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This paper addresses the problem of Monte Carlo approximation of posterior probability distributions. In particular, we have considered a recently proposed technique known as population Monte Carlo (PMC), which is based on an iterative…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-03 Eugenia Koblents , Joaquín Míguez

This paper considers a new approach to using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) in contexts where one may adopt multilevel (ML) Monte Carlo. The underlying problem is to approximate expectations w.r.t. an underlying probability measure that is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-27 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yaxian Xu

We propose a Multi-level Monte Carlo technique to accelerate Monte Carlo sampling for approximation of properties of materials with random defects. The computational efficiency is investigated on test problems given by tight-binding models…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-30 Petr Plecháč , Erik von Schwerin

We develop a pure Monte Carlo method to compute $E(g(X_T))$ where $g$ is a bounded and Lipschitz function and $X_t$ an Ito process. This approach extends a previously proposed method to the general multidimensional case with a SDE with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-18 Mahamadou Doumbia , Nadia Oudjane , Xavier Warin

Probabilistic prediction of sequences from images and other high-dimensional data is a key challenge, particularly in risk-sensitive applications. In these settings, it is often desirable to quantify the uncertainty associated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Qidong Yang , Weicheng Zhu , Joseph Keslin , Laure Zanna , Tim G. J. Rudner , Carlos Fernandez-Granda

A matrix completion problem is to recover the missing entries in a partially observed matrix. Most of the existing matrix completion methods assume a low rank structure of the underlying complete matrix. In this paper, we introduce an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-16 Chencheng Cai , Rong Chen , Han Xiao

We present a highly efficient proximal Markov chain Monte Carlo methodology to perform Bayesian computation in imaging problems. Similarly to previous proximal Monte Carlo approaches, the proposed method is derived from an approximation of…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-20 Luis Vargas , Marcelo Pereyra , Konstantinos C. Zygalakis

This paper proposes a robust approximation method for solving chance constrained optimization (CCO) of polynomials. Assume the CCO is defined with an individual chance constraint that is affine in the decision variables. We construct a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-27 Bo Rao , Liu Yang , Suhan Zhong , Guangming Zhou

Monte Carlo sampling methods often suffer from long correlation times. Consequently, these methods must be run for many steps to generate an independent sample. In this paper a method is proposed to overcome this difficulty. The method…

Computation · Statistics 2007-09-13 Jonathan Weare

In the first part of this paper we study approximations of trajectories of Piecewise Deter-ministic Processes (PDP) when the flow is not explicit by the thinning method. We also establish a strong error estimate for PDPs as well as a weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-10 Vincent Lemaire , Michèle Thieullen , Nicolas Thomas

The efficient simulation of the mean value of a non-linear functional of the solution to a linear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with additive Gaussian noise is considered. A Galerkin finite element method is employed along…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Andreas Petersson

The celebrated Monte Carlo method estimates an expensive-to-compute quantity by random sampling. Bandit-based Monte Carlo optimization is a general technique for computing the minimum of many such expensive-to-compute quantities by adaptive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Vivek Bagaria , Tavor Z. Baharav , Govinda M. Kamath , David N. Tse

Multilevel sampling methods, such as multilevel and multifidelity Monte Carlo, multilevel stochastic collocation, or delayed acceptance Markov chain Monte Carlo, have become standard uncertainty quantification (UQ) tools for a wide class of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Josef Martínek , Erin Carson , Robert Scheichl

The Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method has proven to be an effective variance-reduction statistical method for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) in Partial Differential Equation (PDE) models, combining model computations at different levels…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Santiago Badia , Jerrad Hampton , Javier Principe

The Monte Carlo (MC) method is the most common technique used for uncertainty quantification, due to its simplicity and good statistical results. However, its computational cost is extremely high, and, in many cases, prohibitive.…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-21 A. Cunha , R. Nasser , R. Sampaio , H. Lopes , K. Breitman

Competing phases or interactions in complex many-particle systems can result in free energy barriers that strongly suppress thermal equilibration. Here we discuss how extended ensemble Monte Carlo simulations can be used to study the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 S. Trebst , D. A. Huse , E. Gull , H. G. Katzgraber , U. H. E. Hansmann , M. Troyer

Monte Carlo simulations are a powerful tool to investigate the thermodynamic properties of atomic systems. In practice however, sampling of the complete configuration space is often hindered by high energy barriers between different regions…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-04 Jonas A. Finkler , Stefan Goedecker

Least squares Monte Carlo methods are a popular numerical approximation method for solving stochastic control problems. Based on dynamic programming, their key feature is the approximation of the conditional expectation of future rewards by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Christian Bayer , Denis Belomestny , Paul Hager , Paolo Pigato , John Schoenmakers , Vladimir Spokoiny

In this work we propose a new approach for the numerical simulation of kinetic equations through Monte Carlo schemes. We introduce a new technique which permits to reduce the variance of particle methods through a matching with a set of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-04-08 Pierre Degond , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

Quantum Monte Carlo methods are powerful techniques for studying strongly interacting Fermi systems. However, implementing these methods on computers with finite-precision arithmetic requires careful attention to numerical stability. In the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-05-20 C. N. Gilbreth , Y. Alhassid
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