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In this paper, we use the class of Wasserstein metrics to study asymptotic properties of posterior distributions. Our first goal is to provide sufficient conditions for posterior consistency. In addition to the well-known Schwartz's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Minwoo Chae , Pierpaolo De Blasi , Stephen G. Walker

Comparing probability distributions is an indispensable and ubiquitous task in machine learning and statistics. The most common way to compare a pair of Borel probability measures is to compute a metric between them, and by far the most…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Yuhang Cai , Lek-Heng Lim

For a regression model, we consider the risk of the maximum likelihood estimator with respect to $\alpha$-divergence, which includes the special cases of Kullback-Leibler divergence, Hellinger distance and $\chi^2$ divergence. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-12 Yo Sheena

A well-known technique in estimating probabilities of rare events in general and in information theory in particular (used, e.g., in the sphere-packing bound), is that of finding a reference probability measure under which the event of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-12-23 Rami Atar , Neri Merhav

The Kullback-Leibler divergence or relative entropy is an information-theoretic measure between statistical models that play an important role in measuring a distance between random variables. In the study of complex systems, random fields…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Alexandre L. M. Levada

We present new and improved non-asymptotic deviation bounds for Dirichlet processes (DPs), formulated using the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence, which is known for its optimal characterization of the asymptotic behavior of DPs. Our method…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Pierre Perrault

In nonparametric statistical problems, we wish to find an estimator of an unknown function f. We can split its error into bias and variance terms; Smirnov, Bickel and Rosenblatt have shown that, for a histogram or kernel estimate, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Adam D. Bull

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Claudio Agostinelli , Ayanendranath Basu , Giulia Bertagnolli , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

The Kullback-Leibler divergence, the Kullback-Leibler variation, and the Bernstein "norm" are used to quantify discrepancies among probability distributions in likelihood models such as nonparametric maximum likelihood and nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Tetsuya Kaji

Statistical distances (SDs), which quantify the dissimilarity between probability distributions, are central to machine learning and statistics. A modern method for estimating such distances from data relies on parametrizing a variational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-18 Sreejith Sreekumar , Zhengxin Zhang , Ziv Goldfeld

The forward Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence is a ubiquitous objective for fitting a parameterized distribution to samples due to its tractability and equivalence to maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). Its inherent asymmetry, however, may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Omri Ben-Dov , Luiz F. O. Chamon

In a variety of applications it is important to extract information from a probability measure $\mu$ on an infinite dimensional space. Examples include the Bayesian approach to inverse problems and possibly conditioned) continuous time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Frank Pinski , Gideon Simpson , Andrew Stuart , Hendrik Weber

The characteristic function of the folded normal distribution and its moment function are derived. The entropy of the folded normal distribution and the Kullback--Leibler from the normal and half normal distributions are approximated using…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-17 Michail Tsagris , Christina Beneki , Hossein Hassani

Given a random sample from a distribution with density function that depends on an unknown parameter $\theta$, we are interested in accurately estimating the true parametric density function at a future observation from the same…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Mihaela Aslan

We derive a new variational formula for the R\'enyi family of divergences, $R_\alpha(Q\|P)$, between probability measures $Q$ and $P$. Our result generalizes the classical Donsker-Varadhan variational formula for the Kullback-Leibler…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-21 Jeremiah Birrell , Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet , Jie Wang

We provide new asymptotic theory for kernel density estimators, when these are applied to autoregressive processes exhibiting moderate deviations from a unit root. This fills a gap in the existing literature, which has to date considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-19 James A. Duffy

Optimum designs for parameter estimation in generalized regression models are standardly based on the Fisher information matrix (cf. Atkinson et al (2014) for a recent exposition). The corresponding optimality criteria are related to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Katarína Burclová , Andrej Pázman

We approximate a given rational spectral density by one that is consistent with prescribed second-order statistics. Such an approximation is obtained by minimizing a suitable distance from the given spectrum and under the constraints…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-09-19 Mattia Zorzi

Many two-sample problems call for a comparison of two distributions from an exponential family. Density ratio estimation methods provide ways to solve such problems through direct estimation of the differences in natural parameters. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Erika Banzato , Mathias Drton , Kian Saraf-Poor , Hongjian Shi

We consider the parametric estimation of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy process with the stable index $\alpha>1$ and possibly skewed jumps, based on a discrete-time sample over a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Eitaro Kawamo , Hiroki Masuda