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The paper studies binary classification and aims at estimating the underlying regression function which is the conditional expectation of the class labels given the inputs. The regression function is the key component of the Bayes optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-26 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Ambrus Tamás

The performance of ensemble-based data assimilation techniques that estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations depends crucially on the prescribed uncertainty of the model dynamics and of the observations. These are…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-24 Tadeo Javier Cocucci , Manuel Pulido , Magdalena Lucini , Pierre Tandeo

In this paper, we study the problem of estimating latent variable models with arbitrarily corrupted samples in high dimensional space ({\em i.e.,} $d\gg n$) where the underlying parameter is assumed to be sparse. Specifically, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-20 Di Wang , Xiangyu Guo , Shi Li , Jinhui Xu

We investigate methods for parameter learning from incomplete data that is not missing at random. Likelihood-based methods then require the optimization of a profile likelihood that takes all possible missingness mechanisms into account.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Manfred Jaeger

We consider constructing model selection criteria for evaluating nonlinear mixed effects models via basis expansions. Mean functions and random functions in the mixed effects model are expressed by basis expansions, then they are estimated…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-25 Hidetoshi Matsui

The tensor Ising model is a discrete exponential family used for modeling binary data on networks with not just pairwise, but higher-order dependencies. A particularly important class of tensor Ising models are the tensor Curie-Weiss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Somabha Mukherjee , Jaesung Son , Swarnadip Ghosh , Sourav Mukherjee

This article describes posterior maximization for topic models, identifying computational and conceptual gains from inference under a non-standard parametrization. We then show that fitted parameters can be used as the basis for a novel…

Applications · Statistics 2011-12-30 Matthew A. Taddy

The empirical success of machine learning models with many more parameters than measurements has generated an interest in the theory of overparameterisation, i.e., underdetermined models. This paradigm has recently been studied in domains…

A probabilistic model for random hypergraphs is introduced to represent unary, binary and higher order interactions among objects in real-world problems. This model is an extension of the Latent Class Analysis model, which captures…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-16 Tin Lok James Ng , Thomas Brendan Murphy

We show that the method of maximum-likelihood estimation, recently introduced in the context of quantum process tomography, can be applied to the determination of Mueller matrices characterizing the polarization properties of classical…

Optics · Physics 2009-11-11 A. Aiello , G. Puentes , D. Voigt , J. P. Woerdman

This article will devise data-driven, mathematical laws that generate optimal, statistical classification systems which achieve minimum error rates for data distributions with unchanging statistics. Thereby, I will design learning machines…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Denise M. Reeves

While the expected calibration error (ECE), which employs binning, is widely adopted to evaluate the calibration performance of machine learning models, theoretical understanding of its estimation bias is limited. In this paper, we present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Futoshi Futami , Masahiro Fujisawa

Decision making algorithms are used in a multitude of different applications. Conventional approaches for designing decision algorithms employ principled and simplified modelling, based on which one can determine decisions via tractable…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-23 Nir Shlezinger , Yonina C. Eldar , Stephen P. Boyd

Data augmentation is an effective technique to improve the generalization of deep neural networks. However, previous data augmentation methods usually treat the augmented samples equally without considering their individual impacts on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Mingyang Yi , Lu Hou , Lifeng Shang , Xin Jiang , Qun Liu , Zhi-Ming Ma

We consider the use of Bayesian information criteria for selection of the graph underlying an Ising model. In an Ising model, the full conditional distributions of each variable form logistic regression models, and variable selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-09 Rina Foygel Barber , Mathias Drton

Diffusion models excel in solving imaging inverse problems due to their ability to model complex image priors. However, their reliance on large, clean datasets for training limits their practical use where clean data is scarce. In this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Weimin Bai , Yifei Wang , Wenzheng Chen , He Sun

Learning with hidden variables is a central challenge in probabilistic graphical models that has important implications for many real-life problems. The classical approach is using the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Gal Elidan , Nir Friedman

We study maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) in the generalized group orbit recovery model, where each observation is generated by applying a random group action and a known, fixed linear operator to an unknown signal, followed by additive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Sheng Xu , Anderson Ye Zhang , Amit Singer

We consider the problem of learning observation models for robot state estimation with incremental non-differentiable optimizers in the loop. Convergence to the correct belief over the robot state is heavily dependent on a proper tuning of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Mohamad Qadri , Michael Kaess

This study introduces the Misclassification Likelihood Matrix (MLM) as a novel tool for quantifying the reliability of neural network predictions under distribution shifts. The MLM is obtained by leveraging softmax outputs and clustering…

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