family of real-valued centered random variables indexed by a countable set $T$. In the first part of this paper, we establish exponential bounds for the deviation probabilities of the supremum $Z=\sup_{t\in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-11 Yannick Baraud

In this paper the running average of a subordinator with a tempered stable distribution is considered. We investigate a family of previously unexplored infinite-activity subordinators induced by the probability distribution of the running…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Weixuan Xia

Integral representations for expectations of functions of a stable L\'evy process $X$ and its supremum $\bar X$ are derived. As examples, cumulative probability distribution functions (cpdf) of $X_T, \barX_T$, the joint cpdf of $X_T$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-27 Svetlana Boyarchenko , Sergei Levendorskiĭ

This paper is devoted to the prediction problem in extreme value theory. Our main result is an explicit expression of the regular conditional distribution of a max-stable (or max-infinitely divisible) process $\{\eta(t)\}_{t\in T}$ given…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-15 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

Given a bounded class of functions G and independent random variables X1, . . . , Xn, we provide an upper bound for the expectation of the supremum of the empirical process over elements of G having a small variance. Our bound applies in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Yannick Baraud

We consider a one-dimensional stationary stochastic process $x(\tau)$ of duration $T$. We study the probability density function (PDF) $P(t_{\rm m}|T)$ of the time $t_{\rm m}$ at which $x(\tau)$ reaches its global maximum. By using a path…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-15 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

In this paper we consider the distribution of the location of the path supremum in a fixed interval for self-similar processes with stationary increments. To this end, a point process is constructed and its relation to the distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Yi Shen

In this paper we study the mean of the first exit time from a bounded interval of various L\'evy processes. We establish sharp two-sided estimates of the mean for L\'evy processes under certain condition on their characteristic exponents.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-13 Tomasz Grzywny

We introduce a class of continuous-time bivariate phase-type distributions for modeling dependencies from common shocks. The construction uses continuous-time Markov processes that evolve identically until an internal common-shock event,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Martin Bladt , Oscar Peralta , Jorge Yslas

Consider a list of labeled objects that are organized in a heap. At each time, object $j$ is selected with probability $p_j$ and moved to the top of the heap. This procedure defines a Markov chain on the set of permutations which is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-26 Alfred Kume , Fabrizio Leisen , Antonio Lijoi

Splitting probabilities quantify the likelihood of particular outcomes out of a set of mutually-exclusive possibilities for stochastic processes and play a central role in first-passage problems. For two-dimensional Markov processes…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-08-12 Emir Sezik , Jacob Knight , Henry Alston , Connor Roberts , Thibault Bertrand , Gunnar Pruessner , Luca Cocconi

We study the supremum of some random Dirichlet polynomials and obtain sharp upper and lower bounds for supremum expectation that extend the optimal estimate of Hal\'asz-Queff\'elec and enable to cunstruct random polynomials with unusually…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-01 Mikhail Lifshits , Michel Weber

In this paper, we study the asymptotic distribution of the maxima of suprema of dependent Gaussian processes with trend. For different scales of the time horizon we obtain different normalizing functions for the convergence of the maxima.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-09 Lanpeng Ji , Xiaofan Peng

We show that the law of the overall supremum $\bar{X}_t=\sup_{s\le t}X_s$ of a L\'evy process $X$ before the deterministic time $t$ is equivalent to the average occupation measure $\mu_t(dx)=\int_0^t\p(X_s\in dx)\,ds$, whenever 0 is regular…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-03 Loïc Chaumont

We introduce G-L\'{e}vy processes which develop the theory of processes with independent and stationary increments under the framework of sublinear expectations. We then obtain the L\'{e}vy-Khintchine formula and the existence for…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-19 Mingshang Hu , Shige Peng

Within the framework of the previous paper [8]. we develop a generalized stochastic calculus for processes associated to higher order diffusion operators. Applications to the study of a Cauchy problem, a Feynman-Kac formula and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Craig Calcaterra , Sonia Mazzucchi

In this note, we provide upper bounds on the expectation of the supremum of empirical processes indexed by H\"older classes of any smoothness and for any distribution supported on a bounded set in $\mathbb R^d$. These results can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-18 Nicolas Schreuder