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We consider Bayesian sample size determination using a criterion that utilizes the first two moments of the expected posterior variance. We study the resulting sample size in dependence on the chosen prior and explore the success rate for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-28 Jörg Martin , Clemens Elster

The dynamics of tumour evolution are not well understood. In this paper we provide a statistical framework for evaluating the molecular variation observed in different parts of a colorectal tumour. A multi-sample version of the Ewens…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-04-26 A. D. Barbour , Simon Tavaré

In this article, we consider $\beta$-ensembles, i.e. collections of particles with random positions on the real line having joint distribution $$\frac{1}{Z_N(\beta)}|\Delta(\lambda)|^\beta e^{- \frac{N\beta}{4}\sum_{i=1}^N\lambda_i^2}d…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-25 Florent Benaych-Georges , Sandrine Péché

We work in the context of the infinitely many alleles model. The allelic partition associated with a coalescent process started from n individuals is obtained by placing mutations along the skeleton of the coalescent tree; for each…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-25 Anne-Laure Basdevant , Christina Goldschmidt

In the absence of selection, the structure of allelic diversity is described by the elegant sampling formula of Ewens. This formula has helped shape our expectations of empirical patterns of molecular variation. Along with coalescent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-05-30 Michael M. Desai , Lauren E. Nicolaisen , Aleksandra M. Walczak , Joshua B. Plotkin

In the 1920's, the English philosopher W.E. Johnson introduced a characterization of the symmetric Dirichlet prior distribution in terms of its predictive distribution. This is typically referred to as Johnson's "sufficientness" postulate,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Federico Camerlenghi , Stefano Favaro

We consider Ewens random permutations of length $n$ conditioned to have no cycle longer than $n^\beta$ with $0<\beta<1$ and to study the asymptotic behaviour as $n\to\infty$. We obtain very precise information on the joint distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Volker Betz , Julian Mühlbauer , Helge Schäfer , Dirk Zeindler

We consider a general branching population where the lifetimes of individuals are i.i.d.\ with arbitrary distribution and where each individual gives birth to new individuals at Poisson times independently from each other. In addition, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-26 Benoit Henry

Ewens' sampling formula (ESF) provides the probability distribution governing the number of distinct genetic types and their respective frequencies at a selectively neutral locus under the infinitely-many-alleles model of mutation. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-17 F. H. Haydarov , Z. E. Mustafoyeva , U. A. Rozikov

We provide a general theorem bounding the error in the approximation of a random measure of interest--for example, the empirical population measure of types in a Wright-Fisher model--and a Dirichlet process, which is a measure having…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Han L. Gan , Nathan Ross

Ewens-Pitman model has been successfully applied to various fields including Bayesian statistics. There are four important estimators $K_{n},M_{l,n}$,$K_{m}^{(n)},M_{l,m}^{(n)}$. In particular, $M_{1,n}, M_{1,m}^{(n)}$ are related to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Youzhou Zhou

The estimation of a covariance matrix from an insufficient amount of data is one of the most common problems in fields as diverse as multivariate statistics, wireless communications, signal processing, biology, learning theory and finance.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-24 Gabriel H. Tucci , Ke Wang

This paper is devoted to establishing exponential bounds for the probabilities of deviation of a sample sum from its expectation, when the variables involved in the summation are obtained by sampling in a finite population according to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-13 Patrice Bertail , Stephan Clémençon

In this paper, we study the asymptotic (large time) behavior of a selection-mutation-competition model for a population structured with respect to a phenotypic trait, when the rate of mutation is very small. We assume that the reproduction…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-11-17 Àngel Calsina , Sílvia Cuadrado , Laurent Desvillettes , Gaël Raoul

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of the number of parts $K_n$ in the Ewens--Pitman partition model under the regime where the diversity parameter is scaled linearly with the sample size, that is, $\theta = \lambda n$ for some~$\lambda…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-26 Rodrigo Ribeiro

Addressing the challenge of scaling-up epidemiological inference to complex and heterogeneous models, we introduce Poisson Approximate Likelihood (PAL) methods. In contrast to the popular ODE approach to compartmental modelling, in which a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-05 Michael Whitehouse , Nick Whiteley , Lorenzo Rimella

In this article we study in detail a family of random matrix ensembles which are obtained from random permutations matrices (chosen at random according to the Ewens measure of parameter $\theta>0$) by replacing the entries equal to one by…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-05 Joseph Najnudel , Ashkan Nikeghbali

We propose a way to remove the bias of a Poisson regression when the subjects are partially observed. In this paper we address this issue under certain assumptions about the missing-data generating process. We fix the total number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Seyed Jalil Kazemitabar

The Poisson--Dirichlet distribution arises in many different areas. The parameter $\theta$ in the distribution is the scaled mutation rate of a population in the context of population genetics. The limiting case of $\theta$ approaching…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-12 Shui Feng , Fuqing Gao

In Bayesian nonparametric inference, random discrete probability measures are commonly used as priors within hierarchical mixture models for density estimation and for inference on the clustering of the data. Recently, it has been shown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Stefano Favaro , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster