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Finite state space hidden Markov models are flexible tools to model phenomena with complex time dependencies: any process distribution can be approximated by a hidden Markov model with enough hidden states.We consider the problem of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Luc Lehéricy

This paper deals with the identification of piecewise affine state-space models. These models are obtained by partitioning the state or input domain into a finite number of regions and by considering affine submodels in each region. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Rafael Rui , Tohid Ardeshiri , Alexandre Bazanella

Reconstruction of structure and parameters of an Ising model from binary samples is a problem of practical importance in a variety of disciplines, ranging from statistical physics and computational biology to image processing and machine…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-27 Andrey Y. Lokhov , Marc Vuffray , Sidhant Misra , Michael Chertkov

We consider the two related problems of detecting if an example is misclassified or out-of-distribution. We present a simple baseline that utilizes probabilities from softmax distributions. Correctly classified examples tend to have greater…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-10-04 Dan Hendrycks , Kevin Gimpel

We perform detailed theoretical analysis of an expectation-maximization-based algorithm recently proposed in for solving a variation of the 3D registration problem, named multi-model 3D registration. Despite having shown superior empirical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-28 David Jin , Harry Zhang , Kai Chang

The abundance of models of complex networks and the current insufficient validation standards make it difficult to judge which models are strongly supported by data and which are not. We focus here on likelihood maximization methods for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-26 Matus Medo

New experimental methods make it possible to measure the expression levels of many genes, simultaneously, in snapshots from thousands or even millions of individual cells. Current approaches to analyze these experiments involve clustering…

In this work, we study a new approach to optimizing the margin distribution realized by binary classifiers. The classical approach to this problem is simply maximization of the expected margin, while more recent proposals consider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-12 Matthew J. Holland

Community detection is a fundamental statistical problem in network data analysis. Many algorithms have been proposed to tackle this problem. Most of these algorithms are not guaranteed to achieve the statistical optimality of the problem,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-06 Chao Gao , Zongming Ma , Anderson Y. Zhang , Harrison H. Zhou

Inference and learning of graphical models are both well-studied problems in statistics and machine learning that have found many applications in science and engineering. However, exact inference is intractable in general graphical models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-11-16 Jason K. Johnson , Praneeth Netrapalli , Michael Chertkov

We consider the problem of predicting the spin states in a kinetic Ising model when spin trajectories are observed for only a finite fraction of sites. In a Bayesian setting, where the probabilistic model of the spin dynamics is assumed to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-19 Ludovica Bachschmid Romano , Manfred Opper

While the performance of machine learning systems has experienced significant improvement in recent years, relatively little attention has been paid to the fundamental question: to what extent can we improve our models? This paper provides…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Ryota Ushio , Takashi Ishida , Masashi Sugiyama

Inferring information from a set of acquired data is the main objective of any signal processing (SP) method. In particular, the common problem of estimating the value of a vector of parameters from a set of noisy measurements is at the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-09-26 S. Fortunati , F. Gini , M. S. Greco , C. D. Richmond

The estimation of missing input vector elements in real time processing applications requires a system that possesses the knowledge of certain characteristics such as correlations between variables, which are inherent in the input space.…

Applications · Statistics 2007-05-23 Fulufhelo V. Nelwamondo , Shakir Mohamed , Tshilidzi Marwala

Many real world tasks such as reasoning and physical interaction require identification and manipulation of conceptual entities. A first step towards solving these tasks is the automated discovery of distributed symbol-like representations.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Klaus Greff , Sjoerd van Steenkiste , Jürgen Schmidhuber

Many binary classification problems minimize misclassification above (or below) a threshold. We show that instances of ranking problems, accuracy at the top or hypothesis testing may be written in this form. We propose a general framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Lukáš Adam , Václav Mácha , Václav Šmídl , Tomáš Pevný

Expectation maximization (EM) algorithm is to find maximum likelihood solution for models having latent variables. A typical example is Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) which requires Gaussian assumption, however, natural images are highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Wentian Zhao , Shaojie Wang , Zhihuai Xie , Jing Shi , Chenliang Xu

We present an algorithm based on maximum likelihood for the estimation and renormalization (marginalization) of exponential densities. The moment-matching problem resulting from the maximization of the likelihood is solved as an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Panagiotis Stinis

This is a supplementary material to the paper "Online Expectation Maximization based algorithms for inference in hidden Markov models". It contains further technical derivations and additional simulation results.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-18 Sylvain Le Corff , Gersende Fort

The problem of graphical model selection is to correctly estimate the graph structure of a Markov random field given samples from the underlying distribution. We analyze the information-theoretic limitations of the problem of graph…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-05-19 Narayana Santhanam , Martin J. Wainwright